British Open

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1pt):

Sergio Garcia to win 20/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Would love to back Els for this event, but his odds are just a bit too skinny at 15/2. Instead siding with Garcia as the main selection. Links golf requires imagination, flair and a good putting stroke and the Spaniard has all three. Top-10 finishes in each of the last three years are supportive and his game has finally began to return since the end of last year. He has won two out of his last five PGA Tour starts and again looks like the world class player that he once was.

Davis Love to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet [6 places]
Is past history on links courses is a good indicator, then Love should be set for another good week in this event. He didn't secure his first top-10 in this event until Royal Troon in 1997, but his worst finish ever since has been 21st. An excellent weekend performance saw him finish 7th in the Western Open two weeks ago and suggest that he is close to his early season form. If so, this should be another top-10 finish for Love in the Open Championship.

Stuart Appleby to win 50/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Tote [both 6 places]
Appleby was edged out in a four-way playoff two years ago, but with a total of three top-15 finishes in the last four years, it was hardly a surprise performance. He completes a trio of players who are comfortable playing wind and he showed this to good effect in winning the Mercedes Championship in Hawaii at the start of the year. Like Love, a strong showing at the Western Open two weeks ago - he finished 5th - suggests that a return to his early season form may be imminent.

 

[xodale]

After taking a piece of Levet on Sunday morning at 100s I can't help but add the
little french guy, who gifted it to Els at Muirfield two years ago.
Still 125/1 at Stan James, and even better 25/1 e/w top european
at sportingbet.

Also like Lyle to beat Duval at 4/7 at bet365.

 

[veride]

Victor Chandler EW 1/4 1,2,3,4,5 :

Justin Leonard --> 100/1
Jay Haas --> 150/1
Tom Lehman --> 150/1
Bob Estes --> 200/1

 

[veride]

Victor Chandler EW 1/4 1,2,3,4,5 :

Vijay Singh --> 18/1

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Will throw all early plays up for this one.
72 holes @ Sia-B&W-Gamebookers-Boyles
N Price-111 over Jiminez
N Price -111 over Z Johnson
Singh -111 over Mickelson
Garcia +100 over Mickelson
Goosen -104 over Mickelson
C Campbell -111 over Toms
Borjn-111 over Casey
Bjorn -109 over Maru
Jiminez -111 over Casey
Tim Clark -111 over Donald
Harrington -109 over D Clarke
Faldo -118 over John Daly

 

[lal2000]

Veride

Some interesting calls - your selection of Estes has just be backed up by Tour Tips 'guru' Shaker - and be aware that he's now available @ 250/1 today at Sporting Odds & Sporting Bet.

Good Luck!

 

[Stanley]

72-hole matchup plays (1pt unless stated):

Davis Love to beat Stephen Ames -110 @ Bet365 [2pts]
Ames is one of the most in-form players on the PGA Tour at the moment, but just feel that his rustiness of links golf will harm his chances this week. He has only qualified for one of the last five Opens, while Love has finished no worse than 21st in the last seven. With Love showing some form at Cog Hill, he should have a good chance of beating Ames on this type of course.
(also available at Intertops)

Chad Campbell to beat David Toms -111 @ SIA
Toms did win the Fedex St Jude Classic, but where that win came from, I don't know. Troubled by injury earlier in the season, he has been in dire form since returning to action apart from that one week. No wonder that Campbell has a 7-2-1 h2h lead over him in 2004. He was also eight shots ahead of him when Toms missed the cut last year and a similar weekend back home is expected for Toms this year as well.
(also available at Expekt)

Kenny Perry to beat David Toms +100 @ Pinnacle [2pts]
Juts can't see Toms as the favourite here. While Toms was missing the cut last year, Perry played in his first Open Championship for 12 years and finished 8th. Displaying good form before the U.S. Open, this should be an easy win for Perry.

K.J. Choi to beat Tim Herron -125 @ William Hill and Easybets [2pts]
Herron has played in this event three times, the last time in 2000, and made the cut only once. And while he has been playing better of late, he has only finished ahead of Choi once in their last six common events. Choi should be the favourite on the PGA Tour, but his advantage should be much greater overseas. On his last visit to Europe, he won the German Masters. That ability to play on courses all over the world is a big advantage in this event.

