Boxing 9/16 - 9/17

[BOXLOCKS]

YTD Total: +20.35 units
2 unit plays: 1-0 +2.0
1 unit plays: 8-2 +5.25
.5 unit plays: 58-27 +.65
Dogs: 59-60 +12.45



9/16

Ibragimov over Ahununya -484...lay 1.95 to win .4 (winner)


9/17 Dog

Johnson over Chavez +229...lay .15 to win .35 (loser)


gl bl

 

[frank s.]

I played Peden, Moura and Zertuche. I'll e-mail you on the Johnson thing. Some interesting stuff.

 

[gardenweasel]

i think if there were ever a lock...a stone cold lock(if there was such a thing),it would be klit/peter doesn`t go the distance at -600......

peter`s chin is a?......klit`s stamina is not...it`s not good...forget him being drugged vs brewster...he must have been drugged vs sanders and even touch of sleep...once klit is hurt,it`s usually over...or cuts...both klits break up in tough fights...

that`s no bold proclamation...i understand....but if you parlay it...with very strong faves like erdei....or like i did,with corrales/castillo doesn`t go the distance at -150....or with a strong dog like rahaman at +450.....6-1 payout.....well,you have some interesting possibilities...




corrales/castillo could go the distance....but,castillo has an axe to grind...after getting the shitty end of the stick in the first fight....and besides,he can`t really fight any other way....

chico?....i`ve never seen him stay outside and box...he`s actually a much better inside fighter....he can`t resist exchanging....that`s who he is...

you can`t change the guy,imo....and if you look back on the first bout,these guys were both hurt numerous times...many late in rounds...sometimes the ref stepped in ....it was amazing that it lasted as long as it did...both faces were broken up...both were hurt to the body....

not sure when i`ve seen guys take worse beatings...maybe,ebo elder when he won vs courtney burton.....this wasn`t morales/barrera stuff....this was 5 times more intense...it was closer to zale/ graziano..matt franklin/marvin johnson.....even worse...

btw...sim is very slow...but,at better than 2-1,he`s a very strong guy...i wonder how much ebo left in the ring vs burton?...will he break down more easily after that incredible beating?....... ebo looked like a gargoyle after burton....he`ll move...alot...probably will decision sim...wtf,a small dog play...

both guys(chico and castillo) took unbelievable punishment...

somebody left something in the ring that night...maybe both did...

 

[KillerInstinct]

Box, do you still recommend plays at current prices of Kli +155 and und 6.5 -129? thanks

 

[BOXLOCKS]

btw...sim is very slow...but,at better than 2-1,he`s a very strong guy...i wonder how much ebo left in the ring vs burton?...will he break down more easily after that incredible beating?....... ebo looked like a gargoyle after burton....he`ll move...alot...probably will decision sim...wtf,a small dog play...

Well done my man

Congrats on a nice +225 winner


I was waiting for the "Sim inside distance" prop to surface, but it never did.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Box, do you still recommend plays at current prices of Kli +155 and und 6.5 -129? thanks

Good question

I'll get back to you on that

 

[gardenweasel]

thank you,my brother.....

g.l. on the russian......have him in a parlay based on your say-so...

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Huge Night

Huge Night

Ibragimov wins by UD


I hate to past post but I took a small shot at Marcos +1000 over Tapia tonight. Marcos was the much bigger guy and a harder puncher, Tapia is small at 126 and way past his prime. Plus the fight wasn't in Tapia's back yard so I figured at +1000...why not?

Sorry I didn't post it

Hit Raheem +830 last week and Marcos +1000 this week, unfortunately neither counted for record.


Still have a little gravy on the plate for tomarrow, but regardless...

Now riding a 7 week winning streak

gl bl

 

[gardenweasel]

random thoughts on saturday night...

random thoughts on saturday night...

well...i`d say that from what i saw tonight...shane mosley is done...he can`t throw combinations....can`t avoid punches....has little to no head movement....instead of out-quicking a slow ponderous guy like cruz,he threw one shot and clinched....

he can`t get off....he`s not quick...has little snap on his shots.....

cruz left his jab hang out there long enough to hang clothes on it...and shane couldn`t capitalize....

i said before...that in an interview i saw recently, his speech wasn`t entirely sharp...and he was blinking and twitching....

he`d better think twice before getting in with a real world class opponent...


peden?....he pussed out...he came to survive....but,after seeing the 12th round,when he decided to finally fight,it was probably a smart move to fight safely....he was getting ktfo early if he fought like he did in the 12th...even with a 13 pound weight advantage...

somewhere...nate campbell is banging his head against a wall...nate`s not barrera...but,he`s better than peden,imo,,,,,,

sad that levander johnson`s corner(i.e. his own father),couldn`t see how bad a beating his son was taking and stopped the fight a few rounds earlier....funny,everyone else saw it...

pathetic...

somebody...please...match barrera and juan manuel marquez....please....

 

[MayorgaFan]

Mostly agree with your post. Except I think Peden is better than Campbell. Peden really whipped Campbell's ass in the rematch.

Mosley sucked.

Johnson's corner really should have looked out for him. He has taken some real bad beatings. Jauregui beat his ass, Nazarov beat his ass (I saw those both) and MAGO had to have beat him down to stop him as well because Gonzalez don't have much power. Despite all of that nobody was looking at him close enough. 35 years old, taken tons of punches in his career, and takes a beatdown for the better part of 10 rounds. The signs were all there.

 

[gardenweasel]

yeah...that`s a little bit of sour grapes talking on my part after peden/campbell one....

campbell isn`t nearly as good as i originally thought...but on neutral turf,in campbell/peden I....he was.going to stop peden from body shots if he hadn`t gone ghetto....he was dominating..


after that fight,campbell seems to have fallen apart....

and for what he cost me...which was one of my worst losses in boxing....i`m damned happy his career is in the toilet...

i`m very interested in the marquez/mabuza bout.....

being that i mentioned one of my horrible losses,i feel obligated to note that i called the marquez upset of tim austin....lol

is it time for marquez to step aside?.....whatever....it`s going to be one helluva fight...

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Box, do you still recommend plays at current prices of Kli +155 and und 6.5 -129? thanks

I think Klitschko at +150 or more is a decent play, but I wouldn't play it big.

The under 6.5 at -130 or less is a solid play, but I hate laying wood on unders, esp only getting 6.5. There's always a chance they will hold and clinch the entire fight, and as big as they are, it will be hard to seperate them.

I recommend small plays at the current prices

gl bl

 

[KillerInstinct]

Thanks.