Boxing 9/21- 9/22

[Romi]

Not trying to take over Box but you've been sleeping on the job. The only wager I have so far was the over on Holm -450 9 1/2. I know it's very wide for an over under but based on 3 prior fights (sparring sessions), I don't see it ending early. I bet 1350 to win 3 Bens.


@Box, check your PMs at the other site.

 

[punchmaster]

Not trying to take over Box but you've been sleeping on the job. The only wager I have so far was the over on Holm -450 9 1/2. I know it's very wide for an over under but based on 3 prior fights (sparring sessions), I don't see it ending early. I bet 1350 to win 3 Bens.


@Box, check your PMs at the other site.

Damn, you rich mofo, throwing around 1350 to grab 300 bucks.
What if Holt says I'm sick of this beyotch or vice-versa, think I'll get her out of there. I'm gonna research these chicks. I like Liddell-Jardine won't go for parlay boost on Woods or Guerrero

 

[Romi]

Damn, you rich mofo, throwing around 1350 to grab 300 bucks.
What if Holt says I'm sick of this beyotch or vice-versa, think I'll get her out of there. I'm gonna research these chicks. I like Liddell-Jardine won't go for parlay boost on Woods or Guerrero

Rich is a relative term. I'm far from it, in my eyes. I'm just having a pretty decnt year. I've spoken to a guy on another site that wants to put up 20k on Floyd. That's heavy duty IMO.

If you ask me, these chicks shouldn't even be allowed to hit in the face. Holly is a true Hottie as her nickname implies. They have had 3 previous meetings. I don't have the details other than they went the dist and one was a draw. Holly was stopped only once in her career and that was due to a bad cut. I'm not crazy about -450 (now it's -500) but this one really looks to go the dist. It's 9 1/2 rds. I'm always leery of wagering the over when it's 11 1/2.

Anywhos, it was slim pickins again this week. Looks to be picking up strting nxt wk. I had a good amt on the under for Peter/Masc and Masc just pulled out. Hopefully the WBC does the right thing and gets Peter his rightful long awaited shot.

 

[The Sponge]

Romi i really like Floyd but this shit with dancing with the stars worries me. You hear anything about that? I heard Floyd is in it and if he wins there will only be twelve days before the fight. What in the world would he mess with shit like this for? I know he will still train but those dancers train hard to and that takes a lot of time. Hell if it was Hatton that was learning to dance i might bet him so he could dance with Mayweather and possible catch him . Jeeze i thought this would be easy money here but floyd has to play around with this silly shit.

 

[Romi]

Romi i really like Floyd but this shit with dancing with the stars worries me. You hear anything about that? I heard Floyd is in it and if he wins there will only be twelve days before the fight. What in the world would he mess with shit like this for? I know he will still train but those dancers train hard to and that takes a lot of time. Hell if it was Hatton that was learning to dance i might bet him so he could dance with Mayweather and possible catch him . Jeeze i thought this would be easy money here but floyd has to play around with this silly shit.

I agree. The dancing gig is a dumb idea. It would appear he's taking Hatton a bit lightly not to be focusing 100%. I still like Floyd but he's giving Hatton an opportunity.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Not trying to take over Box but you've been sleeping on the job. The only wager I have so far was the over on Holm -450 9 1/2. I know it's very wide for an over under but based on 3 prior fights (sparring sessions), I don't see it ending early. I bet 1350 to win 3 Bens.


@Box, check your PMs at the other site.

mi casa su casa

I'm not sleeping...boxing is...this drought has been brutal, with late December early January right around the corner

Other than the futures posted in my previous threads, I kinda like Berrio +325 over Bute.

Btw, thanks

gl bl

 

[Romi]

mi casa su casa

I'm not sleeping...boxing is...this drought has been brutal, with late December early January right around the corner

Other than the futures posted in my previous threads, I kinda like Berrio +325 over Bute.

Btw, thanks

gl bl

I only had the one bet for the week. I'll certainly take it. I considered a few UFC bets and am glad I stayed away. The UFC is certainly not my forte.

I saw Berrio easily dismantle Mack last year. I was so impressed I wagered a decnt amount on the Stieglitz upset. Berrio has come into his own after a few losses. The kid can bang. I haven't seen Bute but from what I've read he's a very good and solid fighter. Tight defense, good power and boxing beats Berrio. Do you see something here?

 

[punchmaster]

I only had the one bet for the week. I'll certainly take it. I considered a few UFC bets and am glad I stayed away. The UFC is certainly not my forte.

I saw Berrio easily dismantle Mack last year. I was so impressed I wagered a decnt amount on the Stieglitz upset. Berrio has come into his own after a few losses. The kid can bang. I haven't seen Bute but from what I've read he's a very good and solid fighter. Tight defense, good power and boxing beats Berrio. Do you see something here?

Did you notice Yusaf Mack taking on Librado Andrade on Barrera-Paq undercard. Mack ain't no Kessler. Wasn't Bute's last fight against the tough Bika and Bute after some early challenges, came thru well against a strong rough tough dude. Think I'd take a shot at the KO prop on Berrio but the well-schooled southpaw looks like a tough matchup IMO.

