Boxing 9/14 - 9/16

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +16.75 units
2 units: 1-0 +2.0
1 unit: 5-1 +3.70
1/2 unit: 47-21 +4.30
Dogs: 46-61 +7.05
LT's: 1-12 -0.30


9/14

Cruz over Trejo +320...lay .15 to win .50 (loser)

Ortiz over Reyes +145...lay .20 to win .30 (loser)


9/16

Trejo over Sosa +240...lay .15 to win .35 (loser)

Rojas over Arce +280...lay .25 to win .70 (loser)


Great week..lol


gl bl

 

[UT-Longhorn]

box, can you give me your input on this match?

Kevin Anderson vs Francis Jones

 

[BOXLOCKS]

box, can you give me your input on this match?

Kevin Anderson vs Francis Jones

I've got a small personal play on the Under 8.5 +135

Jones has never gone past 6 rounds and his aggressive style usually creates a stoppage either way. I may still post the under as a recommended play, not sure yet.

gl bl

 

[UT-Longhorn]

should anderson have trouble winning?

 

[tonymontana]

Cruz over Trejo at plus 330.
My man says Cruz has a real shot here at lightweight. He made the mistake to fight to low weightwise. He is the fresher fighter with Power and Trejo was in a lot of hard fights.

Ortiz over reyes at 135.
Ortiz is a very young one who was fighting tough fights when he was young and is beginning to come into his own.
Personally i would say reyes via dec but my man knows more about this fighters.
I was planning on a nice hedge with the chance to win with reyes but now i change the winning chance to ortiz.

gl

 

[Zerwas]

For bwin customers
Aleksy Kuziemski (POL) - Julio Cesar Dominguez
over 9: 36%

Aleksy has only a single ko win in his 12 fights and he's a solid favorite. dominguez has never been stopped either.

I have never seen either fighter though...


I also like Br?hmer over Veit.
Br?hmer opened at -130, but -156 (pinnacle) is still pretty good.

Br?hmer certainly isnt a "100 Year Talent", but his skills should be enough against Veit.

Br?hmer was ill prepared in their first fight and still only lost a majority decision, actually I think that the fight shouldnt have been so close, but this shows you the kind of interest they have in Veit.

Br?hmer looked really improved against Velazco, he certainly was more active and showed great determination coming back from the konckdown.

His chin was exposed though, but that wont matter against Veit.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Cruz over Trejo at plus 330.
My man says Cruz has a real shot here at lightweight. He made the mistake to fight to low weightwise. He is the fresher fighter with Power and Trejo was in a lot of hard fights.

Ortiz over reyes at 135.
Ortiz is a very young one who was fighting tough fights when he was young and is beginning to come into his own.
Personally i would say reyes via dec but my man knows more about this fighters.
I was planning on a nice hedge with the chance to win with reyes but now i change the winning chance to ortiz.

gl

Thanks for posting, I was riding the fence on both, Ortiz opened +115 and that wasn't enough for me but +145 is pretty good, I'm playing them both small

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

For bwin customers
Aleksy Kuziemski (POL) - Julio Cesar Dominguez
over 9: 36%

Aleksy has only a single ko win in his 12 fights and he's a solid favorite. dominguez has never been stopped either.

I have never seen either fighter though...


I also like Br?hmer over Veit.
Br?hmer opened at -130, but -156 (pinnacle) is still pretty good.

Br?hmer certainly isnt a "100 Year Talent", but his skills should be enough against Veit.

Br?hmer was ill prepared in their first fight and still only lost a majority decision, actually I think that the fight shouldnt have been so close, but this shows you the kind of interest they have in Veit.

Br?hmer looked really improved against Velazco, he certainly was more active and showed great determination coming back from the konckdown.

His chin was exposed though, but that wont matter against Veit.

I thought about playing Brahmer as I figured he would be better prepared this time around. But I noticed Hellephant from the other site is on Veit for a medium play, thats not good. I'm not sure about this one now, probably a no play for me.

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding


Cruz over Trejo +320...lay .15 to win .50

Ortiz over Reyes +145...lay .20 to win .30


gl bl

 

[Romi]

I thought about playing Brahmer as I figured he would be better prepared this time around. But I noticed Hellephant from the other site is on Veit for a medium play, thats not good. I'm not sure about this one now, probably a no play for me.

gl bl

I thought about Brahmer as well @-165. Hellepant didn't give any reason for wagering Veit. I haven't seen either but I like youth and Brahmers confidence level. Apparently he didn't take the 1st go too serious. It would appear somebody in Germany wants Brahmer to succeed. Veit clearly won the fight but was very close on the cards. I also like that Veit was stopped by Inkin. Showing some signs of wear and tear. I'm going to put a little on Brahmer, my only wager this week. Gl everybody.

 

[punchmaster]

I thought about Brahmer as well @-165. Hellepant didn't give any reason for wagering Veit. I haven't seen either but I like youth and Brahmers confidence level. Apparently he didn't take the 1st go too serious. It would appear somebody in Germany wants Brahmer to succeed. Veit clearly won the fight but was very close on the cards. I also like that Veit was stopped by Inkin. Showing some signs of wear and tear. I'm going to put a little on Brahmer, my only wager this week. Gl everybody.

What do you think of parlaying Braehmer with Pacquiao which is creeping up. That will leave you sitting on around even money on Paq. I think Freddie Roach has his attention. I'm going to the weigh-in for Arce-Rojas- Sosa-Trejo. That's actually a damn good little card for a Sunday at The Hard Rock- Hope you guys have Azteca? Anything that stands out at the weigh-in I'll share.

 

[Zerwas]

For anybody who believes in Veit 5dimes has just put up the perfect bet:

Veit to win on points +360, you can also back Veit to win by ko at +380, and actually the lines have been even closer....

So 5dimes has it about 50-50, but this is utterly wrong, I would barely give Veit a 30% to win by ko, let alone 50%.


:shrug:

i'm still confident in Br?hmer but those odds were just too good....

 

[Zerwas]

Br?hmer just won by ko in round 4.

Easy fight for Br?hmer.


It was kind of funny, the referee counted rather quick so that Veit couldnt get up in time, but he was done anyway....

 

[Zerwas]

Just for the record, the last time I checked 5dimes, the lines for Veit by decision have dropped to +280, Br?hmer closed as a 2 to 1 favorite at bwin.

The Veit by dec prop was a nice hedge, but most of my money was on Br?hmer.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Adding a little to Rojas over Arce at +275


Final play...laying .25 to win .70


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Bad week...just small plays but they add up

Good thing I won 1.05 units in the NFL to turn a small profit this week

And yes, the NFL plays were posted in this forum before the games started

gl bl

 

[Romi]

Bad week...just small plays but they add up

Good thing I won 1.05 units in the NFL to turn a small profit this week
And yes, the NFL plays were posted in this forum before the games started

gl bl

The rest of us should have "bad weeks" as well.

I went 2-1 with a med win on Brahmer. The win on Sosa cancelled out the loss on Rojas. I'm surprised nobody was pushing Sosa @-350. In hindsight, it was very easy money.

I won 475.oo net so no complaints. Looks like another very quiet week coming up but it should pick up and stay good through early/mid dec.