Comments, needs etc...

M

Musca

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When there are a limited number of games it is not uncommon to see a large percentage on one side and create needs for books. I have never tracked needs for this time of year... But one thing that is common among all the people that I get information from is this:

Moneyline parlays between- Kentucky, Duke and Villanova... The fourth team being used is also Gonzaga. Three outlets that I talk to regularly have all said the same thing an inordinate amount of moneyline parlays are being played and they are being hooked together as listed above.

I am seeing money pretty heavy on Texas A&M 74% at one goup who represents 108 online sportsbooks. That is a money number not a bet percentage.
Biggest bet percentage I see tonight is Nevada who is 83% with the same group.


I am just sharing information. Please use it as you see fit
 
M

Musca

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BGC- I make no recommendations - PLus I have been so COLD... line has moved in the direction of the sharp money so I usually dont play that... I look for lines moving opposite of bet percentages... Majority of bet percentages are on A&M and line has dropped moved toward A&M...


Subcloser- Yes that is the way I have been thinking about it- Kentucky bet seems to be crowded and the sharps are on KSU and despite the spread I feel a KSU win would be the bigger upset perception wise.
71% on KY but line has dropped form 6 to 5. That would set up a play on KSU ATS.

Similar setup tomorrow with Nova... 70+% on Nova but line has dropped from 5.5 to 4.5 so would set up a play on WVU.


Full disclaimer- as a FAN I am rooting for Kentucky. Fiscally- A&M over

I am as cold as could be though guys so be careful trailing my plays. I have gotten a lot of e-mails about the needs things so I wanted to share since it was tweeted out.


Jason
 
S

Subcloser

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Musca said:
BGC- I make no recommendations - PLus I have been so COLD... line has moved in the direction of the sharp money so I usually dont play that... I look for lines moving opposite of bet percentages... Majority of bet percentages are on A&M and line has dropped moved toward A&M...


Subcloser- Yes that is the way I have been thinking about it- Kentucky bet seems to be crowded and the sharps are on KSU and despite the spread I feel a KSU win would be the bigger upset perception wise.
71% on KY but line has dropped form 6 to 5. That would set up a play on KSU ATS.

Similar setup tomorrow with Nova... 70+% on Nova but line has dropped from 5.5 to 4.5 so would set up a play on WVU.


Full disclaimer- as a FAN I am rooting for Kentucky. Fiscally- A&M over

I am as cold as could be though guys so be careful trailing my plays. I have gotten a lot of e-mails about the needs things so I wanted to share since it was tweeted out.


Jason
Click to expand...

I am not as up to date with twitter as I should be but I appreciate you posting these types of notes...hope you continue to do so...gl tonight
 
M

Musca

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this is from one book in Vegas

this is from one book in Vegas

With about 10 Minutes until 1st tipoff liabilities for NCAA tourney games till the same. Kentucky biggest, then Gonzaga and Loyola, although we are now black/black on Michigan/Texas A&M

Big mid five figure bets come in on Loyola right before tip off pushing them to a fairly significant liability to the book in tip off #1 tonight for NCAA Tourney

Same guy tweeting these
 
M

Musca

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Fading

Fading

Fading those big majorities still is nice...

Good hit for Loyola backers.

Michigan over hits.

I am rooting for Kentucky but I do have a little on KSU ATS.

Kentucky Under here normal play.
 
M

Musca

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Subcloser

Subcloser

Well, I am disappointed, as a fan, that the cats lost but fiscally of course you know.

Kentucky Under hits.

Thats how you use the Bet percentages, needs/liabilities, and reverse line movement in your favor. Wish every night was like that lol.

Sharps had a good night- A&M Over, KSU Under and KSU +

Public took it on the chin tonight.

Take care we will see if we can get some info for tomorrow
 
O

OUTLAUDER

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Thank you! Can you share ur Twitter handle?


no twitter or personal sites on the fourm please :admin
 
M

Musca

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Yes

Yes

Yeah- WE are looking at a majority on Nova yet the line has moved against them. I played WVU last night. I will look for information as it is being released. Lets get a repeat of last night.. monetarily

from a fan perspective I am very disappointed in the Cats... PJ Washington alone missed 12 FT's BRUTAL
 
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bryanz

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Musca said:
Well, I am disappointed, as a fan, that the cats lost but fiscally of course you know.

Kentucky Under hits.

Thats how you use the Bet percentages, needs/liabilities, and reverse line movement in your favor. Wish every night was like that lol.

Sharps had a good night- A&M Over, KSU Under and KSU +

Public took it on the chin tonight.

Take care we will see if we can get some info for tomorrow
Click to expand...

Thanks for your info. Anything to indicate a play on (U) in Wv/ Nova ? I look at 4 sites and 3 of 4 are over. This one site has it clearly the other way.
 
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