Calgary @ Toronto Notes

cdn_ice

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Sep 22, 2004
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Current line: Toronto -9.5/44 (Olympic)

-This is Toronto's first home game off an unusually long 4-game road trip.
-Prior to 4-game road trip the average total points for Toronto games was 35 - now 42.
-Calgary traded three starters to Winnipeg in the "Khari Jones" trade this past weekend - 2 on defense (Lysack,Fleming) and 1 on offense (Regimbald).
-Toronto and Calgary have two worst rushing yard differentials in the CFL.
-This will be Calgary's 5th game in 23 days.
-Games involving teams playing within 5 days or less of their previous game are 7-1 UNDER for the first half.

My opinion:

I suspect Calgary will try to run the ball against the last-ranked Toronto run defense - in the first half at least - to see if they can take some heat off the rookie QB.

Under normal circumstances I would play UNDER for either the first half or game. However, with Calgary starting a rookie QB facing this ball hawking defense and a returner in Livingston there are more chances for defensive turnovers and long returns that could shorten the field for Toronto. This is another nothing game for Calgary so they are also likely to take some chances a playoff- bound team wouldn't consider.

PASS
 
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