Hope everyone is having as good of a run in the dance as I have been lucky enough to get (hlaf-point wins by teams like KU yesterday help).
Anyways, I haven't posted in awhile since I have steered away from the "e-bookie" and have gone back to using the traditional local enforcer.
Just wanted to put a red flag up on my Sooners game tonight. I know that a lot of people are on Butler, but there are a few simple reasons that this Cinderella thing is about to come to a crashing halt.
1) Butler has ONE player with any real size, and the OU trio (4 couting reserve Szvendrei) of Bookout, Jabahri Brown, and Johnnie Gilbert will have this guy on the bench or fouled out very quickly! He played 40 minutes against L'ville b/c they didn't put him in foul trouble. With the strength dominace of Bookout and the incredible leaping ability of Brown and Gilbert, this guy is going to have to choose to challenge the shot and watch the follow up dunks get thrown down, or hope that OU's insiders miss a lot of bunnies. If Cindy is crazy enough to crash guards down to help, OU will blow this thing open early with 3 balls.
2) Butler will NOT continue to shoot the way they did last time out. Same theory as yesterday when I took the KU/Duke under. Both teams had been filling it up, and the # didn't reflect the change in competition. OU is simply one of the best peremiter defensive teams in the tournament. The only teams that have been able to beat them over the top have been those with a strong inside scorer, not the case here. We all saw what happens to Butler when they are consistently challenged on their outside shots (See conf. title game against Wisc-Mil.). Look for a repeat
3) Basically, Butler is a guard-led team and that plays into the strength of OU as well. The only difference (giving a substantial benefit of the doubt that guards are actually equal) is that OU has the size, numbers, and rebounding edge to dominate inside.
4) Hollis Price is healthy. On top of this, he is the most well-rested guy in the game tonight. OU has been rolling without him, and if he gets going like he is capable of, it could be a runaway.
This is the "long and short" of why I am going with the chalk tonight. The only concern of mine is whether or not OU takes their foot off the throat like they have had a tendency to do this season (KU, UConn, Mizzou- all Ws, but ugly late). I don't perceive this to be an issue tonight in a Sweet 16 NCAA game. 7 points is a lot, and it opens up the backdoor chance, but barring some really deep and consistent shooting, OU rolls.
While this is a pick on my team, it is not a "homer" call. I won betting against OU in the 1st round (S. Carolina State) and won by taking them in the second round (Cal).
This is just one man's opinion, I am hoping to get some feedback both ways on this one.
Other plays in order of strength:
UT/UConn UNDER 152 (if it goes over, UT scored 85, which leads me to...
TEXAS (-2.5)
The 'Cuse (looks like a trap, but then again so did their last game I hit on against Okie State)
CUSE UNDER
Good luck
releasedahounds
Anyways, I haven't posted in awhile since I have steered away from the "e-bookie" and have gone back to using the traditional local enforcer.
Just wanted to put a red flag up on my Sooners game tonight. I know that a lot of people are on Butler, but there are a few simple reasons that this Cinderella thing is about to come to a crashing halt.
1) Butler has ONE player with any real size, and the OU trio (4 couting reserve Szvendrei) of Bookout, Jabahri Brown, and Johnnie Gilbert will have this guy on the bench or fouled out very quickly! He played 40 minutes against L'ville b/c they didn't put him in foul trouble. With the strength dominace of Bookout and the incredible leaping ability of Brown and Gilbert, this guy is going to have to choose to challenge the shot and watch the follow up dunks get thrown down, or hope that OU's insiders miss a lot of bunnies. If Cindy is crazy enough to crash guards down to help, OU will blow this thing open early with 3 balls.
2) Butler will NOT continue to shoot the way they did last time out. Same theory as yesterday when I took the KU/Duke under. Both teams had been filling it up, and the # didn't reflect the change in competition. OU is simply one of the best peremiter defensive teams in the tournament. The only teams that have been able to beat them over the top have been those with a strong inside scorer, not the case here. We all saw what happens to Butler when they are consistently challenged on their outside shots (See conf. title game against Wisc-Mil.). Look for a repeat
3) Basically, Butler is a guard-led team and that plays into the strength of OU as well. The only difference (giving a substantial benefit of the doubt that guards are actually equal) is that OU has the size, numbers, and rebounding edge to dominate inside.
4) Hollis Price is healthy. On top of this, he is the most well-rested guy in the game tonight. OU has been rolling without him, and if he gets going like he is capable of, it could be a runaway.
This is the "long and short" of why I am going with the chalk tonight. The only concern of mine is whether or not OU takes their foot off the throat like they have had a tendency to do this season (KU, UConn, Mizzou- all Ws, but ugly late). I don't perceive this to be an issue tonight in a Sweet 16 NCAA game. 7 points is a lot, and it opens up the backdoor chance, but barring some really deep and consistent shooting, OU rolls.
While this is a pick on my team, it is not a "homer" call. I won betting against OU in the 1st round (S. Carolina State) and won by taking them in the second round (Cal).
This is just one man's opinion, I am hoping to get some feedback both ways on this one.
Other plays in order of strength:
UT/UConn UNDER 152 (if it goes over, UT scored 85, which leads me to...
TEXAS (-2.5)
The 'Cuse (looks like a trap, but then again so did their last game I hit on against Okie State)
CUSE UNDER
Good luck
releasedahounds
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