Canadien Football League Grey Cup Final

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Canadien Football League Grey Cup Final

After another long CFL campaign, the season comes down to the two division winners for the 97th Grey Cup. Montreal has been the best team in the league from the start of the season, while Saskatchewan finished the year 7-3-1 SU and never lost to the defending Grey Cup champions Calgary in three final matchups, despite playing them that frequently over a six week period.

The Alouettes are 16-3 (12-7 ATS) and have won in dominating fashion all year. Their average margin of victory has been 14.5 points per game. Quarterback Anthony Calvillo spearheads a potent passing attack, throwing for more than 4,600 yards and 26 touchdowns, against just six interceptions. They own the offensive trifecta of leading the CFL in points, passing and total offense. Montreal is 9-2 ATS after having won four out of their last five games this season.

The Als also boast the best defense, allowing the fewest points (18 per game) and fewest total yards (298). They are 17-6 ATS away from home when they allow 15 to 21 points in a game.

Saskatchewan (11-7 SU & ATS) is led by QB Darian Durant, who after stepping into the starting lineup early in the season took the Roughriders to the top of the West Division for the first time in 32 years. Saskatchewan is not as prolific as Montreal offensively, however is second in points scored at 28.5. The Roughriders have enjoyed success against good defenses and are 7-0 ATS versus passing defenses allowing 7.4 or less passing yards per attempt.

Sportsbook.com has Montreal as 9.5-point favorites with total of 55 at McMahon Stadium in Calgary, Alberta. The way the Als are playing it?s hard to fathom they won?t be Cup champions, however Montreal quarterback Calvillo is only 1-5 SU when presented with this opportunity. The Alouettes are 12-26 ATS covering the spread in three out of their last four tries. Saskatchewan is 7-0 ATS away from home after two or more consecutive wins against the spread since 2007.

Montreal defeated Saskatchewan in both meetings (1-1 ATS) during the regular season by a combined score of 77-35. In the last few years, these squads have split six confrontations, with the Roughriders 4-2 ATS.

Montreal is 5-11 in Grey Cup Finals having last won in 2002, while Saskatchewan is 3-13 (including as Regina), but were champions just two years ago.
 

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Grey Cup betting preview and pick

Grey Cup betting preview and pick

Grey Cup betting preview and pick
By CHARLES-ANDR? MARCHAND
Charles-Andr? Marchand is a CFL analyst and play-by-play announcer for CKAC-730 AM.

Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Montreal Alouettes (-9.5, 55.5)

Somehow these two teams share some similarities, starting with the obvious unity that bonds the players in both locker room and the preoccupation with details that has been enforced by their respective coaching staffs.

Both these teams got to Calgary by the front door - having both won their regular season and playoff division titles. Everything seems to indicate we will have a wonderful football game, even if the Alouettes won easily in both regular-season matchups (43-10 in Regina, 34-25 in Montreal one month later).

But actually, if you consider the statistics it should be a one-way affair in favour of the Alouettes, a team that averaged 33.3 points per game this year, compared to the 28.6 points per game scored by the Riders.

Add to these numbers the fact that the Montreal defence gave up only 18 points per game compared to almost 27 by the Saskatchewan, So we shouldn?t be surprised that the opening line tagged the Als as 9.5-point favorites.

The Alouettes have the best QB in the CFL, Anthony Calvillo, who completed close to 72 percent of his passes in 2009. In comparison, his counter-part Darian Durant only completed around 60 percent of his passes. Both quarterbacks have reliable targets to throw at: Bagg, Fantuz, Clermont and Getzlaf for the Riders while Montreal can count on Watkins, Cahoon, Richardson, Bratton and Green.

Montreal has an advantage in the backfield where Avon Cobourne had another stellar year and two great games against the Riders with a combined 242 yards rushing. Suffering from a shoulder injury that kept him out of the lineup for a few games, Riders RB Wes Cates didn?t have the type of season he is capable of.

Once again, the defence could decide the outcome of this game. The Als secondary is much more solid than the Riders and the front seven is superior, although no one should underestimate a defence that aligns defensive ends as talented as John Chick and Stevie Baggs.

On special teams, the advantage goes to the Alouettes starting with kicker Damon Duval and star returner Larry Taylor. The Riders will have to beware of Taylor on punt and kickoff returns.

The crowd will heavily rally behind the Roughriders but it won?t be enough, The Montreal Alouettes will win their first Grey Cup since 2002 and will cover the spread.

Pick: Montreal -9.5
 

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Trends - Saskatchewan vs Montreal

Trends - Saskatchewan vs Montreal

Trends - Saskatchewan vs Montreal

ATS Trends

Saskatchewan

Roughriders are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Roughriders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff road games.
Roughriders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Roughriders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Roughriders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.


Montreal

Alouettes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Alouettes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Alouettes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff home games.
Alouettes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Alouettes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Alouettes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Alouettes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Grey Cup games.


OU Trends

Saskatchewan

Under is 5-0 in Roughriders last 5 games in November.
Under is 4-0 in Roughriders last 4 playoff games.
Under is 4-1 in Roughriders last 5 playoff road games.
Under is 48-22-1 in Roughriders last 71 road games.


Montreal

Over is 4-0 in Alouettes last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-0 in Alouettes last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Alouettes last 5 games in November.
Under is 4-1 in Alouettes last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Alouettes last 7 playoff home games.


Head to Head

Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Montreal.
 
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