Outright plays (1.5pts):
Stephen Ames to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Victor Chandler
Difficult to keep him on the script! He finished 6th last week on a course on which he had one missed cut in the previous four years. That's a big improvement and his course form this week is a big improvement on last week: he finished in the top-10 on his last appearance. This is a course on which his biggest weakness, his driving, is unimportant and he really should finish in the top-7 for the sixth consecutive time.
Fredrik Jacobson to win 50/1 e.w. @ SkyBet and Victor Chandler
I can't see why his price is so high. He has been in great form for the past three months and is fully living up to the potential he showed when finishing 5th in the U.S. Open last year and winning three times on the European Tour. He played in this event last year so he has course experience and 36th place was certainly a credible finish after his U.S. Open performance the previous week - his first event Stateside. He can play 3-woods and 2-irons off the tee to keep him in play and so avoid his biggest problem - wayward driving - and once he get to the greens there are few better on Tour. A winner-in-waiting.
Jay Haas to win 80/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Tempted to wait for Paddy Power's top-10 market to open, but it looks as though he will be no more than 6/1. He would still be value at these odds because it is course on which short-hitters and experienced players play particularly well. The young big-hitters have no advantage at Westchester as Haas showed when finishing 4th last year despite an opening 74. He gave up four shots to Kaye in that 1st round, but finished only three shots back. Provided he has the stamina to compete this week as well as the last two weeks, this looks a huge price given the course setup.
Stephen Ames to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Victor Chandler
Difficult to keep him on the script! He finished 6th last week on a course on which he had one missed cut in the previous four years. That's a big improvement and his course form this week is a big improvement on last week: he finished in the top-10 on his last appearance. This is a course on which his biggest weakness, his driving, is unimportant and he really should finish in the top-7 for the sixth consecutive time.
Fredrik Jacobson to win 50/1 e.w. @ SkyBet and Victor Chandler
I can't see why his price is so high. He has been in great form for the past three months and is fully living up to the potential he showed when finishing 5th in the U.S. Open last year and winning three times on the European Tour. He played in this event last year so he has course experience and 36th place was certainly a credible finish after his U.S. Open performance the previous week - his first event Stateside. He can play 3-woods and 2-irons off the tee to keep him in play and so avoid his biggest problem - wayward driving - and once he get to the greens there are few better on Tour. A winner-in-waiting.
Jay Haas to win 80/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Tempted to wait for Paddy Power's top-10 market to open, but it looks as though he will be no more than 6/1. He would still be value at these odds because it is course on which short-hitters and experienced players play particularly well. The young big-hitters have no advantage at Westchester as Haas showed when finishing 4th last year despite an opening 74. He gave up four shots to Kaye in that 1st round, but finished only three shots back. Provided he has the stamina to compete this week as well as the last two weeks, this looks a huge price given the course setup.
