Heading out of town and not sure I'll have computer access so will throw up an outright before I leave.
Calc to place (top 5) @ Skybet 16/1
Calc to place (top 5) @ Skybet 16/1
Buick Classic
- Thread starter DOGS THAT BARK
- Start date
Outright plays (1 unit):
Vijay Singh to win 14/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Paddy Power and BlueSq
There is good reason to avoid a player who was in contention in a major the previous week, but Singh does not seem to fit this bill. Taking a top-20 finish as being in contention (he finished 20th last week), he has finished 3rd, 6th and 11th on the three occasions since the start of the 2001 season that he has followed a top-20 finish in a major with an event the following week. Add this to the fact that he is a two-time winner of this event (1993 and 1995) and has finished outside the top-25 just twice in ten starts here, then there is plenty of reasons to expect a better finish to this week than last.
David Toms to win 20/1 e.w. @ Bet365 and UKBetting
In the last month, Toms has quietly followed a win at the Wachovia Championship with a 6th place finish in the Byron Nelson Championship and a 5th place finish at Olympia Fields last week. He hasn't been this consistent all year and will surely fancy his chances in this event. He played for the first time in six years and finished 12th last year and he was never in contention last week until a low 4th round enabled him to keep rising up the leaderboard all day long. He should be fresh and the course does suit his game.
Stewart Cink to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
There can be no doubt that this course suits Cink's game. In five starts here, he has three top-6 finishes. He had been well-fancied for last week's event given his form since March and his 62-61 in the U.S. Open qualifier at The Lakes, but was always too far off the pace. This looks a good week to truly show his form.
Vijay Singh to win 14/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Paddy Power and BlueSq
There is good reason to avoid a player who was in contention in a major the previous week, but Singh does not seem to fit this bill. Taking a top-20 finish as being in contention (he finished 20th last week), he has finished 3rd, 6th and 11th on the three occasions since the start of the 2001 season that he has followed a top-20 finish in a major with an event the following week. Add this to the fact that he is a two-time winner of this event (1993 and 1995) and has finished outside the top-25 just twice in ten starts here, then there is plenty of reasons to expect a better finish to this week than last.
David Toms to win 20/1 e.w. @ Bet365 and UKBetting
In the last month, Toms has quietly followed a win at the Wachovia Championship with a 6th place finish in the Byron Nelson Championship and a 5th place finish at Olympia Fields last week. He hasn't been this consistent all year and will surely fancy his chances in this event. He played for the first time in six years and finished 12th last year and he was never in contention last week until a low 4th round enabled him to keep rising up the leaderboard all day long. He should be fresh and the course does suit his game.
Stewart Cink to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
There can be no doubt that this course suits Cink's game. In five starts here, he has three top-6 finishes. He had been well-fancied for last week's event given his form since March and his 62-61 in the U.S. Open qualifier at The Lakes, but was always too far off the pace. This looks a good week to truly show his form.
2 bets for me
Garcia
- I really think he is getting close to being back - and why not on a course where he has played so well in the past - 66/1 Ladbrokes probably won't last
Duffy - 66/1 most places (85 BF) - 2nd last time out and some good performances here in the past including a win.
Garcia
- I really think he is getting close to being back - and why not on a course where he has played so well in the past - 66/1 Ladbrokes probably won't lastDuffy - 66/1 most places (85 BF) - 2nd last time out and some good performances here in the past including a win.
Matchup plays (1 unit):
Fred Funk to beat Brad Faxon -111 @ Centrebet
Faxon has a very good record at Westchester, but is out of form. Two missed cuts and a best finish of 34th in his last five events does not compare well to three finishes in the top-11 in Funk's last five events. Funk has played well here in the past and should at least repeat his top-25 place finish of last year.
Scott Verplank to beat Billy Mayfair -143 @ Easybets
Verplank's course form is not particularly impressive and this is his first reappearance since 1997 when he missed the cut for the second time in five visits. It look good when compared to Mayfair's course form though. He has four missed cuts and a 73rd place finish in his five previous visits. With Mayfair having finished ahead of Verplank just once in the last three months (seven events), it should be difficult for him to achieve it this week.
Scott Verplank to beat Hal Sutton -120 @ SkyBet
There is no doubting that Sutton has shown an impressive return to form this season with three top-10 finishes in his last six events, but he fail to qualify for the U.S. Open and his record on this course is far from impressive. Despite this upsurge in form, Verplank still holds a h2h lead over him in the past three months and with five top-10 finishes in his last eight starts, looks far more consistent and likely to finish on the leaderboard this week.
Jeff Sluman to beat Hal Sutton +100 @ BlueSq
Sluman is another who has excellent current form and questionable course form. He missed the cut at the weekend, but had finished in the top-20 in each of his last five events and these were all against strong fields. Like Verplank, he looks too consistent for Sutton and will gladly take these odds as they are reversed elsewhere in this common matchup.