I'm gonna stick with my Pavlik pick although I see many like Taylor in this fight. I have some concern that I'm emotionally invested:nono: because I really like Pavlik and want to see JT take a canvas nap. Like BL and other solid money-managing cappers-never have to worry about one fight. I've been building parlay positions in Clinton Woods and Paq for some time now. I also think Guerrero will hammer Honorio.

I'm going to Pavlik-Taylor by the way, just paid a little mark-up but got some serious seats. You guys been to many live boxing events?. IMO, it you don't have select seats, it's not worth going to and your better off watching at home Even floor seats, if your far enough back , it's not that great. The sleeper seats are the front row, hands hanging over rail just off the floor on the short side of the floor seats. Your eye level with the fighters and close than some of the floor seats. Atlantic City, here I come. What about Berto-Estrada- that's a scrap.

 

[Romi]

Did you notice Yusaf Mack taking on Librado Andrade on Barrera-Paq undercard. Mack ain't no Kessler. Wasn't Bute's last fight against the tough Bika and Bute after some early challenges, came thru well against a strong rough tough dude. Think I'd take a shot at the KO prop on Berrio but the well-schooled southpaw looks like a tough matchup IMO.

I'm gonna stick with my Pavlik pick although I see many like Taylor in this fight. I have some concern that I'm emotionally invested:nono: because I really like Pavlik and want to see JT take a canvas nap. Like BL and other solid money-managing cappers-never have to worry about one fight. I've been building parlay positions in Clinton Woods and Paq for some time now. I also think Guerrero will hammer Honorio.

I'm going to Pavlik-Taylor by the way, just paid a little mark-up but got some serious seats. You guys been to many live boxing events?. IMO, it you don't have select seats, it's not worth going to and your better off watching at home Even floor seats, if your far enough back , it's not that great. The sleeper seats are the front row, hands hanging over rail just off the floor on the short side of the floor seats. Your eye level with the fighters and close than some of the floor seats. Atlantic City, here I come. What about Berto-Estrada- that's a scrap.

Personally, I like Bute over Berrio. I was just wondering what BL sees. Bika is no pushover and it looks like Bute impressed.

I've gone back and forth on Taylor/Pav. I was once very high on JT. I made very good money in the 2 Hop fights. He really hasn't impressed me yet. I just don't think he wants it that bad. I really thought he would easily go through Spinks. How the fvck could he have a tough go with someone that got jacked by Zab??? I thought Miranda would stop Pav and was very impressed how Pav took some hellacious shots and kept the pressure on...that's a real fighter IMO. Pav made a fan out of me but not quite sold on him yet. GL on that one!

I had similar seats for Byrd/Williamson. 1st row above the ground floor seats. They were much cheaper than ringside but actually better seats. GREAT seats, HORRENDOUS fight.

Berto Estrada is an excellent matchup. Personally, I'd have kept Berto away from such a tough fight at this stage. I think Berto wins but it's going to be very tough. Estrada is one tough hombre.

Mack is going to get ktfo by Andrade. I didn't know the fight was made.

 

[tonymontana]

i just laid a big one one Pavlik. I have a serious amount on the ko pro too.
What i dont like is that Pavlik never went more than 9 rounds. The last nine minutes can get really long.
But on the other hand there is a reason his fights dont go that long.
If Taylor retreats to the ropes like vs Winky he gets stop.
What i like is that a 17 year old Pavlik gave a 22 year old Taylor a close fight in the olympic trail.
So even boxing wise Pavlik is not to far away.
Taylor has power and there is no shame in not knocking out Hopkins,winky and Spinks. But he did not look good trying (has he even tried with all his might ?) thats for sure.
My man is on Pavlik as big as he was on Hatton vs Castillo and he is also big on the Ko Pavlik option.
I sure hope he is right. I took my beating and losing pretty good but now it is time for a WINNER.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Good Week

Good Week

Cashed in another NFL play this week for a 1 unit profit


I think Berrio has a decent chance of knocking out anyone he gets in the ring with, so what I see in Berrio is value at +325. I agree that the ko prop would be the way to go if it paid better, but I don't think there will be much difference, esp given the location. Bute is a solid fighter, but I wasn't real impressed when I finally saw him fight. I was disapppointed after hearing all the hype about him. Having said that, Berrio can be outboxed and Bute has enough skills to do it, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if Berrio caught him. Just a value play


As posted, I have a decent amount on Taylor by 12 decision at +320. I'm not saying thats how the fight will end, I just think those odds were way too high considering Taylor's huge speed advantage. If Taylor fights smart, he outboxes Pavlik despite a few tough moments. If he trades with Pavlik, he won't last long, Pav has the better chin and more power. I might hedge with a little on Pavlik by fight time, not sure yet


gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I've been building parlay positions in Clinton Woods and Paq for some time now. I also think Guerrero will hammer Honorio.

