CBB line/total Projections

Fast Eddie

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Nov 16, 2006
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Here are my projected lines/totals for Friday's games.

Location Predicted Line
at Old Dominion Old Dominion 67.0 Georgetown 65.0 -2.0
Neutral Georgetown 66.0 Old Dominion 66.0 0.0
at Georgetown Georgetown 68.0 Old Dominion 64.0 -4.0


Average Pace of Game 131.9
Away Team Controls Pace 133.4
Home Team Controls Pace 130.5

Location Predicted Line
at Miami Ohio Miami Ohio 72.0 Towson St 63.0 -9.0
Neutral Miami Ohio 71.0 Towson St 65.0 -6.0
at Towson St Miami Ohio 69.0 Towson St 66.0 -3.0


Average Pace of Game 135.6
Away Team Controls Pace 140.0
Home Team Controls Pace 131.3

Location Predicted Line
at Syracuse Syracuse 71.0 N Iowa 61.0 -10.0
Neutral Syracuse 69.0 N Iowa 63.0 -6.0
at N Iowa Syracuse 68.0 N Iowa 64.0 -4.0


Average Pace of Game 132.2
Away Team Controls Pace 121.0
Home Team Controls Pace 143.9

Location Predicted Line
at Virginia Virginia 65.0 Wm & Mary 59.0 -6.0
Neutral Virginia 64.0 Wm & Mary 61.0 -3.0
at Wm & Mary Wm & Mary 62.0 Virginia 62.0 0.0


Average Pace of Game 124.4
Away Team Controls Pace 127.2
Home Team Controls Pace 121.7

Location Predicted Line
at Xavier Xavier 81.0 W Michigan 63.0 -18.0
Neutral Xavier 79.0 W Michigan 64.0 -15.0
at W Michigan Xavier 78.0 W Michigan 66.0 -12.0


Average Pace of Game 143.5
Away Team Controls Pace 141.5
Home Team Controls Pace 145.4

Location Predicted Line
at Florida Florida 83.0 Unc-Wilmington 59.0 -24.0
Neutral Florida 81.0 Unc-Wilmington 60.0 -21.0
at Unc-Wilmington Florida 80.0 Unc-Wilmington 62.0 -18.0


Average Pace of Game 141.7
Away Team Controls Pace 143.6
Home Team Controls Pace 139.8

Location Predicted Line
at Temple Temple 69.0 Seton Hall 64.0 -5.0
Neutral Temple 67.0 Seton Hall 66.0 -1.0
at Seton Hall Seton Hall 67.0 Temple 66.0 -1.0


Average Pace of Game 132.6
Away Team Controls Pace 143.5
Home Team Controls Pace 122.2

Location Predicted Line
at Lasalle Lasalle 70.0 Columbia 60.0 -10.0
Neutral Lasalle 69.0 Columbia 61.0 -8.0
at Columbia Lasalle 67.0 Columbia 63.0 -4.0


Average Pace of Game 130.5
Away Team Controls Pace 126.2
Home Team Controls Pace 134.8

Location Predicted Line
at Princeton Princeton 61.0 Rutgers 55.0 -6.0
Neutral Princeton 60.0 Rutgers 57.0 -3.0
at Rutgers Rutgers 58.0 Princeton 58.0 0.0


Average Pace of Game 116.5
Away Team Controls Pace 126.4
Home Team Controls Pace 107.1

Location Predicted Line
at S Florida Southern Miss 61.0 S Florida 59.0 -2.0
Neutral Southern Miss 63.0 S Florida 57.0 -6.0
at Southern Miss Southern Miss 64.0 S Florida 56.0 -8.0


Average Pace of Game 120.4
Away Team Controls Pace 113.6
Home Team Controls Pace 127.4

Location Predicted Line
at St Josephs St Josephs 70.0 W Kentucky 70.0 0.0
Neutral W Kentucky 71.0 St Josephs 69.0 -2.0
at W Kentucky W Kentucky 73.0 St Josephs 67.0 -6.0


Average Pace of Game 139.6
Away Team Controls Pace 136.1
Home Team Controls Pace 143.2

