Dave Johnson?s ?Inside the Lines?

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(3-9) New Orleans Saints @ (7-5) Atlanta Falcons 9:00 ET ABC



Opening NFL Odds: Falcons-10 o/u 44

Current NFL Odds: Falcons-10.5 o/u 44.5







Breakdown:

New Orleans has lost 7 of their last 8 games and sits in last place in the NFC South. In last week?s loss vs. the Buccaneers quarterback Aaron Brooks threw 4 interceptions including one in the final seconds to end the game. He is ranked 29th in the NFL with a disappointing 69.0 quarterback rating.



Atlanta sits two games behind both the Buccaneers and Panthers in the NFC South. They desperately need a win in order to stay in contention for the division as well as the wild card hunt. Quarterback Michael Vick was shut down in last week?s loss vs. the Panthers. Vick was sacked 5 times and intercepted twice. He did throw for 171 yards but was held to only 27 yards rushing on 4 carries.







Injuries:

Saints

No serious injuries to report.



Falcons

No serious injuries to report.



Betting Action:

Falcons are being played at a modest 2 to 1 ratio considering the importance of the game. The betting trend has caused the line to move from -10 to -10.5. Teaser money on the Falcons at -4.5 is garnering huge attention at a 10 to 1 ratio.



The total on the game opened 44 but has risen to 44.5 as a result of 3 to 1 money being played on the ?over?. Both teams have good defenses ranked in the upper half of the NFL. The total could rise to 45 but don?t expect it to go much higher.



ATS (Against the spread):

New Orleans Saints are 3-3 ATS this season on the road.

Atlanta Falcons are 3-3 ATS at home this season.



Saints over/under ratio this season on the road is 3-3.

Falcons over/under ratio this season at home is 4-2.



Team Rankings:

Offense

Saints ranked 18th overall at 320.2 yards per game.

Falcons ranked 11th overall at 341.3 yards per game.



Defense

Saints ranked 11th allowing 308.2 yards per game.

Falcons ranked 14th allowing 316.2 yards per game.



NFL Football Betting Propositions:

Michael Vick vs. Saints 28th ranked rushing defense

Current Betting Odds: Vick over or under 45 rushing yards?

Quick Statistic:

Michael Vick rushed for 51 yards earlier this season vs. the Saints.



Aaron Brooks vs. Falcons 15th ranked passing defense

Current Betting Odds: Brooks over or under 235 passing yards?

Quick Statistic:

Aaron Brooks threw for 259 yards earlier this season vs. the Falcons.



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