Cow Pies

Cow

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I seem to be havin' some trouble gettin' my Pies to Maryland this morning. So...

?Winfield goes back to the wall. He hits his head on the wall and it rolls off! It's rolling all the way back down to second base! This is a terrible thing for the Padres!?
~~ San Diego Padres radio announcer Jerry Coleman, describing a fly ball

I mighta got off to a bad start with the Chiefs, but I?m lookin? for some major coin this weekend. Acourse, I do that every weekend. Ya see what I?m sayin??

There?s a lot goin? on, so uh, lets get started, shall we?

RECAPPA LAST WEEK?S CRAP
NYJ +7 (L) 14-34
You just had to know that I?d be on the only dog what failed to cover last week. Christ, man, if I ever start gettin? the breaks watch out! I?ll be unstoppable!

ATL +7? (W) 20-13 I love them Saints, baby! Fadin? ?em, I mean.

DET +5 (W) 24-27 Both exciting and profitable, this was a very enjoyable ballgame. And it was the first Power Pie of the year, too!

MIN +3? -120 (W) 35-13 Total domination by the Purple. Another very satisfying experience.

So, I went 3-1 for the week bringing the season totals to 23-21-2 ?10. Wow! Now that?s what I call handicapped ? er ? I mean handicapping. Cow Power Pies 1-0. Cha ching!

I'll be back shortly with some items of a predictatory nature. Stay tuned.
 

Cow

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YOUR NFL COW PIES

JAX +7 @ BAL 33?


I got whatcha call conflicting indicators in this one. The besta which are probly Play dogs that were upset last week as a favorite of 6 or more * Jagoffs * or the * Ravens * are 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 home games, including 7-0 ATS when favored by 7 points or more, not to mention 8-0 ATS when facing a team what don?t got a winning record.

You, acourse, mighta found somethin? worthwhile, but for me it?s . . . PASADENA

MIN +3 @ TB 39


I must apologize for the lacka so-called balls, but again I ain?t got the proper statistical, analytical or mystical guidance to recommend a course of action.

Jeezus, I hate seein? yuz standin? so freakin? straight, though, lemme give ya somethin? ta lean on, huh?

The technicals say to fade a road team what scored 31 or more while winning each of the last 2 weeks. Ah, that?s better. EL PASO

CIN +3 @ DET 40


The number looks pretty decent here, but seein? as I refuse to back a winless favorite this deep into the season I have only one side to consider. As I tried to build a case for the visitors my initial thought (after, ?man they got ugly helmets?) was, ?Jeezuz, they played like crap last week!? When trying to decide if the team was capable of bouncing back from that effort I first noted the huge drop off in the defense they?ll be facing. That?s critical, considering the Bears shut the Bengals out, but at 4.4 yards per play the Cincy offense gains more per snap than only, well, nobody! There ain?ta team in the league what makes less hay per play. Further examination reveals however that the Bengals have played a schedule of defensive giants. The average NFL team allows 5.1 yards per play and only five teams have played schedules against teams what have allowed less than 5. Cincy?s opponents have been giving up a mere 4.5 and nobody else has played against anywhere near as tougha defensive lineup as that.

So perhaps the sieve-like defense of the Lions could serve as a springboard for the ailing offense under the hideous hats, huh? Unfortunately, the ineptitude exhibited by the Bengals when traveling (13-28 ATS) precludes me from making any such predictions. In other words, I?ve just wasted a buncha both your time and mine. NO PLAY

SF +2 @ CHI 39?


Who woulda thunk that there?d be only two losses between these two this late in the campaign? And when yuz consider that Chicago lost their opener to the Ravens and the Niners lost game 2 to the Rams, you could say these are a coupla the leagues best teams. And say it without laughin? your fool head off, too!

Now I ain?t gunna try feedin? none of that noise, but I will say they are both surprisingly solid clubs. I?ll also tell yuz that the Niners are significantly solider than the Bears. NINERS +2

NO +12? @ STL 48?


Obviously, the Rams are considerably better than the Saints and with next week off they oughtta be focused for their division rival, but I layed this number two weeks ago when St Lou hosted the G-men. I?m tellin? ya, fellas, layin? all that wood and then watching that game at the Club Flush with a buncha other players was the stupidest I have felt all season long. If ya discount that whole Tequila, bratwurst and pantyhose incident, I mean.

Translation: Thanks, but . . . NO THANKS

NYJ ?2? @ CAR 39?


