Chick Ball-Wednesday

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hawkeye

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4-1 ytd

These are not strong--gl
Woff Lady Terriers un 141'--Lady Hawkeyes -13'-
I think the Bluejays(+6') can hang with SD?? Should be a good game-mus what ya think of that game?
 
Old School

Old School

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if you like them to hang then over the 135' should be a consideration..

SD will approach 67 points at home off 4 days rest considering they average 78
 
M

Musca

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Ultimate pace game. The loss to Drake 63-53 makes me second guess it. I was actually looking to tease South Dakota down to -1. When you compare the teams using Lobo's Look you see this is a a tough game for Creighton as South Dakota is, in my book, a top 20 team.

I played;
Minnesota +9.5 and Under 150.5
Husson +57.5, 55.5, 53.5 and 51.5.

I am looking at Troy over-. Dominate game 98-42 gets us home.

I like this card.
 
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stickbit

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I use 5 Dimes and Heritage...speaking of which...Terriers under is 139.5.....i took it...Hawkeyes is -15.5...what do you think? Frustrating these lines are moving a lot and I don't know of other places to play...Heritage and 5D are top books
 
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Musca

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THere is no way we are going to get more books to carry WNCAA. At this point the only we get are games that are "televised"
I promise you that books do not want to book Womens Basketball right now. There are so many inefficiencies in this market that we would break them before they got it going. THis is not arrogance it is just truth. At this point I would just be happy with some moneylines. WNCAA is like FCS and we are still able to dominate the books because we have more insight into the teams. There are 351 D1 womens teams and I promise you these books do not want to book these games.

More books would increase liquidity and eventually stop these line moves. But my group can move a line 10 points with less than a $1,000 worth of wagered money. That is insane.

Heritage is better for Womens because they do have LIVE betting for women games and those Live betting options have $250 limits and cover games that are not usually listed. Add to that Heritage is -115

5d has their womens lines up sooner but you have to pay -120. However, they allow rebets up to a point.


NBL

J
 
H

hawkeye

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I will only bet women's late the nite before as sometimes they will put up lines but seldom or very early in the am. As Mus says they don't have a clue about a lot of these teams-I wonder how they determine what the lines will be? A $100 bet can make them change lines as they think they screwed up the line.
Follow OS and Musca as they follow the ladies closer than I do--gl
 
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hawkeye

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Husson has a tall group of girls-if they slow it at all--50+ really makes sense-will be fun to see--I'll go along with it. Stick use your judgement when lines jumped that much. I usually don't like it but was wrong last nite--gl
 
Old School

Old School

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hawkeye said:
I will only bet women's late the nite before as sometimes they will put up lines but seldom or very early in the am. As Mus says they don't have a clue about a lot of these teams-I wonder how they determine what the lines will be? A $100 bet can make them change lines as they think they screwed up the line.
Follow OS and Musca as they follow the ladies closer than I do--gl
Click to expand...


says the guy who placed 100 ladies wagers last season...:0003
 
M

Musca

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Hawkeye is sandbagging all of us... He is as sharp as they come. Do not let him bullshit you.

Betting womens game is just a place where I see advantage. I track the line moves very closely after opening and will try to fade moves. Due diligence is important.

A subscription to Herhoopstats is worth its weight in gold.




Hey Hawkeye- What did you come up with in the St. Peters game? ST. Petes one of the faster teams and NJIT likes to jack up 3's... Really think we get some fast breaks if those 3's are dropping.


Maine game is IMHO going to be insane. I am expecting a final score 61-23 or thereabouts. I do like the under as well. As insane as that is
 
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CoverEverything

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Musca said:
Hawkeye is sandbagging all of us... He is as sharp as they come. Do not let him bullshit you.

Betting womens game is just a place where I see advantage. I track the line moves very closely after opening and will try to fade moves. Due diligence is important.

A subscription to Herhoopstats is worth its weight in gold.




Hey Hawkeye- What did you come up with in the St. Peters game? ST. Petes one of the faster teams and NJIT likes to jack up 3's... Really think we get some fast breaks if those 3's are dropping.


Maine game is IMHO going to be insane. I am expecting a final score 61-23 or thereabouts. I do like the under as well. As insane as that is
Click to expand...

I run my own model. I will check out that site though. Thanks guys. Just wanted to be sure I wasn't missing any outs.
 
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stickbit

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Musca and Hawk - great info and totally agree with everything I've seen since betting the ladies form last season until now... low limits / crazy moves / -120 at 5 Dimes etc. Hawk is super sharp and the books definitely don't want much exposure on these games. I just need to make a judgement call on these games when lines are off. fortunately Heritage is still giving me -110 (for now) so that's cool.
 
Old School

Old School

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Musca said:
Hawkeye is sandbagging all of us... He is as sharp as they come. Do not let him bullshit you.

Betting womens game is just a place where I see advantage. I track the line moves very closely after opening and will try to fade moves. Due diligence is important.

A subscription to Herhoopstats is worth its weight in gold.




Hey Hawkeye- What did you come up with in the St. Peters game? ST. Petes one of the faster teams and NJIT likes to jack up 3's... Really think we get some fast breaks if those 3's are dropping.


Maine game is IMHO going to be insane. I am expecting a final score 61-23 or thereabouts. I do like the under as well. As insane as that is
Click to expand...

79 at half you had it pegged 42-37 NJIT


 
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