CRAZY! Question about past results

[Lilbillshoops]

Guys -

I have a crazy question and I am not sure if it is even possible. But I will try because the people on MJ are great. So here is the scenario:

When a favored home team is trailing by 15 points or more, with the spread, at halftime.... what is the percentage that they cover the 2nd half line?

EXAMPLE:
Tuesday night the Lakers were favored by 7 in the game vs Houston.
Halftime score: Houston 62, Lakers 51
The Lakers were trailing by 18 points (with the spread)
The Lakaers were -7 2nd half and they won the game outright by 2, thus covering the 2nd half line.

Again, I know this is crazy but wanted to see what you guys all thought about this and if there is anyway to find this out.

THANKS GUYS

 

[ATS Quants]

36-28-3 in the last 3 seasons

 

[Lilbillshoops]

How did you figure that out??

There is a scenario RIGHT NOW with Utah...

Wow, thanks for the numbers.

 

[ATS Quants]

I maintain a database, so can query it for any situation like the one you described

 

[Lilbillshoops]

I maintain a database, so can query it for any situation like the one you described

Wow! That is awesome. I appreciate your response.

What are some of the best scenarios???

Thanks man

 

[ATS Quants]

FYI...
If the home team in your case is originally favored by -7 or more (Utah) --> 13-3-1 last 3 seasons

 

[KsYaS]

FYI...
If the home team in your case is originally favored by -7 or more (Utah) --> 13-3-1 last 3 seasons

So why didnt you bet Utah instead of the under in the Second Half?

 

[ATS Quants]

I was only responding to his question and trying to give him some data. I don't bet 2H sides until December.

 

[King69]

I maintain a database, so can query it for any situation like the one you described

 

[KsYaS]

I was only responding to his question and trying to give him some data. I don't bet 2H sides until December.

Not trying to expose you or something, but you already have posted a 2H play in the forum

 

[tony]

great stats ats thanks

 

[ATS Quants]

Not trying to expose you or something, but you already have posted a 2H play in the forum

Which play was this?

 

[ATS Quants]

I said I do not make 2H SIDES plays until Decembers. There is a difference between SIDES and TOTALS (what I have posted).

 

[Lilbillshoops]

ATS -

Thanks a lot for your info. That is great info. I figured it was a solid record, hoping Utah can keep it alive.

BOL to you!

:toast:

 

[ATS Quants]

I am confused? You think I just made the numbers up out of the blue?

GameID 1H PF 1H PA SPREAD 2H SPREAD 2H ATSm
20071201PHINJN 35 51 -8.0 -7.5 10.5
20080211WASGSW 55 72 -11.5 -12.5 7.5
20080222ATLGSW 50 68 -8.5 -8.0 3.0
20080323GSWLAL 49 72 -8.0 -8.5 10.5
20080408NYKDET 34 57 -10.5 -11.0 8.0
20081216NYKLAL 50 65 -13.0 -11.5 5.5
20081230MINDAL 40 62 -13.0 -13.0 16.0
20090211DENORL 29 46 -7.0 -8.0 0.0
20090315MEMDET 40 57 -8.5 -9.5 2.5
20090320SACNYK 43 62 -9.5 -9.5 -17.5
20090404MEMMIL 38 54 -7.5 -8.0 3.0
20091222INDBOS 42 57 -14.5 -11.5 12.5
20100101SACLAL 49 64 -12.0 -11.5 4.5
20100102MEMPHO 50 69 -8.0 -9.0 -15.0
20100208NOHORL 55 70 -9.5 -10.0 11.0
20100210PORPHO 44 60 -9.5 -9.5 -0.5
20100409WASBOS 31 52 -11.5 -10.5 0.5

 

[KsYaS]

I said I do not make 2H SIDES plays until Decembers. There is a difference between SIDES and TOTALS (what I have posted).

Ok, sorry about it, good luck on your plays!

 

[Lilbillshoops]

I am confused? You think I just made the numbers up out of the blue?

GameID 1H PF 1H PA SPREAD 2H SPREAD 2H ATSm
20071201PHINJN 35 51 -8.0 -7.5 10.5
20080211WASGSW 55 72 -11.5 -12.5 7.5
20080222ATLGSW 50 68 -8.5 -8.0 3.0
20080323GSWLAL 49 72 -8.0 -8.5 10.5
20080408NYKDET 34 57 -10.5 -11.0 8.0
20081216NYKLAL 50 65 -13.0 -11.5 5.5
20081230MINDAL 40 62 -13.0 -13.0 16.0
20090211DENORL 29 46 -7.0 -8.0 0.0
20090315MEMDET 40 57 -8.5 -9.5 2.5
20090320SACNYK 43 62 -9.5 -9.5 -17.5
20090404MEMMIL 38 54 -7.5 -8.0 3.0
20091222INDBOS 42 57 -14.5 -11.5 12.5
20100101SACLAL 49 64 -12.0 -11.5 4.5
20100102MEMPHO 50 69 -8.0 -9.0 -15.0
20100208NOHORL 55 70 -9.5 -10.0 11.0
20100210PORPHO 44 60 -9.5 -9.5 -0.5
20100409WASBOS 31 52 -11.5 -10.5 0.5

That is BIGTIME, You can Add the Lakers from Tuesday to that list.

How many sites offer a moneyline for the game at halftime? if any?

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

Not everyone is a complete fucking square like you, King.

GL ATS Q

 

[ATS Quants]

I don't know of a book that does not offer a 2H moneyline, all of them should.

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

Don't expect an answer from the King. He just got his weekly one day ban.

:mj07:



1 day ban for bashing:admin