Collier's Public Fade Thread of Dogs 51% or Higher

[collier91068]

Hey guys, I'm trying to devolpe a system to single out good games to bet on. I hope it's going to help along with your own capping skills. It worked nicely in college football last year. I will run this thread thru the entire 2011 regular season and see what it brings us. The system does not work well in the Bowl games. Also found out the RLM pretty much breaks even in college football.

Note a few things.

1. I don't bet all the games the system calls out for just the ones that match up with what I capped.
2. I will post the systems plays and my own personal plays seperate.
3. I will be only using pregame numbers so you will see different percentages from other sites.
4. Due to posting early the percentages and lines may change before gametime. I recommend you wait as close to gametime before betting if you like a play.
5. Bet at your own risk because we all know no system is perfect.

GL this season and let's make some cash. Football = :0071 =

 

[HUDSON]

Thanks and GL!!! :0074

 

[collier91068]

Thanks and GL!!! :0074

:toast:

 

[TLankford]

will be a thread I check weekly :0008

 

[collier91068]

will be a thread I check weekly :0008

:toast:

 

[baby johnson]

BOL to you

 

[ageecee]

what was the record of this system last year in games that you played?

 

[collier91068]

BOL to you

Thanks baby johnson

 

[collier91068]

what was the record of this system last year in games that you played?

Regular Season
40-27
59%

 

[collier91068]

Opening Saturday Plays 9/3/11

Well guys opening Saturday is here and I'm for one am very excited. Have some system plays but remember no system is perfect and it will having winning days along with losing days. Just compare them with the games you cap and hopefully it will help find that solid play we are looking for. Remember these play withh be posted around 11:15 or 11:30 and the percentages will change after I post the plays. Let's have a great year and GL.

More later

1 unit system plays
40% Boston College -4 (-110) Matches up with a RLM. Personal Play
46% Purdue -14.5 (-110)
27% Iowa -35.5 (-110)

Persoanl Plays

5 units
Boston College -4 (-110)

 

[collier91068]

These percentages are moving fast today. Wait as long as you can. I might have got screwed on the B.C. game. I will post the official dog public plays tonight for tracking. Going to track these to the Tee this year.

1 unit system plays
Boston College -4 (-110) Matches up with a RLM. Personal Play
Purdue -14.5 (-110)
Iowa -35.5 (-110)
USC -24
ND -10
BYU -2
S.C. -20.5
NC State -27
Cinny -41.5
UCF -41
UTEP -13.5
Arizona -26

Persoanl Plays

5 units
Boston College -4 (-110)

 

[collier91068]

Persoanl Plays

5 units
Boston College -4 (-110)
Clemson -14.5 (-105)

 

[collier91068]

Persoanl Plays (Final Card)

5 units
Boston College -4 (-110)
Clemson -14.5 (-105)
Mississippi +2 (-105)
ECU +21 (-107)
Fresno St. +10.5 (-109)
Austin Peay +41.5 (-110)

 

[collier91068]

Late play

10 units
Colorado +7

 

[collier91068]

9/5/11 Total Bomb

Trying to save my season early. GL guys

25 units
Miami/Maryland Under 45.5 (-105)

 

[IX_Bender]

Two pieces of advice as you havent even seen a team play yet before you bet on them.


1. Dont mix your personal plays with the system plays. Hard to follow and causes confusion. Separate threads are fine, but update the records.

2. Its a long season, why chase on MNF where theres suspension, weather, and again, weve not seen either team play this year.


You already have both 1 unit bets and a 25 unit one. Thats called chasing. Even if you win the season will be a short one with that kind of MM.

 

[gjn23]

love it.......system is great, it works, it succeeds

week 1

12 system plays for 12 total units

and

8 personal plays for 65 total units

fyi: a weekly betting strategy like this and the system plays could hit at a 90% clip and it wont make a difference as your personal plays will determine your financial outcome

 

[collier91068]

Well guys coming off an awefull week 1. I'll be going out of town this weekend so will be posting my plays Friday afternoon which is a little early for me.


YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (0-0) (0%) (0.00 units)
Total = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)

 

[collier91068]

9/10/11 Play

Going out of town for the weekend so posting early. GL guys

10 units
Kentucky -10.5 (-101)
S. Florida -20 (-108)
Vanderbilt -2.5 (-105)
USC -8.5 (-108)
Notra Dame -3 (-105)
Michigan St. -32 (-105)
Kent St -8 (-108)

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (0-0) (0%) (0.00 units)
Total = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)

 

[collier91068]

9/10/11 Play

Going out of town for the weekend so posting early. GL guys

10 units
Kentucky -10.5 (-101)
S. Florida -20 (-108)
Vanderbilt -2.5 (-105)
USC -8.5 (-108)
Notra Dame -3 (-105)
Michigan St. -32 (-105)
Kent St -8 (-108)

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (0-0) (0%) (0.00 units)
Total = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)

Had a nice come back this week a terrible start in week 1. Finish week 2 5-2 +28.70 units

YTD Results
Week 1 = (2-6) (25%) (-49.05 units)
Week 2 = (5-2) (71%) (+28.70 units)
Total = (7-8) (46%) (-20.35 units)