By the numbers...........Pitt/Kent

[bear]

Pitt/Kent St.........pk

Kent State scores 4.3 more points than their opposition usually gives up.
Pitt usually gives up 60.4 points.........so Kent will score 64.7pts

Pitt D allows 11.1 fewer points than its opposition averages.
Kent St averages 76pts .....................so Kent will score 64.9pts

Kent St road average is 72.6 points (-11.1) Kent..........61.5pts

Average........................Kent State will Score 63.7 or 64 points


Pitt scores 1.9 more points than opp. gives up.
Kent usually gives up 63.3......so Pitt will score 65.2 points

Kent D allows 8 fewer points than opp. averages.
Pitt averages 72.3pts...........so Pitt will score 64.3 points

Pitt road sverage is 70.6 pts (-8)........Pitt........62.6 points

Average.........................Pitt will score 64.0

Now add the effect that strength of opposition would have on these numbers............power rating of opp from 1 source has a diff on avg of 1.5 pts in favor of Pitt for the tougher sched.

Bottom line...............way too close to call this one
Also O/U at 128.5 is right on the money........no play

good luck
bear.............all that time for a no play will try CT/S Ill

 

[bear]

Connecticut is a little

Bigger......more athletic....probably has the best offensive ballplayer on the floor (Caron Butler) >Probably the best defensive player on the floor (Emeka Okafor).....AND the game will be in the familiar confines of a Big East school (Syracuse)

By the numbers...
S. Ill. scores 6.5 more than opp gives up. Ct. gives up 68.9 so S. Ill will score 75.4 pts.

Ct Ds at 4.7 pts less than opp averages, S. Ill averages 76 so S. Ill will score 71.3 pts

S. Ill road average is 73.0 (-4.7) so S. Ill will score 68.3 pts

Average for Southern Illinois..................71.7 or 72points

CT scores 7.5 more pts than opposition gives up. S Ill gives up on avg. 67.3 so Ct will score 74.8 points

S. Ill Ds at 2.4 points less than opp. averages. CT averages 77.9 so CT will score 75.4

CT road average is 75.2 (- 2.4) so CT will score 72.8pts

Average.........CT will score 74.3.............

CT tougher schedule by approx 2.8 points

Final Score 77-72............no play....... but I'll do a small play on the chance CT will get better play from Taliek Brown, Johnnie Selvie and ( scoreless in the tournament) Ben Gordon.

good luck
bear

 

[cooz3]

good stuff...those games are extremely tough calls..i'm looking at the ducks as a potential play....as well as the over

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Good post Bear, I can see this game being closee at the end and posssibly foul shots coming into play, maybe even OT.

Hence, I will be on the OVER

 

[Box and one]

Nice info Bear.Been capping for 3 days now on my 2 BE teams.Still to tough to make the call.I've been real lucky in the tourney going with and against the BE teams.I have tonite to make up my mind.
Nice post.