Constellation Energy Classic

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)

David Edwards to win 16/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
With all selections available at 10/1 or less, I'll take them at 16s rather Weibring at 28/1 or Beck at 66/1. Once again, as a Tour rookie, Edwards comes to a course on which he has not played, but it has not been a problem previously with three top-3 finishes in his last four starts, including one win, and a 3rd place position in the Tour's Scoring Average chart. Simply a big price for such a consistently impressive performer.

Brad Bryant to win 16/1 e.w. @ Tote
Bryant sits one place below Edwards in the Tour's Scoring Average charts and consistency has also been the key to Bryant's high ranking in this important stat. It has now been over six months since he finished outside the top-15 in an event and he also has two wins in the process as well. It did look as though that run would end in his last outing at the JELD-WEN Tradition, but he shot 67-67 over the weekend to climb from 57th to 14th. He was not playing anywhere near as well twelve months ago when finishing 27th on his course debut, so a much higher finish is expected this time.

Tom Kite to win 16/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Kite has not been quite as consistent and the result is that he ranks only 8th in the Tour's Scoring Average rankings, but that was because of poor earlier form earlier in the season as he is arguably the hottest player on Tour at the moment. He has finished in the top-5 in each of his last four starts, winning once, and had been in the top-10 in his two starts before that. And having already had one top-5 finish on this course, it is hard to see any other finish for him this week.
 

Stanley

Registered
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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
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Matchup plays (2pts)

Jay Haas to beat Brad Bryant -125 @ Centrebet
Can't see both of these finishing outside the top-5 so really a hedge play against the Bryant outright; if he loses the outright bet, this matchup should win. It would also partly cover the frustration of the favourite winning this event.

Gil Morgan to beat Tom Purtzer -118 @ Pinnacle
Simply a matter of backing the more consistent player. In 18 common events this year, Purtzer has finished ahead of Morgan on only three occasions.

Tom Watson to beat Scott Simpson -121 @ Pinnacle
Simpson may have won the First Tee Open in his last outing, but he is far from consistent and that was the only event in which he has finished ahead of Watson since May. With Simpson making his course debut and Watson having played well here in each of the last two seasons, this should be a win for the favourite.
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -1.00pts

Edwards 32nd
Bryant 2nd
Kite 10th

Bryant did get a share of the lead during the final round, but couldn't keep up with Gilder who had five birdies in eight holes from the 9th hole onwards. Kite also had a last round charge, but finished two shots out of a place due to a poor 2nd round while the discarded Beck at 66/1 did finish in the top-5.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-1; -0.36pts

Haas/Bryant TIED
Morgan/Purtzer LOST by 3
Watson/Simpson WON by 5

Three close matches so can't really complain about the result.

Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 13-47; -10.59pts
Matchups: 26-25; -6.78pts
 
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