I may be falling for the trap, but I don't think Forrest was lying. I listened to the press conference as he explained his overtraining and the delaying of the fight, he was accurate and reasonable in his assessment of himself. Some fighters get old and refuse to admit it, Forrest didn't make any drastic changes in weight and didnt take too long of a layoff, he just looked awful, and he knew it. He knew he lost the bout, he knew he was done after 4 rounds, and you'll notice some changes in his behaviour: uncharacteristic trashtalk, uncharacterisitc attempts to intimidate his opponent, and a very serious demeanor walking to the ring. In Forrest's best performances, he signs and dances his way to the ring with a sincere smile, showing extreme confidence and relaxation.
Im not joking at all when I say that my bet depends on him ditching McGirt or not. If he sticks with that black hole, I'll probably play Mora by decision. If the indications are that the Forrest who fought Baly and Piricillo is back, Ill play him, as well as him inside. Simply put, I think Forrest is a better boxer than Mora, but had an awful night last time they fought.
Forrest never made as much money as you would expect a fighter of his calibre to make, and there rests 1 big payday left to the winner. I don't think he's satisfied taking a mediocre paycheck on an undercard bout, his hunger should be as high as the younger Mora's.
I try not to put too much value on determination and attitudes, lest I be betting the likes of Hatton and David Diaz, so in terms of pure boxing skill and capability, I think Forrest is still better. If his attitude and training is only average he's still the superior talent. The most alarming thing about the last bout was his terrible workrate and inability to counter someone with no power, but those can be explained by conditioning failures. What may not be explained by that was the poor footwork and inability to move out of Mora's fairly ugly and predictable attack.
Id watch the first fight for clues, but it's just too ugly and depressing. My allegiance here is to Vernon Forrest, he's a nice guy with great boxing skill, and I want to see him win, so my view may be tainted.