Outright plays (2 units):
Larry Nelson to win 20/1 e.w. @ Bet365, SkyBet and Ladbrokes
Good price given there continue to be four places and the field is reduced by over 60% from most weeks. He was 22/1 last week and should have held on for a place win. He finished 9th, but having finished in the top-3 three times in his previous four starts, including one win, he is obviously in good form at the moment. There is no course history this week, but it is encouraging that he finished 2nd on his last trip to California (Toshiba Senior Classic).
D.A. Weibring to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Weibring is another who should have done much better last week. He had been in 11th place with one round to play, but had a disastrous first nine holes on Sunday. His form is almost as good as Nelson's with seven of his last eleven starts resulting in top-10 finishes, including one win. Considering he was 20/1 last week against a much bigger field, these odds look generous.
Gil Morgan to win 25/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Morgan has not fully recovered his form of the early season when he had six straight top-10 finishes, but he has at least won in the last couple of months as well as record two further runners-up positions. These odds do look large for someone still very competitive on this Tour and particularly in light of his record in California: in the last two seasons his finishes in his State have been 3rd, 7th, 2nd and 6th.
Larry Nelson to win 20/1 e.w. @ Bet365, SkyBet and Ladbrokes
Good price given there continue to be four places and the field is reduced by over 60% from most weeks. He was 22/1 last week and should have held on for a place win. He finished 9th, but having finished in the top-3 three times in his previous four starts, including one win, he is obviously in good form at the moment. There is no course history this week, but it is encouraging that he finished 2nd on his last trip to California (Toshiba Senior Classic).
D.A. Weibring to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Weibring is another who should have done much better last week. He had been in 11th place with one round to play, but had a disastrous first nine holes on Sunday. His form is almost as good as Nelson's with seven of his last eleven starts resulting in top-10 finishes, including one win. Considering he was 20/1 last week against a much bigger field, these odds look generous.
Gil Morgan to win 25/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Morgan has not fully recovered his form of the early season when he had six straight top-10 finishes, but he has at least won in the last couple of months as well as record two further runners-up positions. These odds do look large for someone still very competitive on this Tour and particularly in light of his record in California: in the last two seasons his finishes in his State have been 3rd, 7th, 2nd and 6th.