Location Predicted Line
at N Illinois Northwestern 77.0 N Illinois 65.0 -12.0
Neutral Northwestern 79.0 N Illinois 63.0 -16.0
at Northwestern Northwestern 80.0 N Illinois 62.0 -18.0


Average Pace of Game 142.3
Away Team Controls Pace 134.7
Home Team Controls Pace 150.1

Location Predicted Line
at Texas Tech Texas Tech 85.0 La-Monroe 61.0 -24.0
Neutral Texas Tech 83.0 La-Monroe 63.0 -20.0
at La-Monroe Texas Tech 82.0 La-Monroe 64.0 -18.0


Average Pace of Game 146.1
Away Team Controls Pace 147.2
Home Team Controls Pace 145.1

Location Predicted Line
at Fordham Fordham 71.0 Brown 68.0 -3.0
Neutral Brown 70.0 Fordham 70.0 0.0
at Brown Brown 71.0 Fordham 68.0 -3.0


Average Pace of Game 139.6
Away Team Controls Pace 140.6
Home Team Controls Pace 138.6

Location Predicted Line
at La-Lafayette New Mexico St 76.0 La-Lafayette 70.0 -6.0
Neutral New Mexico St 78.0 La-Lafayette 68.0 -10.0
at New Mexico St New Mexico St 79.0 La-Lafayette 67.0 -12.0


Average Pace of Game 145.7
Away Team Controls Pace 150.4
Home Team Controls Pace 141.2

Location Predicted Line
at Ole Miss Ole Miss 78.0 Arkansas St 65.0 -13.0
Neutral Ole Miss 77.0 Arkansas St 67.0 -10.0
at Arkansas St Ole Miss 75.0 Arkansas St 68.0 -7.0


Average Pace of Game 143.8
Away Team Controls Pace 142.7
Home Team Controls Pace 144.8

Location Predicted Line
at Michigan St Michigan St 73.0 E Michigan 56.0 -17.0
Neutral Michigan St 72.0 E Michigan 58.0 -14.0
at E Michigan Michigan St 70.0 E Michigan 59.0 -11.0


Average Pace of Game 129.6
Away Team Controls Pace 131.1
Home Team Controls Pace 128.0

Location Predicted Line
at Kansas St Kansas St 86.0 James Madison 63.0 -23.0
Neutral Kansas St 84.0 James Madison 64.0 -20.0
at James Madison Kansas St 83.0 James Madison 66.0 -17.0


Average Pace of Game 148.9
Away Team Controls Pace 144.7
Home Team Controls Pace 153.1

Location Predicted Line
at Utep Utep 71.0 Pacific 58.0 -13.0
Neutral Utep 69.0 Pacific 60.0 -9.0
at Pacific Utep 68.0 Pacific 61.0 -7.0


Average Pace of Game 129.4
Away Team Controls Pace 121.1
Home Team Controls Pace 138.0

Location Predicted Line
at Smu Smu 70.0 Ark-Little Rock 59.0 -11.0
Neutral Smu 69.0 Ark-Little Rock 60.0 -9.0
at Ark-Little Rock Smu 67.0 Ark-Little Rock 62.0 -5.0


Average Pace of Game 129.1
Away Team Controls Pace 135.3
Home Team Controls Pace 123.0

Location Predicted Line
at Byu Byu 82.0 Fresno St 66.0 -16.0
Neutral Byu 81.0 Fresno St 68.0 -13.0
at Fresno St Byu 79.0 Fresno St 69.0 -10.0


Average Pace of Game 148.5
Away Team Controls Pace 144.9
Home Team Controls Pace 152.2

Location Predicted Line
at Ucla Ucla 78.0 Cs-Northridge 62.0 -16.0
Neutral Ucla 76.0 Cs-Northridge 64.0 -12.0
at Cs-Northridge Ucla 75.0 Cs-Northridge 65.0 -10.0


Average Pace of Game 140.1
Away Team Controls Pace 150.1
Home Team Controls Pace 130.4

Location Predicted Line
at Unlv Unlv 78.0 Uc-Riverside 48.0 -30.0
Neutral Unlv 76.0 Uc-Riverside 49.0 -27.0
at Uc-Riverside Unlv 75.0 Uc-Riverside 51.0 -24.0


