Busy Tuesday... Looks like a hard freeze is coming... Delay the Garden

[Musca]

Providence +;
Ball State -1; Line movement play
Syracuse +; UND probably playing as well as anyone but that Zone can mess with you.
WVA +; What a mess of a team but they played better vs Baylor. TCU has Texas Tech on deck. Tricky game
Arkansas +17- Kentucky has Ten on deck
Duke Under
LSU Under
North Alabama +1.5- Dolphins do not deserve to be road faves
Seattle +3; Utah Valley playing well but Seattle may have turned the corner... b2b wins and they had NMSU on the ropes...


Big Line Movement
Ball State 140--> 146
Duke 147--->143
Buffalo 144--->150 --->148.5
UMASS 139.5---->134.5


Have fun- Back later if the sharpies get more involved

 

[LordofBalls]

Musca,

seeking a little guidance for reference material...

Scoresandodds.com has matchup histories of both game and 1st halfs... but NOT for Extra games, and usually not for Added gms either.

DonBest.com has more of the "game" matchups than S&O, but doesn't include 1st half results...

can't seem to find it on kenpom... vegasinsider... can u post a link on here if you know of one (when u have time)?

thanks and g'luck!

 

[Musca]

Historical matchups are not something I use extensively.

Covers breakers down matchups in a pretty decent way. I use KenPom for projections and pace expectations. Similar to haslametrics. I do not look at historical data as much. I know that i can pull scoring broken down in 10 minute increments on Kenpoms site. I just have to go in and go through box by box by box.

I do not use Statfox but I know people that do.

I use;

Kenpom
Haslametrics
Massey
Covers
Then I have the twitter account of every school and the local journalist (s) that covers the school
I also have a ton of young hoop writers

 

[LordofBalls]

thanks!

 

[Musca]

There are situations that I look for.. That most of us look for... Win X happens then Y etc etc... I do not usually post big plays because I do not like the feeling of having liability for people who may make the play because of my information...

Texas A&M +10.5 and +515; LSU coming off a bvery improbable win on Saturday without Waters and with Reid only scoring in the final moments. The emotion of that game was off the charts. Now lowly Texas A&M comes to town. No ESPN Gameday, no #1 team in the nation, no Waters (Again)... Game 1 Waters scored 36 and LSU scored 72... This game just sets up nicely for me. Stepping out here.

SDSU +8; Obviously we know SDSU just upset Nevada at Viejas now they are heading into the Morril center and face a very good USU team... But USU does not play defense like SDSU AND USU has Nevada on deck. How can they focus against lowly SDSU with big bad Nevada coming to town. Really think we could see USU not the sharpest and if that is the case vs this SDSU team right now they could sneak out of town with a W.

Hook them up, hook up the moneylines and lets go to town.

 

[Musca]

Well that was ugly.
Di pretty well early and then lost LSU by half point... Honestly game had no flow and was not what I expected. I believe TAM could have won the game but they gained no tractions.

SDSU on the other hand was not really ever there. Ugly game. USU looked good but really SDSU looked that bad.

Overall could have been better.
Should have just stayed with the early plays


on to tomorrow

 

[LordofBalls]

That's been the story of SDSU this yr...
not a strong road team.. they may win vs avg/weaker opponents, but facing a toughie, they forget how to shoot/can't score

Many of the guys I look at "loved" SD tonite, so I jumped on board myself and got reminded lol

better luck tomorrow!

 

[Musca]

It was a classic set with USU having the look ahead... The good news is I did not chase it in the 2nd half.

Not a bad night. Selling dog treats today so not sure how much I will be around.

Look into the scenarios in the Southland... Look closely at the Islanders tonight (Not hockey)

 

[buddy]

Selling dog treats today so not sure how much I will be around.

How much for fifteen, 6" "Thick Bully Sticks?"?

 

[Musca]

How much for fifteen, 6" "Thick Bully Sticks?"?

BUlly Sticks are a proprietary item made by those bully people... we make our own treats
www.LaBarkeria.dog