Dallas / Denver

[SIMON]

Denver is only 21-20 on the road during the regular season. Yes - they have won 6 of 7 games in the playoffs but five of them have been at home.

I also understand that Denver has won 6 games against Dallas this season and this is when the damn will break.

In game two Dallas hung in there most of the game, I believe the score was tied at 74 at one point till the explosion came. My question is - when will the explosion come for Denver on the road against a Dallas team that won 32 games at home this year ?

Well it isn't. I think Dallas wins the next two games and evens the series at 2-2 and go home for game 5.

I also believe the home team will win every game and this will go seven games.

Dallas big in game 3 (-4)

 

[HighFlyingKilla]

If your going by those kind of trends. I can make a much better case for the Nuggets.

Denver is now 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 meetings with Dallas, including 6-0 SU (5-1 ATS) this season. The Nuggets have also cashed on their last four trips to Dallas (3-1 SU)

DENVER is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.Head-to-Head Series HistoryDENVER is 10-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons DENVER is 9-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons.

 

[SIMON]

I can throw stats at you all day as well.

Dallas has won 20 of its last 25 home games against the Nuggets. Dating back to the regular season, the Mavs have won 8 in a row, 17 of their last 18, and 22 of their last 24 at home. They are an extraordinary home team and I expect them to leave it all out on the floor knowing that 0-3 is as good as done. What cannot be overshadowed when looking at the Nuggets is that they are just 1-3 their L4 and 5-10 their L15 road games. The Nuggets are only 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog. Plays on favorites (DALLAS) revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 29-8 ATS since 1996 and plays on home favorites (DALLAS) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), and 71-32 ATS since 1996

Go ahead play the Nuggets today. After 3 off days all those Nugget jump shots that we have counted on the first two days won't be so easy.

Do you really think the Nuggets are THAT great that they will sweep the Mavs in 4 ?

 

[HighFlyingKilla]

Nuggets are just a bad matchup for the Mavs. Why do do you think the lost 7 of 8 vs. them?

Nuggets to athletic and physical for the soft Mavs.

They have no one to guard Nene or Melo. Thats not even counting Chauncey and Jr Smiths contributions.

 

[SIMON]

You underestimate the advantage of HOME COURT.

 

[SIMON]

One more stat for u !

NBA | (721) DENVER @ (722) DALLAS | 05/09/2009 5:05 PM
Play ON DALLAS using the money line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 19 Wins and 1 Losses this season (+17.35 units) [StatFox PowerTrend Star Rating 4.585208]

 

[SIMON]

Last post before the game.

The Nuggets lost game 3 to a horrible Hornets team. I see the same here as well.

A team over confident that will fall flat on it's ass.

GL

 

[HighFlyingKilla]

Last post before the game.

The Nuggets lost game 3 to a horrible Hornets team. I see the same here as well.

A team over confident that will fall flat on it's ass.

GL

They still covered the spread in that game and had a chance to win at the end.

 

[SIMON]

Remember one close game - one blowout.

Which one is today's game ?

 

[HighFlyingKilla]

:sadwave: Mavs.

 

[HighFlyingKilla]

Remember one close game - one blowout.

Which one is today's game ?

Nuggets won't be the team getting blown out.