Average Pace of Game 125.6
Away Team Controls Pace 122.8
Home Team Controls Pace 128.4

Location Predicted Line
at Portland Portland 70.0 Wi-Milwaukee 66.0 -4.0
Neutral Portland 68.0 Wi-Milwaukee 67.0 -1.0
at Wi-Milwaukee Wi-Milwaukee 69.0 Portland 67.0 -2.0


Average Pace of Game 135.4
Away Team Controls Pace 137.4
Home Team Controls Pace 133.4

Location Predicted Line
at Cal Davis Fla Atlantic 76.0 Cal Davis 76.0 0.0
Neutral Fla Atlantic 77.0 Cal Davis 74.0 -3.0
at Fla Atlantic Fla Atlantic 79.0 Cal Davis 73.0 -6.0


Average Pace of Game 151.4
Away Team Controls Pace 154.7
Home Team Controls Pace 148.1

Location Predicted Line
at Kent St Iona 65.0 Kent St 64.0 -1.0
Neutral Iona 67.0 Kent St 62.0 -5.0
at Iona Iona 68.0 Kent St 61.0 -7.0


Average Pace of Game 128.8
Away Team Controls Pace 126.2
Home Team Controls Pace 131.5

Location Predicted Line
at Cleveland St Cleveland St 77.0 Bryant 43.0 -34.0
Neutral Cleveland St 75.0 Bryant 45.0 -30.0
at Bryant Cleveland St 74.0 Bryant 46.0 -28.0


Average Pace of Game 120.1
Away Team Controls Pace 114.7
Home Team Controls Pace 125.6

Location Predicted Line
at Indiana St Indiana St 75.0 Tx-Pan Am 59.0 -16.0
Neutral Indiana St 73.0 Tx-Pan Am 60.0 -13.0
at Tx-Pan Am Indiana St 72.0 Tx-Pan Am 62.0 -10.0


Average Pace of Game 133.8
Away Team Controls Pace 137.2
Home Team Controls Pace 130.4

Location Predicted Line
at Loyola-Il Loyola-Il 68.0 E Kentucky 67.0 -1.0
Neutral E Kentucky 69.0 Loyola-Il 67.0 -2.0
at E Kentucky E Kentucky 70.0 Loyola-Il 65.0 -5.0


Average Pace of Game 135.4
Away Team Controls Pace 129.4
Home Team Controls Pace 141.7

Location Predicted Line
at Uc-Santa Barbara Uc-Santa Barbara 61.0 Denver 55.0 -6.0
Neutral Uc-Santa Barbara 60.0 Denver 56.0 -4.0
at Denver Uc-Santa Barbara 58.0 Denver 58.0 0.0


Average Pace of Game 115.8
Away Team Controls Pace 109.1
Home Team Controls Pace 122.7

Location Predicted Line
at Oregon Oregon 77.0 N Dakota St 64.0 -13.0
Neutral Oregon 76.0 N Dakota St 65.0 -11.0
at N Dakota St Oregon 74.0 N Dakota St 67.0 -7.0


Average Pace of Game 141.0
Away Team Controls Pace 143.2
Home Team Controls Pace 138.9

Location Predicted Line
at Hawaii Montana St 72.0 Hawaii 68.0 -4.0
Neutral Montana St 73.0 Hawaii 67.0 -6.0
at Montana St Montana St 75.0 Hawaii 65.0 -10.0


Average Pace of Game 139.8
Away Team Controls Pace 138.8
Home Team Controls Pace 140.8

Location Predicted Line
at Cs-Fullerton C Michigan 68.0 Cs-Fullerton 67.0 -1.0
Neutral C Michigan 69.0 Cs-Fullerton 66.0 -3.0
at C Michigan C Michigan 71.0 Cs-Fullerton 64.0 -7.0


Average Pace of Game 135.4
Away Team Controls Pace 133.2
Home Team Controls Pace 137.6

Location Predicted Line
at Va Commonwealth Va Commonwealth 80.0 Unc-Greensboro 60.0 -20.0
Neutral Va Commonwealth 78.0 Unc-Greensboro 62.0 -16.0
at Unc-Greensboro Va Commonwealth 77.0 Unc-Greensboro 63.0 -14.0


