Chrysler Classic of Tucson

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1.5pts):

Jeff Maggert to win 25/1 e.w. @ UKBetting
Difficult to ignore form figures of 2nd and 10th in his last events, particularly as he was much higher with just one round to go in last week's Nissan Open. True, Daly can better that, but he is a very unlikely favourite for this event and less than half of Maggert's odds. He can also count two top-10 finishes in his last five visits to the Omni Tucson National Resort and a runners-up finish in 1993, so against this field, he may yet stumble over the winning line.

Hidemichi Tanaka to win 33/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Tanaka has threatened to do more than just stumble over the winning line for the past couple of years. He had a run of four top-6 finishes in six events in August last year and having finished in the top-25 in each of the last two years here and also last week, this represents a very good chance for the Japanese player to feature on the leaderboard again.

Brendan Pappas to win 40/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, UKBetting and Totalbet
Pappas also came to the fore last year with a couple of top-5 finishes late in the season. Against this field, that is rather impressive and he has continued in similar form this year with top-15 finishes in the Sony Open and in the FBR Open which was also played in Arizona. Having finished 3rd last year, there is plenty of reason to expect that his class will shine through on this course again.

 

[Clive]

Stan...sure you've read the Pappas 80/1 at Eurobet info by now!

First serious bet of the year for me;

Chris Nallen 300/1 to all the money they let me have at SJ! No certainty, obviously, but possibly the best amateur in the world...was the equal of Ricky Barnes in his Junior year last year at ASU; they were both All American and have both beaten records set by no less than Jim Furyk...he's also won NCAA events on this course...imo he should be no bigger than 50 and although he may bomb out under the pressure of playing with the big boys, he's a maximum bet for me (none of the previous ones (4) have ever won btw!!)

Staying with the ASU alums and have had smaller bets on Barnes, Sabbatini and Purdy, 40, 33, 150.

 

[Stanley]

But he has long been taken off their list

 

[He Hate Me]

Rickey Barnes to win 40-1
Ricky Barnes to show top 4 10-1
John Daly to win 12-1
Notah Begay to show top 5 20-1


John Daly looks like Tiger Woods circa 2000 right now.

Ricky Barnes plays college ball in Tuscon, U of A,and is very underrated.

Notah is a switch putter and the teepee who grew up in isnt far from this tournament.

Ricky will cream any ASU punks here

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Don't care much for the match play format but looking at some outrights in other events and a couple at longer odds I think worthy of look or
Lowery 66/1 SB
Always dangerous in weak fields and has had some good results and odds against likes of these. You can disregard his lackluster current form as past events with fields such as this would indicate
cut cut 2nd BC Open
cut cut 53 2nd GMO
----also taking look at JD (Jess Daley) in NZ event @ 100/1 @ Skybet.---also like Gutschewski at modest odds.

Don't have the ill weather for serious fades against all opposition of last week but do have some ranked in top 50 I will be looking to oppose in right situation @ Tucson
Calc-Hayes-Lewis-Mayfair-Petrovic and Rollins
--and some I favor
K Sutherland- B Pappas-Peoples-Lowery-Elk and Stankowski

 

[lal2000]

Some mixed e.w. Trebles/Patents incorporating WGC/Tucson/NZPGA

Daly/Maruyama/Caron
Gutschewski/Maggert/Singh
Walker/Scott/Sabbatini
Tanaka/Maruyama/Downes
O'Hern/Daly/Woods
Singh/Daly/O'Hern
Senior/Baddeley/Love

All at Sky and all using ? odds 1st 4 for the WGC.

Good Luck!

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5pts):

Tom Lehman to beat Aaron Baddeley -110 @ SkyBet
Dependable player against an erratic one. Lehman has made his last eleven cuts, including seven top-25 finishes, while Baddeley has missed two of five cuts this season with just one top-25 finish. Don't see Lehman winning this event, but having finished 6th on his last visit to this course in 1998, he should certainly keep up the run of top-25 finishes.
(also available at Bet365)

Kevin Sutherland to beat Russ Cochran -125 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Similar story here. Sutherland has made the cut in each of his five starts this year, including a top-10 finish in the last event in Arizona, the FBR Open. Cochran, on the other hand, has missed two of four starts and didn't play in the FBR Open. He has also finished behind Sutherland on the last three occasions that they have both played in this event, including 2001 when Sutherland finished 2nd to Garrett Willis.

