Buick Challenge

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Will throw caution to the wind and start this one,as I fail to see worse how it can get worse than last weeks bounces.

Got some early outrights I'm looking at but will wait for Oly & 5dimes before official tabs but have secured a few of these expecting changes.

All these players rate in top 12 scoring ave of players entered on this course,are in good current form and all at present 40/1 or greater.

Edwards-Funk-Riley and Estes.

Edwards took my $10 e/w weekly S&G shot at him early @
Sportingbet again this week.Was in good shape last week (80/1) but spit the bit on last day.He is listed their currently @ 50/1 but was 66/1 for very short time at opening.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet Id: 5694968 - Click here for a full breakdown of your bet.

Placing Time: Mon Oct 21 23:33:44 2002

Type: Single

Each Way: Y

Basic Stake: 10.00 $

This bet consists of: Selection Backing Bet Type Odds

Buick Challenge J Edwards Each Way 1/4 odds place 1-5 66/1
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Estes is 40/1 currently at 365 which is best of my outs so far.

Funk-Riley and Edwards are all 50/1 currently @ SIA where place only wagers are available.
Appleby is also a consideration.

Will sort official list when lines drop @ Oly and 5dimes

 

[Ian]

Going for Carlos Franco at the generous price of 100/1 Centrebet

 

[Clive]

Estes 50/1 at Stan James DTB, do they let you bet?!

 

[milpalm]

Estes 40/1 Bet365. He has 3 top 10s in his last 4 events and was 3rd here last year.

Edwards 66/1 Bet365. Another player with solid credentials. Top 10 finishes in this event the last two years.

 

[steved]

1 ew Appleby 40/1 (365)...2nd here two years ago, in a good run of form, although cannot quite do the deed..hoping better to come..
1 ew Duval 25/1 (PPower)..course form great, been showing signs recently, but then not quite doing it...that is why you can get 25..other books see better things and go 14's...

 

[bettingmad]

Just arbed that Stan James 50 Estes at betfair.... so it won't last much longer. There is still another ?58 requested at 41/1 at betfair.... ?40 @ 50/1 against ?42 @ 41/1 wins ?278 for no loss should he win.

 

[kjls04202]

I am a bit confused as to what is needed to win this tourney. Par 5 figures have been important in the last couple of years but looking at those with good course form it seems as those who are a little bit shorter but more accurate do well.

I like David Peoples as he has a bit of both. He is average length, has good par 5 stats, he is accurate and he putted as good as he has for some while last week. I have backed him before this year and he missed the cut both times but I am hopeful that he can win in the near future, whether it is this year or early next.

Kenny Perry showed more last week and he is another with a chance although he does get collywobbles on the lead.

Also Like Love111 if only he can get it together for the whole tourney.

Good luck all !!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Howdy Clive Don't know but will check on them. Thanks

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Gadzooks what is Wally thinking about or know that we don't.
He's got Edwards @ 100/1 ????
Will take a little of that on 1st official play will add rest in am in this thread.
1/2 unit to place @ Oly
Edwards 25/1

While I am thinking about it got a question for you # crunchers.
If given choice at same odds would you rather have place 5 places-ties divvy or 4 places and ties pay full odds?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
I see Oly has corrected this morning and have Joel rduced to 40/1

adding outrights 1/2 unit
Edwards 18/1 hcp +6 strokes @ 5dimes
6 strokes would have done the job here past 2 years.

Estes 10/1 @ Oly
Funk 12.5 @ SIA
Riley 12.5 @SIA

All the above rank in top 12 scoring ave of players entered on this course all have had top 5 finish here in last 4years except Riley who has only 1 start 10th---- and collectly have 15 top 5's between them this year.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 holes
Dimarco -110 over Duval @ Sia (ties lose)
could list page full of reasons but will opt for 1
Dimarco cut once in 27 events-Duval cut 9 times in 23 events
1 concern is Dimarco will have double wammy on him as past champ here and winner last week.