Average Pace of Game 139.8
Away Team Controls Pace 136.3
Home Team Controls Pace 143.3

Location Predicted Line
at Loyola-Md Drexel 64.0 Loyola-Md 63.0 -1.0
Neutral Drexel 65.0 Loyola-Md 62.0 -3.0
at Drexel Drexel 67.0 Loyola-Md 60.0 -7.0


Average Pace of Game 127.1
Away Team Controls Pace 128.7
Home Team Controls Pace 125.6

Location Predicted Line
at Nc State Nc State 75.0 Tennessee Tech 64.0 -11.0
Neutral Nc State 73.0 Tennessee Tech 65.0 -8.0
at Tennessee Tech Nc State 72.0 Tennessee Tech 67.0 -5.0


Average Pace of Game 138.4
Away Team Controls Pace 150.8
Home Team Controls Pace 126.4

Location Predicted Line
at Tennessee Tennessee 84.0 Ut-Chattanooga 64.0 -20.0
Neutral Tennessee 82.0 Ut-Chattanooga 66.0 -16.0
at Ut-Chattanooga Tennessee 81.0 Ut-Chattanooga 67.0 -14.0


Average Pace of Game 147.9
Away Team Controls Pace 152.2
Home Team Controls Pace 143.7

Location Predicted Line
at Youngstown St Samford 61.0 Youngstown St 61.0 0.0
Neutral Samford 63.0 Youngstown St 59.0 -4.0
at Samford Samford 64.0 Youngstown St 58.0 -6.0


Average Pace of Game 121.8
Away Team Controls Pace 111.2
Home Team Controls Pace 132.8

Location Predicted Line
at S Carolina S Carolina 82.0 Elon 61.0 -21.0
Neutral S Carolina 81.0 Elon 62.0 -19.0
at Elon S Carolina 79.0 Elon 64.0 -15.0


Average Pace of Game 143.2
Away Team Controls Pace 141.1
Home Team Controls Pace 145.2

Location Predicted Line
at Richmond Richmond 64.0 The Citadel 53.0 -11.0
Neutral Richmond 63.0 The Citadel 54.0 -9.0
at The Citadel Richmond 61.0 The Citadel 56.0 -5.0


Average Pace of Game 116.8
Away Team Controls Pace 112.6
Home Team Controls Pace 121.0

Location Predicted Line
at Massachusetts Massachusetts 75.0 Rider 75.0 0.0
Neutral Rider 77.0 Massachusetts 74.0 -3.0
at Rider Rider 78.0 Massachusetts 72.0 -6.0


Average Pace of Game 150.8
Away Team Controls Pace 151.8
Home Team Controls Pace 149.7

Location Predicted Line
at Mississippi St Mississippi St 81.0 Tennessee St 65.0 -16.0
Neutral Mississippi St 79.0 Tennessee St 67.0 -12.0
at Tennessee St Mississippi St 78.0 Tennessee St 68.0 -10.0


Average Pace of Game 146.0
Away Team Controls Pace 143.4
Home Team Controls Pace 148.6

Location Predicted Line
at Iowa St Iowa St 72.0 N Arizona 61.0 -11.0
Neutral Iowa St 70.0 N Arizona 62.0 -8.0
at N Arizona Iowa St 69.0 N Arizona 64.0 -5.0


Average Pace of Game 132.5
Away Team Controls Pace 129.4
Home Team Controls Pace 135.7

Location Predicted Line
at Minnesota Minnesota 70.0 Wofford 61.0 -9.0
Neutral Minnesota 68.0 Wofford 62.0 -6.0
at Wofford Minnesota 67.0 Wofford 64.0 -3.0


Average Pace of Game 130.5
Away Team Controls Pace 126.6
Home Team Controls Pace 134.4

Location Predicted Line
at Tulsa Tulsa 74.0 Appalachian St 65.0 -9.0
Neutral Tulsa 72.0 Appalachian St 67.0 -5.0
at Appalachian St Tulsa 71.0 Appalachian St 68.0 -3.0


Average Pace of Game 139.3
Away Team Controls Pace 137.5
Home Team Controls Pace 141.1

Location Predicted Line
at Clemson Clemson 83.0 W Carolina 65.0 -18.0
Neutral Clemson 82.0 W Carolina 66.0 -16.0
at W Carolina Clemson 80.0 W Carolina 68.0 -12.0


