I am from near Chicago and I am having trouble believing in these Bears but damn this Def has me believing....I may be in dreamland or maybe not...will this Bear TM cover at home..??????
CHI/SF...give me UR PS Winner..
- Thread starter SKEETER1
- Start date
Tough game I like frisco in a couple of teases. If the Bears win this one they will be tough down the stretch. I just think Frisco can put points up on anybody and getting them at over a touchdown in atease is a great bet.
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Dawgs are a man's best friend.
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Dawgs are a man's best friend.
No.......SF is just a tad better...in fact I have SF @ #2 in the league and Chi @ # 4 in the league,,,,,if they give ya points with SF......TAKE EM
i agree with Smashmouth, sf is a much better Offense who WILL score but; if bears D CAN KEEP IT CLOSE they might get a W. I`LL take the points & hope Garcia & Co. are Grateful. Dead bear offense & i`ll be Truckin. Also like sf for a couple of teases w/oak, balt,minn. GL SORRY JERRY; PUN INTENDED
looks to me like a very close game...
leaning towards teasing SF +8 with Raiders +8 and Chargers -1
leaning towards teasing SF +8 with Raiders +8 and Chargers -1
I am a very big believer in comparing which teams, and which types of teams, a given team has played recently.
IE. A team that plays a string of bad teams in a row tends to get wiped out when they finally face real quality...inverse is true too...if you play lots of top-quality opposition, when you finally get that soft opponent it's like a walk in the park.
Same applies to facing teams with good run D, then one bad run D....weak passing attacks, then you face a good one, etc. I like to compare all facets of the game, and ask myself how recent opposition compared to the current opponent in each area.
I posted this in another thread, but I will paste it here. (Sorry for the redundancy if you're reading this for the second time). At the moment it's probably my strongest play of the week....
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Gotta go with Chicago this week. Look at that total creampuff schedule SF has played. They barely squeak by a weak Atl squad twice, eek out a win over the Jets, and were it not for Carolina's total ineptness in the redzone (not in just this game, but every week) they could have lost that game. They DID hang close to St Louis.
Chicago's loss to Baltimore was much closer than the score indicates, hanging tough until late in the game. They beat a team (Minn) that many thought going into this season was superior to the Bears. Shutout Cinci who had previously been very hot on their own field...and throw in a laugher vs Atlanta (team that SF barely beat twice), and a mediocre performance vs Ariz.
All in all that makes Chi's performances a lot more impressive than San Fran's thus far. Only thing I am worried about is that Chi has not faced too many teams with the kind of offensive threats that San Fran has (maybe Minnesota, but they were not clicking well when Chi met them, other than that, no one comes close).
I will still take the Bears to cruise on their home turf.
(sidenote: While it's true to say Chicago has not faced an offense of this quality yet, it's also true to say San Fran has not faced a defence of Chi's quality yet either)
[This message has been edited by GM (edited 10-27-2001).]
IE. A team that plays a string of bad teams in a row tends to get wiped out when they finally face real quality...inverse is true too...if you play lots of top-quality opposition, when you finally get that soft opponent it's like a walk in the park.
Same applies to facing teams with good run D, then one bad run D....weak passing attacks, then you face a good one, etc. I like to compare all facets of the game, and ask myself how recent opposition compared to the current opponent in each area.
I posted this in another thread, but I will paste it here. (Sorry for the redundancy if you're reading this for the second time). At the moment it's probably my strongest play of the week....
===================================================
Gotta go with Chicago this week. Look at that total creampuff schedule SF has played. They barely squeak by a weak Atl squad twice, eek out a win over the Jets, and were it not for Carolina's total ineptness in the redzone (not in just this game, but every week) they could have lost that game. They DID hang close to St Louis.
Chicago's loss to Baltimore was much closer than the score indicates, hanging tough until late in the game. They beat a team (Minn) that many thought going into this season was superior to the Bears. Shutout Cinci who had previously been very hot on their own field...and throw in a laugher vs Atlanta (team that SF barely beat twice), and a mediocre performance vs Ariz.