While I do make the Jets a small favorite when using the incredible Cow Power figs, I think the situational advantages rest comfortably in the Lazy-Boy off the home team. For one thing, you don?t usually find teams what are successful as road chalk allowing 26 freakin? pointsa game! Plus, coach Sieffert (or however you spell it) still has that rebound thing goin? on. And as I?m sure my good friend Investive Execument is aware, the Pants are comin? off of an overtime engagement and the inherent value of that little jewel is overwhelmingly unspecified.

Hey! I don?t know what I mean, neither. Try this . . . PANTHERS +3 ?120

AZ ?3 @ DAL 38


Curt Stroener. The way I look at it, he?s gotta be the best starting quarterback that the Cowboys have started this year. Even if he ain?t, I like Dallas in this matchup. They?re comin? offa bye, whereas the Cards come offa 3 consecutive tough ballgames, beating Philly and KC and losing at Chicago by 7. Mostly though, I?m lookin? for Dallas to control the line on both sidesa the ball and take it to the tired Arzona team in a low-scoring slugfest. COWBOYS +3? -120

OAK +2 @ PHI 39?


The fact that many top players are on the other side in this one is a bit disquieting, but actually I wouldn?t have it any other way. This one is going strictly by the numbers and mine say the spread oughtta be 6.

Besides, Oakland has the hated Broncos comin? to the Bay for Monday Night Football next week. That could be distracting, couldn?t it? EAGLES -2

NE +7 @ DEN 43


The number is right, but the sitch has Denver written all over it. I mean, they?re off back-to-back upset losses, while the Pats are of consecutive upset wins. Believe me, fellas; the planets don?t never stay aligned for 3 weeks in a row. ?Ladies and gentlemen, we hope that you?ve enjoyed the ride, but we will back to reality in just a few moments.?

This is the blowout of the week. BRONCOS -7

BUF +7 @ SD 39


The Buffs head west for a visit with their old friend, Doug. Can ya dig it? The Bills brass has gotta want this one more than any game on the whole schedule, but I think a big parta their early-season woes has been the fact that many of the players knew management had kept the wrong quarterback.

Emotions might be runnin? high in this baby. So maybe we oughtta stay clear, huh? Hey! Watch your mouth, I was just jokin?.

Personally, I think Rob Johnson is unable to play anywhere near his best football in the presence of the Little Big Man. CHARGERS -7

MIA ?2? @ SEA 36?


The problem with the Seahawks is Mike Holmgren is willing to sacrifice the season so he can have his best possible team available for next year?s new stadium. That means no Dilfer, because that cat?ll be long gone.

Having said alla that, I still like the Hawks. They?re playing better football and they?re getting points at home. What?s not to like about that? SEAHAWKS +3 -120

NYG ?7? @ WAS 33


I hate this game. My head tells me the Giants, but my numbers are sayin? the Skins. It ain?t gunna be easy, fellas, but I?m makin? the one call that I absolutely dread. PASS

TEN +3 @ PIT 36?


Wow! This is the biggest diff between the line and the Cow Pow digits what I have ever laid eyes on! 3 points! Are you freakin? kiddin? me? The Steelers oughtta be layin? doubs in this one!

Here?s an angle for ya. Just ?cause I know you dig ?em. Go against losing road teams what ain?t getting more than 7 when they won their previous two games straight up. I got numbers what put it at about 65%, but I ain?t gunna let ya see ?em. They?re old, man! And I?m tired of getting chastised by IE. STEELERS ?2? -120 (A Cow Power Pie selection).

?I?m beginning to see Brooks in my sleep. If I dropped a paper plate, he?d pick it up on one hop and throw me out at first.?
~~ Sparky Anderson on Brooks Robinson

Whew! Breeder's Cup and World Series selections will be along shortly, Shorty. Hold your horses!
 

Cow

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Back by popular request, here are . . .

THE TOP TEN REASONS WHY WE DON?T WIN EVERY WEEK

Number Ten: The Chalk
~ Always layin? the pipe will get ya a burial at sea, eventually. Face it, you?re bettin? with the public, buddy, and you should know that ?that? ship is gunna be goin? down. It always has and it probably always will. Look at it this way. When yuz take the points, you don?t even have to win the freakin? game, man! It can almost feel like cheatin? sometimes. In the wordsa my old friend, Small Change, ?Lay the women, take the points.?