Average Pace of Game 148.2
Away Team Controls Pace 149.3
Home Team Controls Pace 147.2

Location Predicted Line
at Canisius Canisius 66.0 St Bonaventure 66.0 0.0
Neutral St Bonaventure 67.0 Canisius 65.0 -2.0
at St Bonaventure St Bonaventure 69.0 Canisius 63.0 -6.0


Average Pace of Game 132.0
Away Team Controls Pace 130.8
Home Team Controls Pace 133.2

Location Predicted Line
at E Washington San Jose St 76.0 E Washington 73.0 -3.0
Neutral San Jose St 77.0 E Washington 71.0 -6.0
at San Jose St San Jose St 79.0 E Washington 70.0 -9.0


Average Pace of Game 148.3
Away Team Controls Pace 154.3
Home Team Controls Pace 142.5

Location Predicted Line
at Notre Dame Notre Dame 83.0 Ga Southern 60.0 -23.0
Neutral Notre Dame 81.0 Ga Southern 61.0 -20.0
at Ga Southern Notre Dame 80.0 Ga Southern 63.0 -17.0


Average Pace of Game 142.6
Away Team Controls Pace 152.9
Home Team Controls Pace 132.7

Location Predicted Line
at Colorado Colorado 85.0 Idaho St 60.0 -25.0
Neutral Colorado 83.0 Idaho St 61.0 -22.0
at Idaho St Colorado 82.0 Idaho St 63.0 -19.0


Average Pace of Game 144.4
Away Team Controls Pace 139.2
Home Team Controls Pace 149.6

Location Predicted Line
at Saint Louis Saint Louis 67.0 Austin Peay 55.0 -12.0
Neutral Saint Louis 65.0 Austin Peay 57.0 -8.0
at Austin Peay Saint Louis 64.0 Austin Peay 58.0 -6.0


Average Pace of Game 122.1
Away Team Controls Pace 128.4
Home Team Controls Pace 116.0

Location Predicted Line
at Portland St Portland St 77.0 Pepperdine 72.0 -5.0
Neutral Portland St 76.0 Pepperdine 73.0 -3.0
at Pepperdine Pepperdine 75.0 Portland St 74.0 -1.0


Average Pace of Game 148.9
Away Team Controls Pace 147.2
Home Team Controls Pace 150.7

Location Predicted Line
at Charlotte Charlotte 91.0 Gardner Webb 64.0 -27.0
Neutral Charlotte 90.0 Gardner Webb 66.0 -24.0
at Gardner Webb Charlotte 88.0 Gardner Webb 67.0 -21.0


Average Pace of Game 155.5
Away Team Controls Pace 154.7
Home Team Controls Pace 156.2

Location Predicted Line
at Indiana Indiana 81.0 Fla Gulf Coast 56.0 -25.0
Neutral Indiana 79.0 Fla Gulf Coast 58.0 -21.0
at Fla Gulf Coast Indiana 78.0 Fla Gulf Coast 59.0 -19.0


Average Pace of Game 137.0
Away Team Controls Pace 140.4
Home Team Controls Pace 133.7

Location Predicted Line
at Connecticut Connecticut 72.0 Stony Brook 64.0 -8.0
Neutral Connecticut 71.0 Stony Brook 65.0 -6.0
at Stony Brook Connecticut 69.0 Stony Brook 67.0 -2.0


Average Pace of Game 136.2
Away Team Controls Pace 138.6
Home Team Controls Pace 133.8

Location Predicted Line
at Howard Bowling Green 64.0 Howard 56.0 -8.0
Neutral Bowling Green 66.0 Howard 55.0 -11.0
at Bowling Green Bowling Green 67.0 Howard 53.0 -14.0


Average Pace of Game 120.4
Away Team Controls Pace 121.3
Home Team Controls Pace 119.5

Location Predicted Line
at Memphis Memphis 91.0 Centenary 57.0 -34.0
Neutral Memphis 90.0 Centenary 58.0 -32.0
at Centenary Memphis 88.0 Centenary 60.0 -28.0


