YTD Record: 6-8 for -5.9 units
Bad start of the season was curbed last week a bit. Looking for these to get me into the black:
Nebraska/ULL Under 54 for 6 units ? Nebraska?s QB is a little banged up but will play. However, considering that and the conference opener with Mizzou a week and a half away, I look for Nebraska to be pretty vanilla on offense. Nebraska will be content to be run heavy, win by 20-some points and get out of there with a victory and be healthy for the start of conference play. Helping the cause is that the Cajun?s D has been decent so far this year as they held LSU to 330 total yards a week ago. Nebraska?s D should be pretty motivated after the late collapse against VaTech. They have played well allowing less than 10 points per game, but the coaches have labeled their play so far as ?soft? and passive. There?s some extra motivation.
Ohio +24.5 for 3 units ? Lane Kiffin was excused of playing ultra-conservative to just keep the game against Florida close and avoid a blow out. True or not, that is the blueprint Frank Solich will be following this weekend as the Bobcats take on the Vols. Kiffin will likely look to get Crompton comfortable with the offense, but that actually helps Ohio as their pass D is much better than their run D.
Temple -3.5 for 3 units ? if people haven?t realized it already, this will be the game where they figure out that Buffalo is no where near the team it was last year. Temple had a handful of near misses last year including their game against Buffalo. They look to get their first W of the season against a very porous Buffalo D. Buffalo?s offense isn?t as potent without Starks in as their RB, and I foresee them to continue to struggle to score.
Pitt Pick for 2 units ? one of three Big East/ACC tilts this weekend. Pitt and outstanding frosh RB Dion Lewis have motored along quite nicely under the radar so far. A road win here will help get them some attention as NC State is in for a wake up call after two cake walk victories. QB Russell Wilson had issues in the opener against S. Carolina?s good D. Pitt?s D isn?t as good as the Gamecocks but will give Wilson enough trouble Saturday.
Penn St. -9.5 for 2 units ? Penn State has played well but not completely blown out anyone. On the stat sheet they have completely dominated, yet not piled on a ton of points or covered yet this year. Have this feeling that a revenge game against Iowa will help them keep rolling right along. Iowa typically plays them close but I just don?t think it will be this time around. Iowa?s ground game is good but no where near where it was a year ago. Penn State will be able to easily bottle their running attack up and dare Stanzi to beat them in the air.
Bad start of the season was curbed last week a bit. Looking for these to get me into the black:
Nebraska/ULL Under 54 for 6 units ? Nebraska?s QB is a little banged up but will play. However, considering that and the conference opener with Mizzou a week and a half away, I look for Nebraska to be pretty vanilla on offense. Nebraska will be content to be run heavy, win by 20-some points and get out of there with a victory and be healthy for the start of conference play. Helping the cause is that the Cajun?s D has been decent so far this year as they held LSU to 330 total yards a week ago. Nebraska?s D should be pretty motivated after the late collapse against VaTech. They have played well allowing less than 10 points per game, but the coaches have labeled their play so far as ?soft? and passive. There?s some extra motivation.
Ohio +24.5 for 3 units ? Lane Kiffin was excused of playing ultra-conservative to just keep the game against Florida close and avoid a blow out. True or not, that is the blueprint Frank Solich will be following this weekend as the Bobcats take on the Vols. Kiffin will likely look to get Crompton comfortable with the offense, but that actually helps Ohio as their pass D is much better than their run D.
Temple -3.5 for 3 units ? if people haven?t realized it already, this will be the game where they figure out that Buffalo is no where near the team it was last year. Temple had a handful of near misses last year including their game against Buffalo. They look to get their first W of the season against a very porous Buffalo D. Buffalo?s offense isn?t as potent without Starks in as their RB, and I foresee them to continue to struggle to score.
Pitt Pick for 2 units ? one of three Big East/ACC tilts this weekend. Pitt and outstanding frosh RB Dion Lewis have motored along quite nicely under the radar so far. A road win here will help get them some attention as NC State is in for a wake up call after two cake walk victories. QB Russell Wilson had issues in the opener against S. Carolina?s good D. Pitt?s D isn?t as good as the Gamecocks but will give Wilson enough trouble Saturday.
Penn St. -9.5 for 2 units ? Penn State has played well but not completely blown out anyone. On the stat sheet they have completely dominated, yet not piled on a ton of points or covered yet this year. Have this feeling that a revenge game against Iowa will help them keep rolling right along. Iowa typically plays them close but I just don?t think it will be this time around. Iowa?s ground game is good but no where near where it was a year ago. Penn State will be able to easily bottle their running attack up and dare Stanzi to beat them in the air.
