Charlotte/UAB

[johnnyonthespot]

Really like Charlotte in this spot. Don't have the numbers to support it, but intuitively at this point in the tourney I think it's an advantage that Charlotte just played yesterday. They have the benefit of being used to the court and that should help them get off to a strong start. Also, since the game yesterday was over very early in the 2nd half, fatigue should not be a factor for the starters. Charlotte also has the revenge factor going, as UAB beat them in their own house in late January. Despite that, Charlotte is a better road team; 11-4 SU vs. 5-7 SU for UAB.

Charlotte -2 for 2 units

Also like the under, which has climbed to 149. When these two teams met in January, the total hit 131 (69-62). Just don't see any reason for the huge increase. Absolutely both teams can score, but both teams also play pretty decent D. Over their last 5 games, Charlotte is holding opponents to 40.6% FG shooting, including 29.1% from behind the arc. Also, neither team shoots good FTs on the road (61.7% for Charlotte, 66.1% for UAB).

UAB/Charlotte Under 149 for 2 units

 

[Valuist]

I think the key with Charlotte playing yesterday was the relatively low number of starter minutes and the stress-free blowout win. Playing an easy game like that probably took nothing out of them. I can't say the same for teams like Notre Dame and TCU, who battled hard all game and have to come back w/tired players today.

 

[johnnyonthespot]

1-1 and lost the juice.

Oh well. Didn't get the hot start that I expected but they still had the lead going into the break and just came out flat in the 2H. Didn't see the game so don't know if it was UAB playing really well or Charlotte looking bad. Just know that 36% shooting is not gonna cut it against a good team. Also allowing 50% from behind the arc . . .tough to win when you do that.

Thinking about DePaul for the next one, but got burned with them earlier this year so am a little gunshy.