K.J. Choi to beat Charles Howell -115 @ Pinnacle and Aces
Similar story here. Choi dominates this matchup on the PGA Tour - he leads Howell 9-4-0 in 2004 - and finished 33 places ahead of him when Howell made his debut in this event last year. Howell's game is perfect for TPC courses and Royal Troon will be very far removed from that type of setup!
(also available at Five Dimes and Olympic)

Sandy Lyle to beat David Duval -175 @ Bet365
Don't get too many opportunities to oppose Duval nowadays, but will do so here. He shot 83-82 in his first outing for eight months at the U.S. Open and looked more like one of the ceremonial player at the Masters than a Tour player. Lyle has been making cuts on the European Tour, but won't need to do so to beat Duval who should struggle to beat 80 again.

Ernie Els to beat Phil Mickelson -135 @ Intertops
Surprised that only one firm has offered this matchup so far. There was an easy win for Els in this matchup last week and it extended his h2h record against Mickelson on the European Tour to 13-0-0 since 1996. Will certainly take these odds given that stat.

Nick Price to beat Zach Johnson -111 @ BetandWin [2pts]
Johnson has never played outside North America so this will be quite a rude awakening. This should be straightforward for Price who has an excellent links record, plus he has a 5-3-0 h2h lead over Johnson on the PGA Tour this year.

 

[lostinamerica]

Ante-Post Inventory:

Thomas Bjorn(2/04)(50/1 e.w.)
Adam Scott(3/04)(50/1 e.w.)
Lee Westwood(7/04)(80/1 e.w.)
Tiger Woods(7/04)(+800 Win Only)


Adding:

Stuart Appleby(50/1 e.w.)
Sergio Garcia(18/1 e.w.)
Chad Campbell(20/1 Top American)(1/4 1-2-3-4)
Jim Furyk(14/1 Top American)(1/4 1-2-3-4)
Rory Sabbatini(66/1 Top ROW)(1/4 1-2-3-4)
Thomas Levet(80/1 1st Round Leader)(1/4 1-2-3-4)
Carl Pettersson(200/1 1st Round Leader)(1/4 1-2-3-4)

Goosen(-115) over Mickelson (Tournament)
Lyle(-175) over Duval (Ties lose) (Tournament)
Furyk(-135) over Toms (Tournament)
Pettersson(-103) over Duval/Perks (1st Round)
Lonard(+100) over Huston/Emerson (1st Round)


"Majors shape your career." ~ Ernie Els (7/13/04)


GL

 

[rrc]

2 plays..

2 plays..

Els -116 over Tiger ....Tiger's performances on par 71 courses are not very strong. Ernie's been in the top 3 at the British in 3 of the last 4 years. Really like this one. 2 units

Chad Campbell 60-1 pinny 1 unit

Good luck to all.

 

[lal2000]

Outrights (? unit ew ? ? odds 1st 5 unless indicated)

S Appleby 66/1 @ William Hill
D Love 33/1 @ Blue Square
F Jacobson 66/1 @ SkyBet
C Campbell 80/1 @ SkyBet
B Estes 250/1 @ Sporting Odds
M A Jimenez 100/1 @ Bet Direct - ? odds 1st 6
Z Johnson 175/1 @ Tote Bet Express - ? odds 1st 6
C Pettersson 250/1 @ Bet Direct - ? odds 1st 6

Interested in numerous other markets but only the above are declared.

Good Luck!

 

[Stanley]

Further 72-hole play (1pt):

Davis Love to beat Jim Furyk -150 @ Five Dimes
Furyk's recovered wrist will be put to the test around the tangly rough at Royal Troon and he could easily miss the cut as he has done in the last three Open Championships. In fact, Love has finished ahead of him in each of the last five years, so even if fit, Furyk should struggle to win on a links course.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Was going to wait till am to check weather but had huge storm here and computer access in on one minute and off next and electric still off at office

A couple to place

Nick Price 20/1 top 5 @ Skybet
Bjorn 13/1 top 5 @ 5Dimes

Despite Bjorn temperment of late will go with him sloely because he has cashed 2 of last 4 years for me.

Price is more logical reason. He ranks 15th in scoring ave of all players in open since the 90's with 5 starts minimum (he has 11) and always a competitor, should feel good about this course as not that long and side with the 2 par 5's plays downwind usually giving him chance to reach with irons in 2.
For info puroses top 5 scoring ave for 90's in order Norman-Els-Parnevic-Faldo-Woods

For those middlers some huge middles on finishing positions (about 10 places on some) between 5 dimes and SIA.

