Celtic Manor Resort Wales Open

Stanley

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Outright plays (1pt):

Phillip Price to win 25/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and Victor Chandler
Price is a player in good form and looks excellent value at this price even if his nerve is not the best under pressure. He was 2nd after two rounds of the Volvo PGA Championship and still had a chance of victory until his last round, he finished 23rd the week beforehand and was the leader after three rounds of the China Masters in his previous tournament before finishing 3rd. Add to that a course history of 5th (2000), 14th (2001) and 7th (last year when 2nd with one round to play) and the fact that he lives only a few miles from the course and has played it many times. Definitely value at 25/1.

Nick O'Hern to win 66/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Another player whose inability to close out events is well-documented. Would prefer top-10 place-only, but Paddy Power offer only half these outright odds so there will be little value there. He does have good course form with finishes of 5th and 8th in 2000 and 2001, plus 26th on his return in 2003. He is in decent enough form to be competitive with a top-5 finish earlier this month at the British Masters so there should be a decent chance of a return, particularly if coming off the pace.

Paul McGinley to finish in the top-five 11/1 @ SkyBet
And a third who tends to contrive a finish off the podium places. That may be a little unfair as he did finish 2nd in the Dubai Desert Classic in March and already has finishes of 14th in the Asian Open and 5th in the British Masters this month, plus he is a former winner of this event in 2001 when it was reduced to 36 holes and he did finish 6th the following years, but he still warrants more attention on the place-only than each-way markets. A good price for this type of player.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1pt):

Richard Green to beat Christopher Hanell -110 @ BlueSq
Both players in good form, but will side with Green who has a 3-1-0 h2h lead over Hanell this year and who has three top-20 finishes in four visits to the Celtic Manor Resort compared to none from two for the Swede.
(also available at Nordicbet, Five Dimes, Paddy Power and Ladbrokes)

Jean-Francois Remesy to beat Gregory Havret -132 @ Pinnacle
Similar story here. Remesy has finished ahead of his compatriot in seven of their last eight common events and has finished in the top-15 in each of the last two years. Havret's best finish around this course is 48th from two attempts.

Maarten Lafeber to beat Charl Schwartzel -111 @ Ladbrokes
Opposing Schwartzel who has missed his last three cuts and missed the cut last year. A continuation of his solid, if unspectacular, current and course form for Lafeber should be enough.

Barry Lane to beat Paul Lawrie -121 @ Pinnacle
Current form or course form? Lawrie has yet to finish ahead of Lane this year, missing five of eleven cuts with a best finish of 36th which does compare well to Lane who won the British Masters last month. In terms of course form, Lane has made four of four cuts here, but Lawrie has finished 1st (2002) and 2nd (2001) in his two visits. I'll nearly always side with current form.

Nick O'Hern to beat Marcel Siem -111 @ BetandWin
Comparable current form with both having a number of top-5 finishes this year as well as missed cuts, but Siem has struggled on this course - a first round withdrawal and a missed cut in two visits. O'Hern has finished 5th, 8th and 26th in his three visits which looks a decent edge over the German.
(also available at Intertops)
 

lal2000

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Oct 21, 2002
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Outrights (? unit ew ? ? odds 1st 5)

C Schwartzl 100/1 @ Paddy Power
T Levet 40/1 @ Chandlers
J Moseley 80/1 @ Sky
R Green 66/1 @ Chandlers
C Hannell 66/1 @ Chandlers
T Price 125/1 @ Paddy Power

Also interested in O?Hern & McGinley (thanks Stan!)

Good Luck!
 

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
OUTRIGHTS:

John Bickerton(135/1 e.w.) @ 5dimes
Jean-Francois Remesy(50/1 e.w.) @ 5dimes
Marcus Fraser(100/1 e.w.) @ 5dimes
Bradley Dredge(50/1 & 40/1 e.w.) @ 5dimes & Bet365


MATCHUPS:

P.Price(-138) over Montgomerie (Tournament) @ 5dimes


GL
 
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Stanley

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Outrights - Final update: 1-2; +5.75pts

Price 49th
O'Hern 4th
McGinley 41st

Good showing from O'Hern who had no chance of catching the leaders, but had a strong front nine on Sunday to get himself into the places. The back nine was predictably less impressive, but it was enough to ensure a decent profit on the plays.

Matchups - Final update: 3-2-0; +0.79pts

Green/Hanell LOST by 6
Remesy/Havret WON by 4
Lafeber/Schwartzel LOST by 2
Lane/Lawrie WON by 3
O'Hern/Siem WON by 5

Small profit on these plays to cap a successful event.

European Tour ytd
Outrights: 9-22; -1.04pts
Matchups: 24-23; -1.88pts
 
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