Number Nine: The Streak ~ I?m talkin? hot, not cold. It don?t take too long to realize you gotta back off when you?re losin?, but beware the roll, baby. It too can be a killer. As soon he thinks he knows everything about ?capping, the hot player surely will become slothful in his technique. Don?t ride in this fellas sedan, ya savvy? For he is surely gunna crash.

Number Eight: The Bargain ~ Too many of us let our dames worry about the price of things. I mean, when we see somethin? we want, damn it, we buy it! Well, that dinghy don?t float in the mighty ocean of sports wagering, fellas. There?s no defense for gettin? half-pointed, simply because you didn?t shop for the best number. Tell ?em, girls. You better shop around.

Number Seven: The Follow-up ~ There are reasons that teams win or lose and the player oughtta be aware of ?em. It?s valuable to know whether you have a hangover because you were right last night, or that you simply got lucky. It can help not only with the team?s next game, but it?ll eventually hone your ?capping skills by pointing out the flaws in your methodologies.

Number Six: The Emphasis ~ Be careful not to fall in love, either with one dame or with one particular element of handicapping. These games ain?t portraits, fellas. They?re freakin? puzzles with a thousand pieces. Tryta look at ?em all, okay? By the way, I was only kiddin? girls. For some fellas, I?m sure that fallin? head over heels for the right broad is ... well ... great! Just great.

Number Five: The Glut ~ When there?s a lotta action on the board, like this weekend, you can easily spread yourself too thin. Insteada handicapping 15 games well, we often end up ?cappin? 60 games poorly. And that ain?t too cool.

Number Four: The Impulse ~ Just like at the grocery store, the player?s gotta be judicious concerning them impulse buys. I mean, be honest, did you really want that packa Bubblicious?

Number Three: The Action ~ I got no problem with a guy who bets a boatloada games, so long as he did all the work involved. However, if?n yuz ain?t got the time or the appetite for a full plate, you may wanna consider playin? an odd number of games each day. I mean, if yuz play two games there?s only one way to be a winner, right? Nail both them sunzabitches, ya see what I?m sayin?? You gotta hit a hundred percent of your plays! You split ?em, pal, and you?re drinkin? the booze what?s in the gun for the night. And ya know why? It?s ?cause for that day, you?re a loser. On the other hand ... you have different fingers. I mean, conversely speaking, if the player has action on five games, he can coppa profit by hitting a mere 60% of ?em. Nuthin? to it, huh? Yo, bartender! Gimme a Beefeater on the rocks!

Number Two: The Man ~ Regardlessa how friendly your man is to you, remember this: He?s a vampire, a scoundrel, a dirty rat bastid. The bookmaker is your enemy, fellas. Don?t trust him for a second. Keep meticulous recordsa all your bets and let the sucker know that you do it. Bookies, by nature, think all players are chumps. Anda lotta these bums got no scruples whatsoever, neither. Let him tell the next guy he only had a push instead of a win, not you. You got the hook and you know that he knows that you know it too, because you have always verified the number you were betting and kept exquisite records of your plays.

And the number one reason that we don?t win every week ...

The Lure ~ Keep the drum roll goin? a sec, Ginger. Before revealing this, the greatest of all sports gambling secrets, I must begin with the following disclaimer.

Do as I say, not as I do, ya follow?

Now, the most important lesson that I can pass along to you about makin? dough in this racket is this:

STAY OUTTA THEM GAWDAM INTERNET CASINOS! It seems like every joint has ?em, anymore. And ya wanna know a secret?

They?re killin? me, Jerry! They?re killin? me!

THE 2001 WORLD SERIES

Okay, here we go. Let me start by sayin? that I musta changed my mind fifty times on this series. Seriously! I felt like my ex-wife tryin? to decide what to wear to the track on Sunday.

Now it?s crunch time and I?ve finally made my decision.

I think I?ll go with the tight powder blue sweater, gray capri slacks and the spiked heels.

?When I began playin? the game, baseball was about as gentlemanly as a kick in the crotch.?
~~ Ty Cobb

I believe this is gunna be one helluva series, fellas. I wish I had more time to expound, but I barley got time to get to the bar and expound down a few highballs as it is.

ARIZONA (Series) +130
ARIZONA (Schilling) ?135


Hey, I hate the Stripes, what can I say?

?I was thinking about making a comeback until I pulled a muscle --- vacuuming.?
~~ Johnny Bench

I'll be back in an hour with the Breeder's Cup. My choices are whattaya call . . . evolving.
 

CP

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Cow,

You da man! Or should I say, you da milk provider!

Great stuff.
 
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