Off a 2-2 Week 3, and how my how that last TD by Winnipeg hurt real bad on Friday night. We move on however as it's a long season in hopes that it all goes my way by November.
2* Edmonton +3 (Thursday)
2* British Columbia -5.5 (Saturday)
1* Calgary -9.5 (Friday)
We're at a point where almost all teams have three games under their belts as the teams start to shape themselves just a little bit.
One thing you can say for sure (At least IMO) is that Edmonton & Winnipeg both being 3-0 is something no one saw coming. Well those two teams square off on Thursday night, and I'll back to road dog here. They have a nice looking defense, and are forcing some turnovers so far this season (+7). Winnipeg has been a slow starter the last two weeks, and if that happens this week against what seems to be a quality Eskimo defense the comeback may not happen for them 3-weeks in a row. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 are 16-5 ATS the last 5 seasons when off 3 consecutive SU wins.
The BC Lions come in looking for some early season revenge verses Montreal. I had the Alouettes in that first matchup, and while Montreal is better this season than last they still need lot of work as a team. Turnovers have bee a source of problems in the Lions two losses, but in the game vs Saskatchewan when they had zero giveaways they looked much-much better. HC Mike Benevides will be looking to right the home crowd after their opening season lost at home in Week 1, and he is usually pretty solid at home going 7-2 ATS at home as 3 to 7.5 points, and another 7-2 ATS when revenging a road loss.
It was mentioned here at MJ's how underdogs have ruled the first three weeks, and look at me I have the biggest favorite of the week going as 1-unit play. I myself talked about last week how teams on bye weeks will be something to watch out for. I used that angle with success last week, but will fade it here with Hamilton. After watching how bad Saskatchewan play the last two weeks the opening week loss the Ti-Cats took from them looks pretty bad right now. The road team has covered four straight in this series, and never have they gotten in a row.
Calgary has come out looking like they're on a serious mission averaging 8.2 Yards/play on offense and allowing 5.5 of defense. So fading a hot team at any point of the season is never something you want to do unless you have a serious value edge against the line. Throw in what appears to be a weak Hamilton squad and I'll lay the chalk at this point of the season.
2* Edmonton +3 (Thursday)
2* British Columbia -5.5 (Saturday)
1* Calgary -9.5 (Friday)
We're at a point where almost all teams have three games under their belts as the teams start to shape themselves just a little bit.
One thing you can say for sure (At least IMO) is that Edmonton & Winnipeg both being 3-0 is something no one saw coming. Well those two teams square off on Thursday night, and I'll back to road dog here. They have a nice looking defense, and are forcing some turnovers so far this season (+7). Winnipeg has been a slow starter the last two weeks, and if that happens this week against what seems to be a quality Eskimo defense the comeback may not happen for them 3-weeks in a row. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 are 16-5 ATS the last 5 seasons when off 3 consecutive SU wins.
The BC Lions come in looking for some early season revenge verses Montreal. I had the Alouettes in that first matchup, and while Montreal is better this season than last they still need lot of work as a team. Turnovers have bee a source of problems in the Lions two losses, but in the game vs Saskatchewan when they had zero giveaways they looked much-much better. HC Mike Benevides will be looking to right the home crowd after their opening season lost at home in Week 1, and he is usually pretty solid at home going 7-2 ATS at home as 3 to 7.5 points, and another 7-2 ATS when revenging a road loss.
It was mentioned here at MJ's how underdogs have ruled the first three weeks, and look at me I have the biggest favorite of the week going as 1-unit play. I myself talked about last week how teams on bye weeks will be something to watch out for. I used that angle with success last week, but will fade it here with Hamilton. After watching how bad Saskatchewan play the last two weeks the opening week loss the Ti-Cats took from them looks pretty bad right now. The road team has covered four straight in this series, and never have they gotten in a row.
Calgary has come out looking like they're on a serious mission averaging 8.2 Yards/play on offense and allowing 5.5 of defense. So fading a hot team at any point of the season is never something you want to do unless you have a serious value edge against the line. Throw in what appears to be a weak Hamilton squad and I'll lay the chalk at this point of the season.
