Conf Championship Picks w/writeups

LordofBalls

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Aug 31, 2006
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been a rough last few days w/some distinctly inappropriate endings lol.. still licking my wounds!!!
there's a few I like for the coming weekend, and a few I'm still mulling over.
Onward!


1)
ORE -3.5 >> 3u /ml >> 2u (***total risk 8u/to win 5.5u) ----- Sat 5pm/8pm --- Played @ Colts stadium (dome) - Ov/Un 49.5 (no play)
I've seen Oregon 3-4 games.. very impressed w/their team speed at all skill positions and defensive back 7..
this will be a one-sided affair in my opinion.

While Penn St is always a solid respectable team, I don't think it's one of their best..
and their coach has struggled historically in "Big Games"..
IF the game was played outdoors in a quagmire of icy slush and mud and muck then Penn St might stand a chance.. but it ain't!

It's indoors where the Oregon Ducks' QB's /RBs /WRs are built for speed w/skills and coach's play-calling creativity will show to be superior.. hopefully :p

2) ARIZ ST -2.5 /ml .. Ov/Un 51 --- Sat 9am/noon @ Cowboys Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
I feel Iowa St won due to succeeding in coping w/the weather better than Kansas St did.. that shouldn't be a factor in this one indoors..
their defense doesn't impress me, and I feel this will be where Az St will take advantage w/big plays and turnovers..
I see a HIGH-SCORING Game!!! and gimme a little Skatteboooo on dat too! Should be a great crowd at a neutral site!
***
OVER 51 >>> 2.42/2.2u
***Parlay: Arizona St ml/OV 50.5 >>> 250/560
mulling over:
***SMU ml (v Clemson) ----- Strong lean for SMU

just think they're better team, better team speed.. tho favored, everyone is talking about Clemson (famous coach/name)..
gm is outdoors in Charlotte NC (Panthers stadium) -weather??

*Mia-Oh ml (v Ohio) ----- Leaning Mia-Oh
gonna let sharper minds than mine help me on this one.. Pontiac Dome in Detroit
*
Unlv @ Boise (Friday) ----- Leaning TEASER w/either side and Under
home field adv for Boise in a conf championship game.. check WEATHER --- May be a factor!
both teams w/solid QBs, and RBs (Jeanty is awesome)..
can UNLV make someone other than Jeanty beat 'em? Hawaii was somehow able to (for the most part)..


That's all I've got (for now).. I'm open to hearing other's thoughts on these contests gents!

GL to US!

LoB
 
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LordofBalls

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Iowa St flipped to the favorite overnight.. Az St won't have their top WR..
but..
the scariest part to me is 70% of the tickets and 75% of the $$$ is on Ariz St..

I haven't moved off em 🤞🤞🤞
EDIT: 3-0 Az St.. but Iowa State drives to the 5.. neither defense stopped anyone yet.. Over looks good :p


Tex/Ga.. no biggie.. these teams have been yo-yos both good n bad.. wouldn't be surprised to see Ewers play like shit again, or Tex stuff Ga..

The biggest one for me is: PSt +3 v Oregon, another scary distribution here:
75% of tix on Oregon.. 82% of the $$$.. and yet the line has moved towards Penn St

I've got a pretty big position on Oregon -3.5 and ml.. I'm gonna wait and see what the line does throughout the day.

I'm gonna decide later if and how much I get off my Oregon bets.. I really cannot visualize them losing this game

I've got SMU +8.5 to finish a 10pt teaser (Packers/Over).. seeing a lot of love for Clemson
I don't have much faith in Clemson's passing game, or in Clemson stopping SMU's speed,
but no other wagers on this yet

GL to US!!!

LoB
 

LordofBalls

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:smilies1 :smilies2


great start to the morning! pissed cuz I hedged on Io St/Un.. and lost some, but still 6u so far..

played Ga tm Ov 23.5 for 50... ga +3.5 for 50.. 1h Tx ml/-2.5 (40 ea).. I should win something there lol

LATER..
to hedge on PSt or no.. that's the Question!

GL guys!
 

LordofBalls

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Aug 31, 2006
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:smilies1

Exciting evening of football eh?

was nice to see the ones I picked early in the week actually come thru tonight!
Az St and Over
Oregon -3.5 and ml
Teaser w/SMU +8.5
had a 4tm parlay.. SMU ml/Over/Oregon ml/Over to win about 475

Smu battles from down 24-7 @ half to tie the game w/15 secs left
then... Clemson takes the kickoff runs it back 40 yards, now :09 secs left..
completes a 17 yd pass (down to :03).. kid kicks a 56 yd FG to win the game as the clock expires.. if u blinked u missed it!

still picked up around 14u for the day so that's a good thing! would've been nice to hit the par, but overall, I'll take it!! happily!

tomorrow.. NFL awaits!
*Rams+/ml
*Bears ?
*Chargers+/ml

not sure about much else yet..

gonna grab some pillowtime :p
 
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