portugal is in trouble and will be the next one that comes under pressure. spain is in better shape, they talk of a downturn in spain....the banks are diversified on a global basis, the larger ones.
my main concern about spain is the 20% unemployed hard to grow an economy or improve things, also the youth unemployment is very high if it stays that long for to long you can lose a generation....the main fear will be spain because of the size of the economy.
ireland should have made the bank investors take more of the pain... they will play for time and see if it works, will find out in 2011.
the emerging markets are still showing good growth and for the most part controlled inflation.
thanks
selkirk