Fred Funk to beat Brad Faxon -111 @ Centrebet
Faxon has a very good record at Westchester, but is out of form. Two missed cuts and a best finish of 34th in his last five events does not compare well to three finishes in the top-11 in Funk's last five events. Funk has played well here in the past and should at least repeat his top-25 place finish of last year.
Scott Verplank to beat Billy Mayfair -143 @ Easybets
Verplank's course form is not particularly impressive and this is his first reappearance since 1997 when he missed the cut for the second time in five visits. It look good when compared to Mayfair's course form though. He has four missed cuts and a 73rd place finish in his five previous visits. With Mayfair having finished ahead of Verplank just once in the last three months (seven events), it should be difficult for him to achieve it this week.
Scott Verplank to beat Hal Sutton -120 @ SkyBet
There is no doubting that Sutton has shown an impressive return to form this season with three top-10 finishes in his last six events, but he fail to qualify for the U.S. Open and his record on this course is far from impressive. Despite this upsurge in form, Verplank still holds a h2h lead over him in the past three months and with five top-10 finishes in his last eight starts, looks far more consistent and likely to finish on the leaderboard this week.
Jeff Sluman to beat Hal Sutton +100 @ BlueSq
Sluman is another who has excellent current form and questionable course form. He missed the cut at the weekend, but had finished in the top-20 in each of his last five events and these were all against strong fields. Like Verplank, he looks too consistent for Sutton and will gladly take these odds as they are reversed elsewhere in this common matchup.
ew Lonard 66/1 Stan James...
backed him for top ROW last week, and apparently he had a cold and was taking drugs to stop the symptoms, which affected his putting..in addition, he lost ideal position for stance/ball address during the second round and only fixed it at the 10th on final day (shot a 68), so hope he carries it over to course where 9th last year augurs well...
Lonard advises practice canx on course on Monday due to bad conditions, so sounds like soft going likely...
backed him for top ROW last week, and apparently he had a cold and was taking drugs to stop the symptoms, which affected his putting..in addition, he lost ideal position for stance/ball address during the second round and only fixed it at the 10th on final day (shot a 68), so hope he carries it over to course where 9th last year augurs well...
Lonard advises practice canx on course on Monday due to bad conditions, so sounds like soft going likely...
Adding (1 unit):
Retief Goosen to beat Sergio Garcia -125 @ BlueSq
Garcia has good course form, but it is still very easy to oppose someone who has missed six of his last eight PGA Tour cuts. Goosen underperformed last week, but should repeat his top-25 finish of last year at the very least.
Jerry Kelly to beat Rory Sabbatini -111 @ BetandWin
Kelly blows hot-and-cold as much as Sabbatini - four top-10s in his last ten starts, but also three cuts missed - but he still consistently finishes ahead of him when they compete together. His h2h advantage is 5-2-0 over the past three months and 10-4-0 over the past year. With Sabbatini having missed the cut on his two previous visits and Kelly finishing in the top-10 last year, this should be another profitable week from opposing the South African.
Retief Goosen to beat Sergio Garcia -125 @ BlueSq
Garcia has good course form, but it is still very easy to oppose someone who has missed six of his last eight PGA Tour cuts. Goosen underperformed last week, but should repeat his top-25 finish of last year at the very least.
Jerry Kelly to beat Rory Sabbatini -111 @ BetandWin
Kelly blows hot-and-cold as much as Sabbatini - four top-10s in his last ten starts, but also three cuts missed - but he still consistently finishes ahead of him when they compete together. His h2h advantage is 5-2-0 over the past three months and 10-4-0 over the past year. With Sabbatini having missed the cut on his two previous visits and Kelly finishing in the top-10 last year, this should be another profitable week from opposing the South African.
1st round plays (1 unit unless stated):
David Gossett to beat Woody Austin -105 @ Five Dimes [2 units]
David Gossett +.5 to beat Joe Durant -130 @ WSEX
David Gossett to beat Woody Austin -105 @ Five Dimes [2 units]
David Gossett +.5 to beat Joe Durant -130 @ WSEX
I'm back from Chicagoland just in time to hazard a few guesses in Westchester:
OUTRIGHTS for 0.50* e.w.:
Stewart Cink(22/1) @ Bet365
Duffy Waldorf(66/1) @ Bet365
Woody Austin(150/1) @ 5 dimes
Scott Verplank(33/1) @ Bet365
GL
OUTRIGHTS for 0.50* e.w.:
Stewart Cink(22/1) @ Bet365
Duffy Waldorf(66/1) @ Bet365
Woody Austin(150/1) @ 5 dimes
Scott Verplank(33/1) @ Bet365
GL
Rory Sabbatini over Ben Crane
Rory been hot and Ben has been good. Rory should continue his winning ways.
