Bucs/Colts under

[JimO]

this one almost looks too easy...

the Colts D allows 12pts a game
the Bucs D allows 7pts a game

the Bucs have problems stopping physical teams that run the ball up the gut. The Colts are more of a finesse team.

The loss of WR Joe Jurevicius hurts the Bucs offense.

The under 37` looks way too high.

am I missing something here?

 

[GM]

I don't think you're missing anything Jim. There is still a perception out there that Indy is an Over team. I've been saying since Week 1 that Indy Unders are value, at least for the next few weeks until the # is adjusted. The only one that's lost so far was last week when they lit up that terrible Saints D. That's New Orleans though.

But hey, I think that benefits us in the long run. Keep the perception up that Indy is an Over team so we continue to get favorable Under numbers.

On top of that, if you can find a 37?, you're getting a win on the most important number in totals wagering. More common scoring combinations add up to 37 than any other number.

Good luck, I'm with ya.