Buffalo games - 2-1 this year
UNDER THE 36
Reasons why game goes under
1) Bills get Jennings and Fina back on the line this week. Should help henry find some holes to run through. Jets line got carved up by 49ers running attack last week. Bills desperately want to run the ball to take heat off johnson and force secondary to respect the run. If not they will continue to double Moulds.
2) Winds gusting up to 20 mph today at RWS. Should make it difficult to throw downfield. Both Johnson and Vinny will be forced to throw dump offs to Centers and Anderson, keeping the clock moving.
3) Neither team has shown any offense this year, except when playing catch up to the Colts, against a prevent defense. Jets only avg 278 ypg while bufalo gets 265. Passing attack is non existance, jets 6 ypa while Bills only 5.2
4) Bufalo defense has held martin under 100 yards last 5 times and Vinny under 200 yards 4 of last 5.
5) Bills UNDER 7 of last 9. One over was last game of 2000 with flutie at controls aganst seattle ( worst d in NFL last year) and in game 2 when manning lit them up for 42.
6) Buffalo punter Moorsman avg 47 ypk. keeps teams pinned and makes then play the long field.
7) Take away the Colts disaster and defense has played well. Steelers scored on a fumble return , a 52 yard FG, and a pass set up by a BS pass interference call. Bills get LB Spooner back this week and that will help in run support.
8)last year jets won 27-14 in NY ( Jets had a kick off for TD, a punt return that set up TD, and a hail mary at halftime for a TD) Teams combined for 2 FG's in second half. In Buffalo, Flutie led Bills to 23-20 win. Bills held Jets running game to 2.3 and 2.5 ypc in those games.
9) Bills lose kick returner Tony Driver. Peerless Price is the new "punt catcher". He fair caught 3 of 4 punts last week and returned one for 5 yards. Clements and Black handled KO's and avged 20 yards between them. No help from this group in field position.
Bills need a win and they know that a shoot out is not the way to get that win. they have to play ball control, not committ turnovers, and win the battle of field position. This stagedy put them in a position to win against NO and Pitt but offense could not generate enough to get the win. Winds could be a factor as this is a late afternoon game and typically it is windiest in the late afternoon at this time of year in Buffalo. this will not be a nice fall evening as cold front came through last night and wind chill could have it down into the 30's today. I think both teams try to establish the run and control the clock. Winds will negate downfield passing to some extent and force each team into a lot of dump offs. Lack of big playmakers on special teams for each side play into a field position game. I think this one is decided by a field goal war.
Jets 16 Bills 9
Note - this has nothing to do with the handicapping of this game but the Jets-Bills game is the biggest game for fights at RWS each year. Being a 4:00 game it gives each side plenty of time to tailgate and get good and drunk. I will take the OVER 150 arrests. If it is a blowout in the second half, this number coud hit 300 easy.
I also like the under in the Denver - KC game. These two have only broke 48 once in last five years. loss of McCaffrey is huge to broncos ability to score. He was the best 3rd down receiver in league and kept drives alive. Not to mention his ability around the goal line. Smith, while a great receiver, is not a great 3rd down receiver. there is a difference. I expect the number of first downs to decrease this year for the Broncos. i also don't think that anderson and gary will have the success they have had over past two years. they are not exceptional runners and we helped greatly by the threat of the passing game of denver, which i feel decreases without mccaffrey doing the dirty work over the middle.
Even when denver was full strength and scoring in bunches, KC always played them tough. this line is driven up by the explosion of scoring last week by KC but that was against a injury depleted washington defense. Any defense that can make priest Holmes look like Jim thorpe has to be suspect at best. I love the under here also!
UNDER THE 36
Reasons why game goes under
1) Bills get Jennings and Fina back on the line this week. Should help henry find some holes to run through. Jets line got carved up by 49ers running attack last week. Bills desperately want to run the ball to take heat off johnson and force secondary to respect the run. If not they will continue to double Moulds.
2) Winds gusting up to 20 mph today at RWS. Should make it difficult to throw downfield. Both Johnson and Vinny will be forced to throw dump offs to Centers and Anderson, keeping the clock moving.
3) Neither team has shown any offense this year, except when playing catch up to the Colts, against a prevent defense. Jets only avg 278 ypg while bufalo gets 265. Passing attack is non existance, jets 6 ypa while Bills only 5.2
4) Bufalo defense has held martin under 100 yards last 5 times and Vinny under 200 yards 4 of last 5.
5) Bills UNDER 7 of last 9. One over was last game of 2000 with flutie at controls aganst seattle ( worst d in NFL last year) and in game 2 when manning lit them up for 42.
6) Buffalo punter Moorsman avg 47 ypk. keeps teams pinned and makes then play the long field.
7) Take away the Colts disaster and defense has played well. Steelers scored on a fumble return , a 52 yard FG, and a pass set up by a BS pass interference call. Bills get LB Spooner back this week and that will help in run support.
8)last year jets won 27-14 in NY ( Jets had a kick off for TD, a punt return that set up TD, and a hail mary at halftime for a TD) Teams combined for 2 FG's in second half. In Buffalo, Flutie led Bills to 23-20 win. Bills held Jets running game to 2.3 and 2.5 ypc in those games.
9) Bills lose kick returner Tony Driver. Peerless Price is the new "punt catcher". He fair caught 3 of 4 punts last week and returned one for 5 yards. Clements and Black handled KO's and avged 20 yards between them. No help from this group in field position.
Bills need a win and they know that a shoot out is not the way to get that win. they have to play ball control, not committ turnovers, and win the battle of field position. This stagedy put them in a position to win against NO and Pitt but offense could not generate enough to get the win. Winds could be a factor as this is a late afternoon game and typically it is windiest in the late afternoon at this time of year in Buffalo. this will not be a nice fall evening as cold front came through last night and wind chill could have it down into the 30's today. I think both teams try to establish the run and control the clock. Winds will negate downfield passing to some extent and force each team into a lot of dump offs. Lack of big playmakers on special teams for each side play into a field position game. I think this one is decided by a field goal war.
Jets 16 Bills 9
Note - this has nothing to do with the handicapping of this game but the Jets-Bills game is the biggest game for fights at RWS each year. Being a 4:00 game it gives each side plenty of time to tailgate and get good and drunk. I will take the OVER 150 arrests. If it is a blowout in the second half, this number coud hit 300 easy.
I also like the under in the Denver - KC game. These two have only broke 48 once in last five years. loss of McCaffrey is huge to broncos ability to score. He was the best 3rd down receiver in league and kept drives alive. Not to mention his ability around the goal line. Smith, while a great receiver, is not a great 3rd down receiver. there is a difference. I expect the number of first downs to decrease this year for the Broncos. i also don't think that anderson and gary will have the success they have had over past two years. they are not exceptional runners and we helped greatly by the threat of the passing game of denver, which i feel decreases without mccaffrey doing the dirty work over the middle.
Even when denver was full strength and scoring in bunches, KC always played them tough. this line is driven up by the explosion of scoring last week by KC but that was against a injury depleted washington defense. Any defense that can make priest Holmes look like Jim thorpe has to be suspect at best. I love the under here also!
