Clemson Vs Alabama - 2019 National Championship Game - KOD

THE KOD

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Monday night marks the fifth time in history that the CFB Playoff scheme ultimately decides which team gets crowned the national champion.

If nothing else, year five means we have four years of numbers to look back on. And while statistics certainly don?t tell the whole story of what happened on the field, they also never lie.

Comparing the in-game resumes of each of the eight teams that participated in the first four title contests highlight the statistical DNA shared by the winners.

While some of the results may seem obvious, surprisingly absent are big hitters like turnovers, passing attempts vs. rushing attempts, first downs, and sacks allowed.

It?s the blueprint to winning the CFB Playoff National Championship game.

Commit Fewer Penalties

Penalties are one of only two major statistical categories where 100 percent of the past four champions performed better than their opponent.

It?s something that?s not true of the other major ?mistake? indicator ? turnover margin. In fact, only two of the last four champions won the turnover battle in the title game. Alabama went +1 in both of its CFB Playoff title runs in 2015 and 2017 while Ohio State went -3 in its 2014 win and Clemson went -2 when it won it all in 2016.

Penalty yards, on the other hand, are a 100 percent shared indicator of success.

2014: Ohio State 30 total yards of penalties vs. Oregon?s 76

2015: Alabama 21 yards vs. Clemson 27 yards

2016: Clemson 35 yards vs. Alabama 82 yards

2017: Alabama 41 yards vs. Georgia 65 yards

In 2018, (1) Alabama is ranked No. 63 in the FBS in penalty yards per game (52.6) while (2) Clemson is at No. 40 (47.3).

Complete a Higher Percentage of your Passes

The only major offensive statistical category that each of the past four champions have shared success in is pass completion percentage. Where only 50% of the four winners completed the most first downs and 50% earned the most rushing yards, 100% completed more passes than their opponent in the title game.

2014: Ohio State 69% vs. Oregon 65%

2015: Alabama 64% vs. Clemson 63.8%

2016: Clemson 64% vs. Alabama 42%

2017: Alabama 53% vs. Georgia 50%



This season, (1) Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has completed 69.5 percent of his passes (No. 5 nationally) vs. (2) Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence?s 65.6% (No. 19).

Have a 100-yard Rusher

Intriguingly, there have only been two 100-plus yard rushers in the brief history of the CFB Playoff National Championship game, and both played for the winning team.

In 2014, Ohio State?s Ezekiel Elliott hung up a record 246 yards and four scores on Oregon in the Buckeye?s 42-20 victory. In 2015, Alabama?s Derrick Henry scampered for 158 yards and three touchdowns in the Tide?s 45-50 win over Clemson.

The closest any back has come to the 100-yard mark since was Bo Scarbrough who rushed for 93 yards in Alabama?s 35-31 loss to Clemson in 2016 and Sony Michel who was just two-yards shy with 98 in Georgia?s 26-23 overtime loss to the Tide last season.

This season (1) Alabama has had three 100-yard rushers ? Damien Harris twice (111 yards at Arkansas and 107 at LSU) and Najee Harris once (135 vs. Arkansas State). As for (2) Clemson, it?s hit the mark on 12 occasions ? eight turned in by Travis Etienne (162, 122, 203, 167, 153, 150, 156 and 109), two by Lyn-J Dixon (163 and 116) and one apiece by Adam Choice (128) and Tavien Feaster (101).

Convert More Third Downs

Each of the past four champions apart from last year?s Alabama team has won the battle of third-down conversions in the title game.

2014: Ohio State 53% vs. Oregon 17%

2015: Alabama 50% vs. Clemson 43%

2016: Clemson 39% vs. Alabama 13%

2017: Alabama 21% vs. Georgia 42%

(1) Alabama is currently ranked No. 2 in the FBS in third down conversion percentage (53.95%) while (2) Clemson is No. 25 (44.39%).

Take More Chances

In total, the past four champions have tried for a 4th down conversion on five occasions in the title game vs. three times for the losing team. Only one eventual winner (Alabama in 2015) failed to attempt a 4th down conversion in the championship game. The Tide are also the only non-winner to ever successfully convert a 4th down in the title game.

As far as conversion rates, combined the champs are 4/5 (80%) on fourth down while the runners-up are 1/3 (33%).

2014: Ohio State 3/3 vs. Oregon 0/2

2015: Alabama 0/0 vs. Clemson 0/0

2016: Clemson 0/1 vs. Alabama 1/1

2017: Alabama 1/1 vs. Georgia 0/0

(1) Alabama has gone for it on 4th down 9 times this season (the fewest of any team in the nation) and successfully converted 44% of the time (No. 105 in the FBS). Compare that with (2) Clemson who has made 18 such attempts (No. 83) and converted 55.6% (No. 51).

Win the Time of Possession Battle

As was the case in third-down conversions, Alabama?s 2017 team is the only CFB Playoff Champion who did not have the ball for the biggest portion of the title game. This was true even though Georgia (who finished 2017 ranked No. 9 in the FBS in rushing yards a game ? averaging 258.4) rushed for a very un-Bulldog like 133 yards.

2014: Ohio State 37:29 vs. Oregon 22:31

2015: Alabama 29:52 vs. Clemson 29:11

2016: Clemson 34:44 vs. Alabama 25:16

2017: Alabama 26:17 vs. Georgia 33:43

Alabama comes into the title game ranked No. 55 nationally in average time of possession (30:14) vs. Clemson?s No. 96 rank (28:46).

................................................


This is a excellent article on the big game come Monday Night.

Face it, these two teams are very closely matched and the game could go either way.

From my perspective , Clemson with QB Lawrence is just tough. Clemson's defense can hang also in this game.

I will throw my winnings into the pot and let the chips fall where they may.