Rory been hot and Ben has been good. Rory should continue his winning ways.
2nd round (5 dimes)
Jacobsen -125 over Andrade
except for the fact that Andrade had a good tourney here 2 years ago, the way things have been going lately this seems like a mismatch
Jacobsen -125 over Andrade
except for the fact that Andrade had a good tourney here 2 years ago, the way things have been going lately this seems like a mismatch
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Didn't miss much while away with lift-clean and place conditions and more rain project throughout. Will take a stab at a couple 2nd rounders @ WSEX both - 1/2 stroke
Petrovic -115 over Micheel
Calc -105 over Sutton
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding a 3ball as a match play
Kelly +162 over Garcia and Duval
Haven't had chance to get to oppose both in same 3ball so will have to take a shot.
Appears Garcia's new coach may be getting a little results as he made cut right on # last week for 1st cut made in 4 events.
Looking at his day yesterday appears he had cyliders firing as he ranked 1st eagles-2birdies and 1st in putts per green --but only shot 1 under. Doubt if he's he so fortunate back to back.
Will look anyway as opp to go against both at same time might be long time coming again.
Petrovic -115 over Micheel
Calc -105 over Sutton
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding a 3ball as a match play
Kelly +162 over Garcia and Duval
Haven't had chance to get to oppose both in same 3ball so will have to take a shot.
Appears Garcia's new coach may be getting a little results as he made cut right on # last week for 1st cut made in 4 events.
Looking at his day yesterday appears he had cyliders firing as he ranked 1st eagles-2birdies and 1st in putts per green --but only shot 1 under. Doubt if he's he so fortunate back to back.
Will look anyway as opp to go against both at same time might be long time coming again.
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Yee gads not a good day,should have stayed in missouri as not a selection broke par.
2nd rd 0-3
Petrovic -115 over Micheel loss
Calc -105 over Sutton loss (nice call by Stan on Sutton)
3ball as a match play
Kelly +162 over Garcia and Duval loss
in addition only outright Cal failed to make cut.
2nd rd 0-3
Petrovic -115 over Micheel loss
Calc -105 over Sutton loss (nice call by Stan on Sutton)
3ball as a match play
Kelly +162 over Garcia and Duval loss
in addition only outright Cal failed to make cut.
2nd round update: 2-1-0; +1.10 units
Sutherland/Clark WON by 2.5
Sutton/Calcavecchia WON by 2.5
Toledo/Baird LOST by 0.5
Mid-point update:
Funk/Faxon Trails by 5
Verplank/Mayfair Leads by 2
Verplank/Sutton WON by 8
Sluman/Sutton WON by 3
Goosen/Garcia Leads by 6
Kelly/Sabbatini LOST by 1
Singh 15th
Toms 31st
Cink mc
Promising position at the cut with a healthy profit in the 18-hole plays and the matchups generally ahead. Almost a bumper day today with the 2nd round plays - only denied by a two-shot swing against Toledo on the 17th hole. Singh and Toms are not out of the hunt for at least a top-5 spot.
3rd round play (1 unit):
Billy Andrade to beat Per-Ulrik Johansson -113 @ Five Dimes
Sutherland/Clark WON by 2.5
Sutton/Calcavecchia WON by 2.5
Toledo/Baird LOST by 0.5
Mid-point update:
Funk/Faxon Trails by 5
Verplank/Mayfair Leads by 2
Verplank/Sutton WON by 8
Sluman/Sutton WON by 3
Goosen/Garcia Leads by 6
Kelly/Sabbatini LOST by 1
Singh 15th
Toms 31st
Cink mc
Promising position at the cut with a healthy profit in the 18-hole plays and the matchups generally ahead. Almost a bumper day today with the 2nd round plays - only denied by a two-shot swing against Toledo on the 17th hole. Singh and Toms are not out of the hunt for at least a top-5 spot.
3rd round play (1 unit):
Billy Andrade to beat Per-Ulrik Johansson -113 @ Five Dimes
No place only outrights offered at Oly or Sia
While I like this course and layout I do not care for LC&P conditions which make many semi ball strikers into good ball strikers if they can find the fairway. Will not risk over 5 units in matches on this tourney and have 3 gone so will go with one today and reserve other for 4th rd if this one bites the dust.
Verplank +105 over Couples @ Wsex (-1/2) stroke
Verplank the better player,has full shot 3rd rd scoring advantage and Fred's back always subject to act up especially in damp weather. Stat wise it looks solid but LC&P has a way of diminishing stats.
While I like this course and layout I do not care for LC&P conditions which make many semi ball strikers into good ball strikers if they can find the fairway. Will not risk over 5 units in matches on this tourney and have 3 gone so will go with one today and reserve other for 4th rd if this one bites the dust.