Average Pace of Game 148.1
Away Team Controls Pace 147.0
Home Team Controls Pace 149.1

Location Predicted Line
at W Virginia W Virginia 77.0 Oakland 67.0 -10.0
Neutral W Virginia 76.0 Oakland 68.0 -8.0
at Oakland W Virginia 74.0 Oakland 70.0 -4.0


Average Pace of Game 144.3
Away Team Controls Pace 147.5
Home Team Controls Pace 141.2

Location Predicted Line
at Missouri St Missouri St 72.0 Oral Roberts 62.0 -10.0
Neutral Missouri St 71.0 Oral Roberts 64.0 -7.0
at Oral Roberts Missouri St 69.0 Oral Roberts 65.0 -4.0


Average Pace of Game 134.6
Away Team Controls Pace 132.7
Home Team Controls Pace 136.5

Location Predicted Line
at N Carolina N Carolina 82.0 Lipscomb 81.0 -1.0
Neutral Lipscomb 82.0 N Carolina 80.0 -2.0
at Lipscomb Lipscomb 84.0 N Carolina 79.0 -5.0


Average Pace of Game 162.6
Away Team Controls Pace 170.0
Home Team Controls Pace 155.4

Location Predicted Line
at Md-East Shore Tulane 63.0 Md-East Shore 61.0 -2.0
Neutral Tulane 64.0 Md-East Shore 60.0 -4.0
at Tulane Tulane 66.0 Md-East Shore 58.0 -8.0


Average Pace of Game 123.9
Away Team Controls Pace 124.8
Home Team Controls Pace 123.0

Location Predicted Line
at Boston College Boston College 70.0 St Francis-Ny 53.0 -17.0
Neutral Boston College 69.0 St Francis-Ny 55.0 -14.0
at St Francis-Ny Boston College 67.0 St Francis-Ny 56.0 -11.0


Average Pace of Game 123.7
Away Team Controls Pace 119.9
Home Team Controls Pace 127.6

Location Predicted Line
at Ohio St Ohio St 88.0 N Carolina A&T 55.0 -33.0
Neutral Ohio St 86.0 N Carolina A&T 57.0 -29.0
at N Carolina A&T Ohio St 85.0 N Carolina A&T 58.0 -27.0


Average Pace of Game 143.0
Away Team Controls Pace 151.5
Home Team Controls Pace 134.8

Location Predicted Line
at Albany Cornell 72.0 Albany 62.0 -10.0
Neutral Cornell 73.0 Albany 61.0 -12.0
at Cornell Cornell 75.0 Albany 59.0 -16.0


Average Pace of Game 134.2
Away Team Controls Pace 133.7
Home Team Controls Pace 134.7

Location Predicted Line
at Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 77.0 Charleston So 57.0 -20.0
Neutral Georgia Tech 75.0 Charleston So 59.0 -16.0
at Charleston So Georgia Tech 74.0 Charleston So 60.0 -14.0


Average Pace of Game 134.2
Away Team Controls Pace 127.8
Home Team Controls Pace 140.8

Location Predicted Line
at Georgia Georgia 77.0 Miss Valley St 54.0 -23.0
Neutral Georgia 75.0 Miss Valley St 56.0 -19.0
at Miss Valley St Georgia 74.0 Miss Valley St 57.0 -17.0


Average Pace of Game 130.9
Away Team Controls Pace 127.6
Home Team Controls Pace 134.3

Location Predicted Line
at Penn St Penn St 71.0 Lehigh 63.0 -8.0
Neutral Penn St 69.0 Lehigh 64.0 -5.0
at Lehigh Penn St 68.0 Lehigh 66.0 -2.0


Average Pace of Game 133.4
Away Team Controls Pace 144.6
Home Team Controls Pace 122.7

Location Predicted Line
at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 71.0 Campbell 56.0 -15.0
Neutral Virginia Tech 69.0 Campbell 57.0 -12.0
at Campbell Virginia Tech 68.0 Campbell 59.0 -9.0


Average Pace of Game 126.7
Away Team Controls Pace 127.2
Home Team Controls Pace 126.2

Location Predicted Line
at Miami Miami 71.0 Jacksonville 65.0 -6.0
Neutral Miami 70.0 Jacksonville 66.0 -4.0
at Jacksonville Miami 68.0 Jacksonville 68.0 0.0