I smell Money and it smells Green !
 

THE KOD

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thanks bos

..............

Star Clemson defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence is out for the Playoff National Championship, continuing a suspension that started with the Cotton Bowl semifinal.

He, offensive lineman Zach Giella, and tight end Braden Galloway tested positive for the same performance-enhancing drug, ostarine. Giella and Galloway are still suspended, too, after also missing the Tigers? win against Notre Dame. The three suspended players can travel to the game in Santa Clara, California, but that?s all.

Galloway is part of a tight end-by-committee group behind starter Milan Richard. Giella is not on the two-deep and has played sparingly. But Lawrence has been a crucial part of Clemson?s defense, creating chaos and taking up space in the middle of the line.

Lawrence is a junior and considered a top NFL draft prospect. It?s easy to imagine this news ending his college career, though no official word?s come down on that yet.
.......................................

it was the best of times and the worst of times

GO CLEMSON !
 

THE KOD

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Alabama 34, Clemson 31
"Alabama will get off to a fast start, because that's what it has done all season, and it wouldn't be a surprise if the Tide have a double-digit lead heading into the second quarter. Just when viewers think about turning off the television, however, Trevor Lawrence will rally the Tigers once he settles in. It will be tight, just like the other national championship matchups between the two, but Tua Tagovailoa will lead the game-sealing drive in the fourth quarter. Those who turn this off will miss another instant classic." ? Bill Bender
.....................................


this guy has not a clue in my mind

but that's just me
 

THE KOD

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Trevor Lawrence
Football quarterback - Clemson

Description

Trevor Lawrence is a collegiate American football quarterback for the Clemson Tigers. Lawrence was one of the most highly rated quarterback recruits ever, with multiple recruiting experts calling him a ″once in a generation″ type of player. Wikipedia

Born: October 6, 1999 (age 19 years), Johnson City, TN

Height: 6′ 5″

Weight: 216 lbs

Current team: Clemson Tigers football (#16 / Quarterback)
Parents: Amanda Lawrence, Jeremy Lawrence

Education: Clemson University, Cartersville High School
 

THE KOD

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YR65TLP7NVEWBBJGIKN4KHW3K4.jpg



and there is always this guy to think about
 

THE KOD

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more mistakes will be made in this game by The Tide and I think they will not play up to par. This wager is based on that strong belief.


which means they are ripe now for the picking

and when a tree bares fruit , you got to eat it
 

THE KOD

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I have been thinking about if Tua has to exit the game for any reason , is that good or bad for me ?



they fused his ankle or something. Its a experimental treatment for high ankle sprain that has worked out well for some.


But experimental worrys me for Tua
 

bosbabiesarm

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Last year in the semi finals Bama jumped out on the Clemson and cruised to a easy win but had a far superior team. This game I look more like the Georgia Alabama Game close early with one another and if Alabama covers they pull away late but I don?t see them up big early I see it very close. I like tiger win outright also.
 

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Last year in the semi finals Bama jumped out on the Clemson and cruised to a easy win but had a far superior team. This game I look more like the Georgia Alabama Game close early with one another and if Alabama covers they pull away late but I don?t see them up big early I see it very close. I like tiger win outright also.

This Bama teams beats last year for me. And a see a repeat of last year but higher scoring for both teams. I cannot see anyway Clemson wins this game.
 

THE KOD

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The tightrope procedure is far from experimental. Pretty common actually.

Alabama team doctor Norman Waldrop has been an outspoken advocate of the TightRope in previous interviews and speeches. In a 2017 interview posted on YouTube, Waldrop said it requires as two-inch incision and can have players walking by the fourth or fifth day after the operation. They can run by Day 8 or 9 and cutting whenever it?s comfortable enough to do so.


?We call it a stitch job,? said Alabama left tackle Jonah Williams who had the procedure in January after a high-ankle sprain in the CFP title game. ?Just throw some wires in there, and you know.?

Dr. Watson said the use of surgery has been somewhat controversial in the medical community. It?s absolutely necessary in the high-grade sprains when there is instability but there?s a gray area, he said, in the middle tier of injuries.

?It?s not clear cut,? he said. ?We really struggle to figure out the players that need surgery versus those who don?t. When it?s the gray zone or the Grade 2 injuries, those are the ones that can be really difficult to make that decision and pull the trigger with surgery or put the kid in a cast.?

Dr. McGarvey said there?s a more aggressive approach taken with surgery now.

?You see with a lot of surgeons now with the technology that we have available, to be very proactive and provide some level of stability to prevent any dynamic instability patterns,? McGarvey said.

This whole area of study is still relatively new in the orthopedic community. They?re still learning a lot about the treatment as it is continually studied. Dr. Watson said he was familiar with Cam Robinson?s two-week recovery four years ago.:scared:scared


?But if it?s me and I?m going to be playing in the national championship game,? Dr. Watson said, ?I?m probably going to take the risk. If it fails and I can?t go and reinjure myself, I have the whole offseason to get it better.?

.............................

:scared:scared
 

THE KOD

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Question to Alabama players : Could Alabama beat a NFL team

offensive lineman Alex Leatherwood was asked the question, and after a moment, Leatherwood arrived at his answer: the Arizona Cardinals. The reason he gave was simple.


?The Cardinals trash.?

While that?s a little harsh, the 3-13 Cardinals were pretty putrid this season.
....................


:0corn
 

SourDoughJoe

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Posted in someone else?s thread:

Posted by THE KOD:
If I was going to make wager on a straight bet, I would take Alabama and the five pts.


But I am going to make a gambling bet


I don't wear red or orange
_____________________

This makes no sense. Another reason why I don?t think
that you make any bets at all.
Good luck in what ever you do.

SDJ
 
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