Copa America (soccer)
Copa America (soccer)
I hope you don't mind me posting my views and recommendations in your thread. Just thought it was better to keep all views in one tidy package than spread out all over the forum. If you wish to have this thread all to yourself let me know and I will start my own. In the mean time I have quite a bit to post and will spread it over four messages.
The eyes of the football World switch their attention this week from Portugal to Peru who host this years Copa America. The South American showpiece kicks off this Tuesday (6th July) with the final taking place on the 25th July. The competiton starts out with three groups conprising of four teams with the top two going through to the later stages along with the best two third placed teams.
As expected Brazil and Argentina head the outright betting markets. The Samba boys have won the Copa America six times since its inception and are of course the reigning world champions. Argentina, although not being the same formiddable team that graced the world stage in the 80's still command alot of respect. Both countries are priced at 3/1 (+300) favourites to lift the silver trophy.
A word of warning to those that wish to wager on tne boys from Brazil. They will not be at full strength. Their coach Alberto Parreira has taken the view to rest many of their stars, Carlos, Ronalado, Ronaldinho, Gilberto and Kaka will all miss the tournament. Parreira recently quoted "the competition is too much for Brazil?s schedule and they need a break before playing Bolivia in their next qualification for World Cup Germany in 2006".
Brazil pin their Copa America hopes on youngsters Adriano, Diego and Renato. They should progress from their group containing Chile, Costa Rica and Paraguay. However, they do not have the depth or quality to go all the way and 3/1 about a young side without many of it's stars does not warrant support to be the winner of the competition.
Argentina have a record in this competition second to none, registering 14 tournament victories. They missed out last time in Columbia because of safety precautions. Clearly the Argentineans record in the Copa America has to be respected, but doubts remain. The boys in Blue and White have failed to win a major trophy since 1993, they continually have to perform beyond realistic expections from their Countries expections. Their form lately has been anything but solid. Their last two qualifying games for the World Cup in Germany 2006 have seen them lose 3-1 to Brazil and draw at home 0-0 to Paraguay. These results are on the back of some other poor performances since their lack lusture performance in the last World Cup in 2002. Like Brazil, Argentina have to make do with the loss of some key players. Crespo (top scorer), Aimar, Samuel and Riquelme are all taking an extended holiday. At 3/1, Argentina like Brazil have something to prove before I could recommend an outright wager. I am not saying Argentina cannot win the tournament and they do have a point to prove, but a waiting brief is advisable to see how they perform in the group stages.
Host nation Peru, tournament winners twice, appear to have a good chance to win the tournament at 6/1 (+600). History has shown that Home advantage has proved a key factor in this tournament with the host's winning 21 of the 41 tournaments held. In Peru's favour is clearly the ability to play at high altitude and spured on by their fanatical home fans. They have a settled squad which is huge in a competition of this nature. One player I am looking forward to seeing is striker Jefferson Farfan who has been a prolific goalscorer at club level. Peru come into this tournament off some solid results in their World Cup qualifiers. Wins over both Uruguay and Paraguay and a draw against a full strength Brazil.
One of the dark horses for success is The Concacaf Gold Cup winners Mexico. Their recent exploits in the Copa America has been good. Runners-up twice and finishing third on two occassions. Their world Cup qualifing games have yet to get underway, however, any side that is ranked 4th in FIFA's South American rankings must clearly be respected and the Mexicans have enough talent to possibly win their first Copas.
Recommendations:
PERU @ 6/1 x 1.5 points
MEXICO @ 10/1 x 1 point
thanks for the help from readabet