 

[lal2000]

Outrights (1 unit e.w.)

R Sabbatini ? 33/1 @ Bet Direct (1.5 units e.w.)
T Fischer - 150-1 @ SkyBet
G Ogilvey - 66-1 @ Bet365
S Elkington - 80-1 @ Bet Direct
K Na - 125-1 @ Sporting Odds
M Gronberg - 50-1 @ Bet Direct

Also interested in Burns, Slocum, Peoples and Paulson.

Good luck!

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Mathias Gronberg(50/1 & 40/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365

Tom Lehman(22/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365

Jeff Maggert(18/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365

In the final analysis, I had to lean on what's been going close, and after not substituting Daly(10/1) in the above group, I was fighting an almost equal inclination to tweak a little and/or deviate substantially with Dean Wilson(80/1), Aaron Baddeley(33/1), Richard S. Johnson(150/1) and Steve Lowery(66/1).


1st Round 3-Balls:

Lehman(+125) over Olazabal/Smith for 1* @ Bet365


GL

 

[sports student]

4th round:

Franco -115 over Elkington (5 dimes)
T Clark -115 over sabbatini (5 dimes)

Franco +150 over Hensby/Johannson (365)
T Clark +120 over Begay/ McCallister (365)


good luck guys

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Been a boring and dismal tourney going 2-8 on matches with poor takes on Sutherland and Pappas and against Calc and Badds--going to throw a hail mary @ em this last round.



Bet Id: 12377761

Type: Accumulator


Unit Stake: 10.00 $

Cost: 10 $
You could win: 730.89 $

This bet consists of: Selection Backing Bet Type Odds

Tim Clark v Notah Begay III v Blaine McCallister Tim Clark 3BAL 2.20

Brent Geiberger v Brian Gay v Patrick Sheehan Brent Geiberger 3BAL 2.25

Bill Glasson v Vaughn Taylor v Dan Olsen Vaughn Taylor 3BAL 2.62

Brenden Pappas v Steve Allan v Roger Tambellini Brenden Pappas 3BAL 2.50

Tom Lehman v Russ Cochran v Danny Briggs Tom Lehman 3BAL 2.25

Believe Clarke would have had best chance vs Tiger as Love normally wilts in his presents--will not wager but will be curious to see how Loves temperment holds up.--a lot to be said for stamina with 2 days of 36 holes in this event.

 

[lostinamerica]

Sunday 3-Balls for 1* each @ Bet365:

Cabrera(+175) over Frazar/Calcavecchia
Glasson(+150) over Taylor/Olsen
Baddeley(+110) over Slocum/Heinen
Franco(+150) over Hensby/Johansson


And just a $17 opinion: Love(+200) over Woods


GL

 

[Stanley]

Outrights - Final update: 0-3; -4.50pts

Maggert wd
Tanaka 20th
Pappas 43rd

Not even close to being in contention. Very poor picks!

Matchups - Final update: 0-2-0; -3.53pts

Lehman/Baddeley LOST by 17
Sutherland/Cochran LOST by 6

The outright picks never got close to a top-5 finish and the matchup selections never got close to their opponents. A very disappointing event.

PGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 3-21; -26.60pts
Matchups: 20-24; -26.67pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 10-65; -54.10pts
Matchups: 75-64; -18.58pts

 

[lal2000]

Heath Slocum is my man! I held this unposted (but mentioned) picked in a 1.5 unit e.w. bet with Victor Chandler @ 150/1 - he did me proud. It is interesting that despite my confidence in this bet, I didn't feel as confident with it as those that I posted - like Sabbatini & Ogilvey. Slocum was a dark horse, my kind of guy, but he seemed too outside to group with the others. Not sure what lessons can be learned form this - are there many of you out there who place bets that you do not post, or do you put them all out there?

Also managed to land one of my Patents - all places -but it still paid off nicely.