I like Woods in the rematch due to the location, I'll probably put him in a parlay or two, but I do have some concerns. Woods is 35 and has been off over a year. Gonz is a tough customer who hits hard and brings it from start to finish. If Woods is at all rusty or shows signs of aging, he could be in trouble, this is not an easy fight.

Honorio's win over Luevano is enough to make me stay away from Guerrero in that fight

gl bl

 

[punchmaster]

I like Woods in the rematch due to the location, I'll probably put him in a parlay or two, but I do have some concerns. Woods is 35 and has been off over a year. Gonz is a tough customer who hits hard and brings it from start to finish. If Woods is at all rusty or shows signs of aging, he could be in trouble, this is not an easy fight.

Honorio's win over Luevano is enough to make me stay away from Guerrero in that fight

gl bl

True, the location is huge for the Woods fight, that's literally his hometown, but also, Gonzalez has been in many tough wars and despite a bit younger in years,he should have as much or more wear. Woods was supposedly not physicall right when he handled Gonzalez the first time. I saw Honrio's win over a passive Luevano he is a much softer man than Guerrero. Honorio barely overwhelmed the technincal southpaw who wasn't at the top of his game then and I think Guerrero has learned a lot the past couple of years about what it takes. Honorio has been squeaking by with SD's over B- competition..

 

[Romi]

I like Woods in the rematch due to the location, I'll probably put him in a parlay or two, but I do have some concerns. Woods is 35 and has been off over a year. Gonz is a tough customer who hits hard and brings it from start to finish. If Woods is at all rusty or shows signs of aging, he could be in trouble, this is not an easy fight.


gl bl

I was thinking exactly the same thing. Gonzo is VERY tough. I've watched his fights since his epic war with Letterlough. I like Woods here by dec but I would have liked to have seen a tune up prior to this. A 1 yr lay off for a speedy guy like him can play a part in this one. I was hoping for better odds than -330. Perhaps a dec parlay.

 

[MayorgaFan]

Gonzalez is at a big disadvanyage in this fight IMO. I think he has to stop Woods or dominate. I have ZERO confidence in the judges. I thought Glen Johnson won all 3 fights with Woods and yet he went 1-1-1. I think that is why Woods is such a big favorite. Gonzalez shouldn't be good enough to win clearly.

BTW, I will respond to your email when I get home tonight Boxlox.

 

[The Sponge]

I like Woods in the rematch due to the location, I'll probably put him in a parlay or two, but I do have some concerns. Woods is 35 and has been off over a year. Gonz is a tough customer who hits hard and brings it from start to finish. If Woods is at all rusty or shows signs of aging, he could be in trouble, this is not an easy fight.

Honorio's win over Luevano is enough to make me stay away from Guerrero in that fight

gl bl

Put the conspricay glasses on Sunday because i have a stone cold lock and im gonna show you who will be the crook in the game.

 

[Romi]

I'm contradicting myself a little. I do like Woods in this fight, I just wasn't crazy about the odds. I took him for -320 since I saw -400 on a few sites. I have quite a bit on it. The -320 went to -380 so I believe I'll have a scalp option on the other sites or at least close to it in case I decide to hedge. I agree w/Mayo in that the venue plays a crucial role here. Close rds will go to Woods. What concerns me is the long layoff and Woods age. I still think he'll win a dec by about 3 or 4 pts on each card.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Put the conspricay glasses on Sunday because i have a stone cold lock and im gonna show you who will be the crook in the game.

Looking forward to it, let me know when the eagle has landed

gl bl

 

[Zerwas]

Finally there is a weekend with a lot of interesting options.

I haven?t done too well in the last few weeks, I lost all my bets where I listened to other usually successful betters, lost on Shogun too, who actually gassed in the fight and couldn?t make up with the few boxing fights.

Well anyways?.

Woods-Gonzalez
Bwin has by far the best odds on this fight

Woods to win straight 44%
Over 9 28%
Woods on points 75%

Woods says he doesn?t have any issues with his elbows anymore and fells very fit. Both fighters have been inactive for quite some time, and, as has been mentioned before, Gonzo certainly has as much wear as Woods, so I don?t see a different outcome.

Pavlik-Taylor
I loaded up pretty big on Jermainy WPTS at +250 at bwin and later at +364 at pinnacle/5dimes. I?m actually pretty indifferent about the outcome so I hedged quite a bit, as the odds on WPTS have declined greatly.

I still don?t know how Taylor could manage to NOT ko Spinks. Well, I?m beginning to think that he has a mental problem and it certainly isn?t a clever move from his management to let him fight Pavlik, before he can make a confidence building tune up.

Pavlik looked impressive against Miranda, but this victory certainly doesn?t compare to Taylors wins against Hopkins.

Pavlik is a very active fighter and Taylor clearly slowed down against Ouma and Hopkins, so, contrary to public belief, the conditioning might actually be in Pavlik?s favour.

Well, I?m not sure at all, I don?t expect anybody to get stopped quickly and a ko for Taylor would actually surprise me.
I wonder whether there is value in pavlik on points!?

 

[mrharris14]

Is the taylor pavdick pight on HBO? Someone said you don't have to pay for it? Just wondering where I could see it.