Verplank +105 over Couples @ Wsex (-1/2) stroke
Verplank the better player,has full shot 3rd rd scoring advantage and Fred's back always subject to act up especially in damp weather. Stat wise it looks solid but LC&P has a way of diminishing stats.
gonna reluctantly add an E/W outright in running @ Boyles for 1 unit total wager. (1/2 E/W)
Singh 20/1
Is no secret as I said before and if you followed Singh last week,if bounces go bad he will quit in a heart beat but will look at him here especially with this track and odds.
Ranks 2nd in par 4 peformance which in my view is most overlooked and one of the most telling all purpose stats especially on par 70/71 layouts as par 4's take in all aspects from tee to green and are most prevailant hole in rd.
If you look at top 5 Furyk-Singh-Campbell-Love-Weir I think it will confirm that.
between them> 9 wins/25 top 5's and 35 top 10's
Weir found the house in running @ 12/1 last week,maybe Singh finds it this week.
Singh 20/1
Is no secret as I said before and if you followed Singh last week,if bounces go bad he will quit in a heart beat but will look at him here especially with this track and odds.
Ranks 2nd in par 4 peformance which in my view is most overlooked and one of the most telling all purpose stats especially on par 70/71 layouts as par 4's take in all aspects from tee to green and are most prevailant hole in rd.
If you look at top 5 Furyk-Singh-Campbell-Love-Weir I think it will confirm that.
between them> 9 wins/25 top 5's and 35 top 10's
Weir found the house in running @ 12/1 last week,maybe Singh finds it this week.
JL's One Back
JL's One Back
It would be a nice Win with Fitz's on the bag. he's a sweating mofo.
JL's One Back
It would be a nice Win with Fitz's on the bag. he's a sweating mofo.
steve how do you know cuz he is a very funny person just wait till
he sweats next week at memphis. where i had my claimed afame
when i won with dicky pride in 1994 . when we won in a playoff
it was awesome.
he sweats next week at memphis. where i had my claimed afame
when i won with dicky pride in 1994 . when we won in a playoff
it was awesome.
3rd round update: 1-0-0; +1.00 units
Andrade/Johansson WON by 3
Final update:
Matchups: 4-2-0; +1.64 units
Funk/Faxon WON by 1
Verplank/Mayfair WON by 7
Goosen/Garcia LOST by 4
18-holes: 4-1-0; +5.10 units
Outrights: 0-3; -3.00 units
Singh 18th
Toms 18th
Profitable event with a good return on the matchups and 18-hole plays. Singh and Toms never got into the top-10 let alone the top-5, so it finished pretty much as good as it could get.
PGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 96-54; +33.83 units
18-holes: 87-82; -13.54 units
Outrights: 20-62; +46.22 units
All Tours ytd
Matchups: 215-156; +41.84 units
18-holes: 170-147; +14.59 units
Outrights: 50-189; +8.16 units
Andrade/Johansson WON by 3
Final update:
Matchups: 4-2-0; +1.64 units
Funk/Faxon WON by 1
Verplank/Mayfair WON by 7
Goosen/Garcia LOST by 4
18-holes: 4-1-0; +5.10 units
Outrights: 0-3; -3.00 units
Singh 18th
Toms 18th
Profitable event with a good return on the matchups and 18-hole plays. Singh and Toms never got into the top-10 let alone the top-5, so it finished pretty much as good as it could get.
PGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 96-54; +33.83 units
18-holes: 87-82; -13.54 units
Outrights: 20-62; +46.22 units
All Tours ytd
Matchups: 215-156; +41.84 units
18-holes: 170-147; +14.59 units
Outrights: 50-189; +8.16 units
finals 3rd rd 1-0
Verplank/Couples
Outrights Calc and Singh cut and quit
Outrights week -2 units YTD +31.8
Matches week 1-3 - 2.15 units
ytd 165-108 +50.31 units
Boring event and watched G Park in her hot pink outfit most of day. Was glad to see Kaye get 1st win or anyone else but
Kendal. Can not stand him after reading how he stiffed sister out of money she lent him when he started.
Will make note to delete this touney from any stats for future reference. Lift Cheat and Place for 4 days is junk.
Verplank/Couples
Outrights Calc and Singh cut and quit
Outrights week -2 units YTD +31.8
Matches week 1-3 - 2.15 units
ytd 165-108 +50.31 units
Boring event and watched G Park in her hot pink outfit most of day.
Was glad to see Kaye get 1st win or anyone else but Kendal. Can not stand him after reading how he stiffed sister out of money she lent him when he started.
Will make note to delete this touney from any stats for future reference. Lift Cheat and Place for 4 days is junk.