Couldn't find a local paper with shit for news but will share this link from Orlando Sentinal that is dandy quick reference chart.
http://sports.orlandosentinel.com/default.asp?c=orlandosentinel&page=golf-m/stat/pga-top10.htm

Will add other 72holes in this page later. 5dimes not dropped yet????
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding 72 holes
Toms -120 over Dimarco @ Cascade
Janzen -110 over Mayfair @ Sportingbet (ties lose)

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1 unit):

David Toms to win 16/1 e.w. @ Totalbet
Retained as a selection from last week even though he failed by a shot to finish in the top-4. Considering that he slipped on his way to the 1st tee last Thursday and hurt both his hand and his leg in the process, it was a very fine effort to finish as highly as he did, shooting 65-65 over the weekend. has a chequered history on this course - he won in 1999, but missed cuts in 1998 and 2000 before withdrawing injured after an opening 72 last year. As long as he can avoid injury this week, he is justifiably joint favourite with SkyBet and in my opinion as well.

Davis Love to win 20/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Strange to find myself backing Davis Love as many times as I have done this year - at least I haven't repeated the same mistake with Darren Clarke in Europe - but his course form is compelling. He has made very cut since the Mountain View course was first used in 1991 and has finished in the top-5 four times in the last six years, including victory in 1997. The lengthening of the course should suit him and he has been playing well this summer; he would have been close to a top-5 finish last week had he not had such a disappointing opening round. Will back him again.

Stuart Appleby to win 35/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes [.5 units to win @ 35/1 & .5 units to finish in top-5 @ 38/5]
Not siding with a local player in the third selection, but backing a player in excellent form. He attributes his 2nd place finish in the British Open to turning his game and his confidence around and he has carried that form onto the PGA Tour as well. He finished 2nd in the Invensys Classic two weeks ago and started strongly last week, though he shot a higher round each day. Standing 32nd in the Money List, he will not be short of motivation this week and a repeat of his 2nd place finish in 1999 is a distinct possibility.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1 unit unless stated):

Scott Verplank to beat Billy Andrade -111 @ Ladbrokes
Scott Verplank to beat Scott McCarron -110 @ GameDay
Brad Faxon to beat Steve Elkington +100 @ Sportingbet or Sporting Odds
John Huston to beat Craig Parry -120 @ Intertops
David Toms to beat Steve Lowery -150 @ WSEX [2 units]

 

[lostinamerica]

Three for me:

Stuart Appleby(35/1) for 0.20*e.w. @ 5dimes
It's apple season and he earned another chance off last week.

Gary Evans(60/1) for 0.20* e.w. @ 5dimes
Seems a candidate to shine or scramble here on his way to a good close to his season.

Tom Watson(7/1) for 0.30* e.w. @ Bet365
Not a bad set of circumstances for Tom Watson to display the game of a champion. It's all to play for.

GL

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

added 2 72 holes matches in thread.

Question Stan? As I was looking at matchups on your webpage and Cascade had some lines -118 to -118. Do they have different Euro lines from US lines?

 

[steved]

adding a very small 0.5 ew
Waite 300/1 (VChandler)...6th in Canada a few events ago...seen pattern that indicates a top 10 likely in this or next week's events...probably because struggling for card, but 150th on money list should be spur enough...

 

[Stanley]

Those -118 lines should read Expekt and not Cascade. Sorry!

 

[Monarch]

Gotta tip my hat to u DTB for carrying the 'anti-Duval' torch throughout the season. He tried to come back at us a few times but we've had him buried most of the season. Looking like another good week for Duval opposition .

What is up with that banner on pgatour.com?? Is it supposed to be separating the t-6 from the field??

 

[bettingmad]

I think they put it there for me so that I know to look below that line for my man's score

 

[Stanley]

It is so annoying though

 

[Monarch]

Perhaps the bookies could start offering 'to finish above the banner' place options. :shrug: