The battle begins.
I'm not a hoops guy (though I do watch college more than the SJW Pro's) so I use small wagers.
Last year here, regular season, I was 76-58, a hair under 57% at just over 130 buys.
Wagering a standard $110/100 that was good for a profit of $1,220.
Post season I was 22-18, which is a hair over break even with juice factored in, but it was good enough for me because the plays I use in the regular season (all sports) don't always work in the post season, so I was happy just to have some tournament action/fun and not give back any winnings from the reg season.
This year, I'll 'cap similar to last year.
I'll track/chart three main plays, all totals (I haven't found a formula for sides that works; yet) with one subset within each play that will hopefully yield a higher W % based on tighter qualifying parameters.
I started tracking yesterday.
System 1 went 3-4, Ov 0-1, Un 3-3; subset 0-1
S2 went 2-2, Ov 0-1, Un 2-1
S3 went 11-5, subset 9-3.
Here's the weird part - of those 27 spots only two were Overs.
Here's the good part - I was going to just 'cap the first two plays (Kid's ball takes a lot of time to crunch #'s on) but had a little extra time yesterday afternoon so I thought, what the hell, add a third play. And S3 had a great day, so, who knows, maybe it will be the spot I can use for the entire season.
I played one game yesterday, and it perfectly illustrates why this sport drives me crazy.
I had S Fla/B Cook 2nd half Un 71'.
S Fla was up by 20 pts, 39 seconds left in the game, 2nd half total sitting at 67.
Naturally, down by 20 pts with just 39 seconds left, B Cook fouls S Fla.
Even worse - up by 21 pts with just 17 seconds left, S Fla fouls B Cook!
Worse still - with under 10 seconds left, S Fla has the ball. They dribble out the clock, right?
WRONG! They shoot and score with 2 seconds left on the clock!
Luckily, the kids missed a few FT's in the final seconds and I won by a hook, but my point remains - in Kid's Ball the play, and play calling (example - down by 20 pts with 10 seconds left, a head coach calls a timeout; WTF!!??) is often ridiculous. And makes me nuts.
It'll likely be too much work/time to post all qualifying plays daily, so I'll just post buys.
But for now, in case anyone is interested, I'll post all spots, until it becomes too much.
Back after I finish 'capping.
Update - here are today's spots.
S1 - no plays
S2 has Un in Temple, Buff (subset has Temple)
S3 has Un in Buff, S Hall, Tulsa, Fla St, Wyoming, and UNLV (subset has Buff, UNLV); Ov in Alcorn
I'm not going to buy anything off of just one day's worth of tracking.
Tempted to buy Buff as it fits two spots (S2 & S3) and also S3 subset. If it was televised, I'd . . .
I'm not a hoops guy (though I do watch college more than the SJW Pro's) so I use small wagers.
Last year here, regular season, I was 76-58, a hair under 57% at just over 130 buys.
Wagering a standard $110/100 that was good for a profit of $1,220.
Post season I was 22-18, which is a hair over break even with juice factored in, but it was good enough for me because the plays I use in the regular season (all sports) don't always work in the post season, so I was happy just to have some tournament action/fun and not give back any winnings from the reg season.
This year, I'll 'cap similar to last year.
I'll track/chart three main plays, all totals (I haven't found a formula for sides that works; yet) with one subset within each play that will hopefully yield a higher W % based on tighter qualifying parameters.
I started tracking yesterday.
System 1 went 3-4, Ov 0-1, Un 3-3; subset 0-1
S2 went 2-2, Ov 0-1, Un 2-1
S3 went 11-5, subset 9-3.
Here's the weird part - of those 27 spots only two were Overs.
Here's the good part - I was going to just 'cap the first two plays (Kid's ball takes a lot of time to crunch #'s on) but had a little extra time yesterday afternoon so I thought, what the hell, add a third play. And S3 had a great day, so, who knows, maybe it will be the spot I can use for the entire season.
I played one game yesterday, and it perfectly illustrates why this sport drives me crazy.
I had S Fla/B Cook 2nd half Un 71'.
S Fla was up by 20 pts, 39 seconds left in the game, 2nd half total sitting at 67.
Naturally, down by 20 pts with just 39 seconds left, B Cook fouls S Fla.
Even worse - up by 21 pts with just 17 seconds left, S Fla fouls B Cook!
Worse still - with under 10 seconds left, S Fla has the ball. They dribble out the clock, right?
WRONG! They shoot and score with 2 seconds left on the clock!
Luckily, the kids missed a few FT's in the final seconds and I won by a hook, but my point remains - in Kid's Ball the play, and play calling (example - down by 20 pts with 10 seconds left, a head coach calls a timeout; WTF!!??) is often ridiculous. And makes me nuts.
It'll likely be too much work/time to post all qualifying plays daily, so I'll just post buys.
But for now, in case anyone is interested, I'll post all spots, until it becomes too much.
Back after I finish 'capping.
Update - here are today's spots.
S1 - no plays
S2 has Un in Temple, Buff (subset has Temple)
S3 has Un in Buff, S Hall, Tulsa, Fla St, Wyoming, and UNLV (subset has Buff, UNLV); Ov in Alcorn
I'm not going to buy anything off of just one day's worth of tracking.
Tempted to buy Buff as it fits two spots (S2 & S3) and also S3 subset. If it was televised, I'd . . .
Last edited:
opcorn2