Couple Lines which books have to be nervous...

Destructor D

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There are two games which really jump at me this week and wonder other's opinions.

Raiders -2.5 (-105) @ San Diego - Chargers are playing for nothing and have Gordon out and Bosa hurting and now +2.5 (-115) odds? I mean you talk about the books taking a monster risk? Who is out for Raiders? Is Carr's finger still bothering him that much? I know it bothers him in the cold, but San Diego isn't exactly cold weather... Just a weird line when Raiders are playing for home field and Rivers and company can't wait for the season to end.

Packers -4.5 @ Bears - Look, I read where Rodgers is hurting and a good hit could knock him out of the game easily and he didn't practice much this week, but he's going to play on Sunday with his team's post season on the line. I also know Barkley has looked tough and this is a monster rivalry and 4.5 is a decent number to cover on the road in super cold weather. However, he's a #3 QB with his top 2 WR's out. Thinking of buying Packers to -3 (-150) as ML odds are huge and could see this game being closer than 4.5, but not closer than a FG unless Rodgers gets hurt.

Anyone else notice these 2 games as lines bookmakers will be biting their nails with the action one-sided? Is the smart action taking the home dogs and going against the public? Curious what others are thinking...
 

Old School

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There are two games which really jump at me this week and wonder other's opinions.

Raiders -2.5 (-105) @ San Diego - Chargers are playing for nothing and have Gordon out and Bosa hurting and now +2.5 (-115) odds? I mean you talk about the books taking a monster risk? Who is out for Raiders? Is Carr's finger still bothering him that much? I know it bothers him in the cold, but San Diego isn't exactly cold weather... Just a weird line when Raiders are playing for home field and Rivers and company can't wait for the season to end.

Packers -4.5 @ Bears - Look, I read where Rodgers is hurting and a good hit could knock him out of the game easily and he didn't practice much this week, but he's going to play on Sunday with his team's post season on the line. I also know Barkley has looked tough and this is a monster rivalry and 4.5 is a decent number to cover on the road in super cold weather. However, he's a #3 QB with his top 2 WR's out. Thinking of buying Packers to -3 (-150) as ML odds are huge and could see this game being closer than 4.5, but not closer than a FG unless Rodgers gets hurt.

Anyone else notice these 2 games as lines bookmakers will be biting their nails with the action one-sided? Is the smart action taking the home dogs and going against the public? Curious what others are thinking...


DD...a phrase comes to mind from a old cappin' friend of mine for some 40 years..

"Never ask bad teams to do good things."
 

jng

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DD...a phrase comes to mind from a old cappin' friend of mine for some 40 years..

"Never ask bad teams to do good things."

Old School, I assume you're referring to the Bears and Chargers here. And that you like Packers and Raiders to cover. Correct?
 

Old School

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Old School, I assume you're referring to the Bears and Chargers here. And that you like Packers and Raiders to cover. Correct?


I DO JNG..

keep in mind all my plays are teased with the notion where I think I have the better value and # in the matchup and then further enhance my chances of the cover w/the teased #.

but I could very well suck w/standard closing line results ..

In the case of the Chargers ..while Rivers never quits he is once again having to try to keep his team just "in the game" while his own teams defense is a train wreck again..

and nice weather does nothing but enhance Oak's offense


It's DEC. and Aaron Rodgers with a shot at the playoffs a possibility..

It's Packers or pass for me...Personally not asking the Bears to win me money
 
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jng

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I wouldn't ask the Bears to win me money or even a stuffed toy at a county fair. Your teasers' record has a lot of us hooked on them. What better testament to Vegas' numbers than to say they are only very rarely off enough to screw up a 13 pointer.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

LordofBalls

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while it's very possible the Raiders win and cover the spread tomorrow...

to say that "Rivers and company can't wait for the season to end" is to say that you don't know the Chargers in my opinion.

The Chargers find ways to give games away in the 4th qtr quite often (int's... fumbled snaps on gm tying fg's... etc) they do not, repeat.. not... throw in the towel... especially before the game even starts. Whoever they have playing, will play with heart and effort.

just my 2 cents... GL with whatever u play

LoB
 

Old School

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while it's very possible the Raiders win and cover the spread tomorrow...

to say that "Rivers and company can't wait for the season to end" is to say that you don't know the Chargers in my opinion.

The Chargers find ways to give games away in the 4th qtr quite often (int's... fumbled snaps on gm tying fg's... etc) they do not, repeat.. not... throw in the towel... especially before the game even starts. Whoever they have playing, will play with heart and effort.

just my 2 cents... GL with whatever u play

LoB

I don't think the Bolts w/Bosa on one side of the ball and Rivers on the other would ever be quitters ..

It's despite that Chargers are going to give up 24...

Now a hurt Bosa and no Melvin Gordon playing for a team that is heading up I5 120 miles North in the very near future.

Chargers 25th in the league in Pass D vs the 5th best passing O in the league..

Bad matchup for the Bolts on a beautiful Dec, Day in SD

Raiders 6-1 OTR AND 5-1 OTR vs the closing line w/one neutral site game.

Raiders are strong money out of the suitcase
 
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