All in all that makes Chi's performances a lot more impressive than San Fran's thus far. Only thing I am worried about is that Chi has not faced too many teams with the kind of offensive threats that San Fran has (maybe Minnesota, but they were not clicking well when Chi met them, other than that, no one comes close).
I will still take the Bears to cruise on their home turf.
(sidenote: While it's true to say Chicago has not faced an offense of this quality yet, it's also true to say San Fran has not faced a defence of Chi's quality yet either)
[This message has been edited by GM (edited 10-27-2001).]
An additional point (I did a post on this at another site)....
It had been my impression over the first 5 weeks of this year that teams off a bye had had some difficulty scoring in their first game back off the bye...in particular in the 1st Half of the game. Perhaps a bit rusty after the layoff. But it had also been my impression that these teams played better than usual on defence (a bit healthier maybe)? Offence is timing, defence is strength I am thinking, so maybe this makes sense?
Anyways, did a few calculations....
Not including the Monday game
The 10 teams with a bye this year have avg'd 18.93 PF in all of their games EXCEPT for the one directly following the bye. These teams have avg'd 14.5 PF in the after-bye games they have played.
These same bye teams have allowed 20.93 PA in all games except the after-bye game, and allowed 19.2 PA in their after-bye game.
So, a loss of 4.43 points scored, and an improvement of 1.73 fewer points allowed = bye team Net 2.7 points worse off than usual, and 6.16 fewer total pts in the game than usual.
These 10 games have produced 1 Over and 9 Unders...the lone Over being Game #1 of the sample, Denver @ Ariz. The Cards had the Week 1 bye, so this was their season-opener. (Note the Buf @ Jax game was counted twice, as both teams were off a bye).
So I may be onto something, but it IS a small sample size, so it could just be a fluke. Monday Night's game would only further the trend as Philly was off a bye and it was a 10-9 game (and it's now 1 Over, 10 Unders). I have not gone back into previous years to see if it holds up over time however.
[This message has been edited by GM (edited 10-27-2001).]
It had been my impression over the first 5 weeks of this year that teams off a bye had had some difficulty scoring in their first game back off the bye...in particular in the 1st Half of the game. Perhaps a bit rusty after the layoff. But it had also been my impression that these teams played better than usual on defence (a bit healthier maybe)? Offence is timing, defence is strength I am thinking, so maybe this makes sense?
Anyways, did a few calculations....
Not including the Monday game
The 10 teams with a bye this year have avg'd 18.93 PF in all of their games EXCEPT for the one directly following the bye. These teams have avg'd 14.5 PF in the after-bye games they have played.
These same bye teams have allowed 20.93 PA in all games except the after-bye game, and allowed 19.2 PA in their after-bye game.
So, a loss of 4.43 points scored, and an improvement of 1.73 fewer points allowed = bye team Net 2.7 points worse off than usual, and 6.16 fewer total pts in the game than usual.
These 10 games have produced 1 Over and 9 Unders...the lone Over being Game #1 of the sample, Denver @ Ariz. The Cards had the Week 1 bye, so this was their season-opener. (Note the Buf @ Jax game was counted twice, as both teams were off a bye).
So I may be onto something, but it IS a small sample size, so it could just be a fluke. Monday Night's game would only further the trend as Philly was off a bye and it was a 10-9 game (and it's now 1 Over, 10 Unders). I have not gone back into previous years to see if it holds up over time however.
[This message has been edited by GM (edited 10-27-2001).]
Bears 23
SF 17
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Those who are skilled in combat do not become angered,
Those who are skilled at winning do not become afraid.
Thus the wise win before they fight, while the ignorant fight to win.
Zhuge Liang
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When I examine myself and my methods of
thought, I come to the conclusion that the gift
of fantasy has meant more to me than my
talent for absorbing positive knowledge.
Albert Einstein
SF 17
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Those who are skilled in combat do not become angered,
Those who are skilled at winning do not become afraid.
Thus the wise win before they fight, while the ignorant fight to win.
Zhuge Liang
__________________________________
When I examine myself and my methods of
thought, I come to the conclusion that the gift
of fantasy has meant more to me than my
talent for absorbing positive knowledge.
Albert Einstein