Average Pace of Game 136.0
Away Team Controls Pace 133.8
Home Team Controls Pace 138.2

Location Predicted Line
at Lsu Lsu 78.0 Northwestern St 67.0 -11.0
Neutral Lsu 77.0 Northwestern St 68.0 -9.0
at Northwestern St Lsu 75.0 Northwestern St 70.0 -5.0


Average Pace of Game 145.2
Away Team Controls Pace 163.3
Home Team Controls Pace 128.1

Location Predicted Line
at Nebraska Nebraska 74.0 South Dakota 55.0 -19.0
Neutral Nebraska 73.0 South Dakota 57.0 -16.0
at South Dakota Nebraska 71.0 South Dakota 58.0 -13.0


Average Pace of Game 129.5
Away Team Controls Pace 130.7
Home Team Controls Pace 128.2

Location Predicted Line
at Oklahoma Oklahoma 73.0 Coppin St 58.0 -15.0
Neutral Oklahoma 72.0 Coppin St 60.0 -12.0
at Coppin St Oklahoma 70.0 Coppin St 61.0 -9.0


Average Pace of Game 131.5
Away Team Controls Pace 130.0
Home Team Controls Pace 133.0

Location Predicted Line
at Villanova Villanova 84.0 Bucknell 66.0 -18.0
Neutral Villanova 83.0 Bucknell 68.0 -15.0
at Bucknell Villanova 81.0 Bucknell 69.0 -12.0


Average Pace of Game 150.7
Away Team Controls Pace 148.9
Home Team Controls Pace 152.6

Location Predicted Line
at Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 91.0 Presbyterian 49.0 -42.0
Neutral Vanderbilt 90.0 Presbyterian 51.0 -39.0
at Presbyterian Vanderbilt 88.0 Presbyterian 52.0 -36.0


Average Pace of Game 140.8
Away Team Controls Pace 133.5
Home Team Controls Pace 148.3

Location Predicted Line
at Texas A&M Texas A&M 89.0 Alcorn St 50.0 -39.0
Neutral Texas A&M 88.0 Alcorn St 52.0 -36.0
at Alcorn St Texas A&M 86.0 Alcorn St 53.0 -33.0


Average Pace of Game 140.0
Away Team Controls Pace 146.2
Home Team Controls Pace 133.9

Location Predicted Line
at Houston Houston 77.0 Nicholls St 65.0 -12.0
Neutral Houston 76.0 Nicholls St 66.0 -10.0
at Nicholls St Houston 74.0 Nicholls St 68.0 -6.0


Average Pace of Game 141.9
Away Team Controls Pace 135.4
Home Team Controls Pace 148.5

Location Predicted Line
at Kansas Kansas 100.0 Longwood 62.0 -38.0
Neutral Kansas 99.0 Longwood 63.0 -36.0
at Longwood Kansas 97.0 Longwood 65.0 -32.0


Average Pace of Game 162.0
Away Team Controls Pace 167.1
Home Team Controls Pace 156.9

Location Predicted Line
at Creighton Creighton 77.0 Alabama St 58.0 -19.0
Neutral Creighton 76.0 Alabama St 60.0 -16.0
at Alabama St Creighton 74.0 Alabama St 61.0 -13.0


Average Pace of Game 135.5
Away Team Controls Pace 137.0
Home Team Controls Pace 134.0

Location Predicted Line
at Alabama Alabama 79.0 Florida A&M 55.0 -24.0
Neutral Alabama 77.0 Florida A&M 56.0 -21.0
at Florida A&M Alabama 76.0 Florida A&M 58.0 -18.0


Average Pace of Game 133.9
Away Team Controls Pace 136.0
Home Team Controls Pace 131.8

Location Predicted Line
at Marquette Marquette 79.0 Prairie View A&M 53.0 -26.0
Neutral Marquette 77.0 Prairie View A&M 55.0 -22.0
at Prairie View A&M Marquette 76.0 Prairie View A&M 56.0 -20.0


Average Pace of Game 132.0
Away Team Controls Pace 131.5
Home Team Controls Pace 132.5