While never venturing out on groups I noticed WTTS has 3 man groups vs standard 5--Unofficially I like Harrington +160 over Clarke and Love.

Try and be back in AM if possible.

 

[Another Steve]

The Open Plays

The Open Plays

Davis Love III WINS BRITISH OPE+33.00 1.5 Units
Stephen Ames WINS BRITISH OPEN+33.00 1 Unit
Darren Clarke WINS BRITISH OPEN+35.00 I unit
Sergio Garcia OV/Phil Mickelson-1.25 2 Units

Very limited Matchups by the Local, not sure why. Sergio should be fired up and I know Phil will be on the board just believe Garcia will be above him. DLIII will be strong, like Ames to compete and Darren is my wide card.

Hopefully more matchups will be up later tonight.

 

[british bulldog]

British Open

3-Ball Betting


Nick Price @ 11/10 to beat Shaun Micheel & Nick Flanagan

Chris DiMarco @ 5/4 to beat Rod Pampling & Scott Drummond

Richard Green @ 11/8 to beat Jonathan Kaye & Andrew Oldcorn

Paul Broadhurst @ 7/4 to beat Bob Tway & Ignacio Garrido

Christian Cevaer @ 6/5 to beat Klas Eriksson & Barry Hume

Rory Sabbatini @ 7/4 to beat Eduardo Romero & John Daly

Miles Tunnicliff @ 3/1 to beat Chad Campbell and Stephen Leaney

Brian Davis @ 15/8 to beat Tim Clark & Tim Herron

Steve Flesch @ 11/8 to beat Peter Hedblom & Tetsuji Hiratsuka

Jean-Francois Remesy @ 9/5 to beat Ben Curtis & Nick Faldo

Tom Lehman @ 6/4 to beat Stephen Ames & Alan Whilley

Miguel Angel Jimenez @ 5/4 to beat Cameron Beckman & Todd Hamilton



TOP AMERICAN PLAYER (with Woods in betting)

C. Campbell @ 22/1
D. Love @ 10/1
J. Haas @ 40/1



TOP BRITISH & IRISH PLAYER

G. Evans @ 33/1
P. Harrington @ 9/2




TOP AUSTRALASIAN PLAYER

S. Appleby @ 5/1




TOP EUROPEAN PLAYER

S. Garcia @ 9/2




TOP EUROPEAN WITHOUT BRITISH ISLES

M. Jimenez @ 11/1




TOP REST OF THE WORLD PLAYER

S. Ames @ 14/1




OUTRIGHT (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5,6)

E. Els @ 8/1

R. Goosen @ 16/1

S. Garcia @ 20/1

P. Harrington @ 28/1

D. Love @ 33/1

S. Ames @ 50/1

S. Appleby @ 50/1

R. Allenby @ 66/1

M. Campbell @ 100/1





TWO-BALL BETTING (playing Stanleys two ball recommendations)

Davis Love to beat Stephen Ames @ 10/11

Chad Campbell to beat David Toms @ 9/10

Kenny Perry to beat David Toms @ 2.00

K.J. Choi to beat Tim Herron @ 4/5

K.J. Choi to beat Charles Howell @ 20/23

Ernie Els to beat Phil Mickelson @ 8/11

Nick Price to beat Zach Johnson @ 9/10

 

[Let's Have Fun]

Els 7-1 w 1 unit
place top4 1.8-1 2 units

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

Hope to add more in-running....but this is what i'm starting with.....

Love 33 2u ew
Scott 40 1u ew
Campbell 66 .5u ew

 

[xodale]

Duval withdraws - what a bummer for the match ups with Lyle one under after 9

 

[Another Steve]

More Open Plays

More Open Plays

Stephen Ames OV/Robert Allenby-1.45 2 Units
Jim Furyk OV/David Toms-1.40\ 2 Units

Woke up to find more Plays. Like Ames to Win, so he has to beat Allenby. Jim over David, going against what I picked in the Contest, just have a change of heart, OK it's a CoatTail

 

[Let's Have Fun]

Anyone with hole in one prop? It's already in with Els ace at #8.

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

Goosen 2u ew 14-1