Location Predicted Line
at Auburn Auburn 75.0 Unc-Asheville 73.0 -2.0
Neutral Unc-Asheville 74.0 Auburn 73.0 -1.0
at Unc-Asheville Unc-Asheville 76.0 Auburn 72.0 -4.0


Average Pace of Game 147.8
Away Team Controls Pace 139.7
Home Team Controls Pace 156.1

Location Predicted Line
at Florida St Florida St 66.0 N Florida 48.0 -18.0
Neutral Florida St 65.0 N Florida 49.0 -16.0
at N Florida Florida St 63.0 N Florida 51.0 -12.0


Average Pace of Game 113.9
Away Team Controls Pace 110.9
Home Team Controls Pace 117.0

Location Predicted Line
at Tcu Tcu 67.0 Jackson St 60.0 -7.0
Neutral Tcu 65.0 Jackson St 62.0 -3.0
at Jackson St Tcu 64.0 Jackson St 63.0 -1.0


Average Pace of Game 127.3
Away Team Controls Pace 124.5
Home Team Controls Pace 130.1

Location Predicted Line
at Santa Clara Santa Clara 78.0 Cs-Bakersfield 60.0 -18.0
Neutral Santa Clara 76.0 Cs-Bakersfield 62.0 -14.0
at Cs-Bakersfield Santa Clara 75.0 Cs-Bakersfield 63.0 -12.0


Average Pace of Game 138.1
Away Team Controls Pace 138.1
Home Team Controls Pace 138.1

Location Predicted Line
at Gonzaga Gonzaga 86.0 Southern U 51.0 -35.0
Neutral Gonzaga 85.0 Southern U 53.0 -32.0
at Southern U Gonzaga 83.0 Southern U 54.0 -29.0


Average Pace of Game 137.6
Away Team Controls Pace 136.1
Home Team Controls Pace 139.1

Location Predicted Line
at Baylor Baylor 88.0 Grambling 54.0 -34.0
Neutral Baylor 87.0 Grambling 56.0 -31.0
at Grambling Baylor 85.0 Grambling 57.0 -28.0


Average Pace of Game 142.5
Away Team Controls Pace 144.6
Home Team Controls Pace 140.4

Location Predicted Line
at Loyola-Marymount Loyola-Marymount 75.0 Morgan St 72.0 -3.0
Neutral Loyola-Marymount 74.0 Morgan St 73.0 -1.0
at Morgan St Morgan St 75.0 Loyola-Marymount 72.0 -3.0


Average Pace of Game 147.3
Away Team Controls Pace 147.3
Home Team Controls Pace 147.3

Location Predicted Line
at San Francisco San Francisco 76.0 Seattle 69.0 -7.0
Neutral San Francisco 75.0 Seattle 71.0 -4.0
at Seattle San Francisco 73.0 Seattle 72.0 -1.0


Average Pace of Game 145.8
Away Team Controls Pace 154.7
Home Team Controls Pace 137.1
 

HoopsGuru

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awesome work, thanks! i'll have to take a look and see if anything pops out. Got my blue ribbon yearbook next to me to review. What do you use as a starting point for your numbers and how often do you tweak that if you don't mind sharing?
 

Fast Eddie

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Nov 16, 2006
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I use last years end of season rankings and adjust them based on returning personnel/coaches etc..

I adjust teams on a daily basis with the exception of a big card where it may take me an extra day.
However I will make a point to adjust teams daily that play back to back games in these early season tournaments.

Tread lightly as there isn't a ton of information available to go with, but I'm sure there will be spots of line value.

I'll continue to adjust overall ratings and pace ratings as each team plays. Some teams may change drastically over the first couple weeks, as far as pace, the majority hopefully will remain similar to last year.

Just use it as a starting point in your handicapping if you choose to use it, not the sole reason you play a game.
 

HoopsGuru

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thanks for sharing the data and your thoughts. I try to make my larger plays earlier in the season when i think the line is off. Once conf play starts I try to focus on the A-10 and look to other handicappers for other conferences. thanks again!
 

Fast Eddie

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Nov 16, 2006
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played so far

William/Mary +10
Iona +2
Montana St +5

all 1 unit each

over 133.5 NW/Nill
Under 138 mich st/emu

both for 1.5 units
 
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