Round 3 plays (4pts):
Matt Kuchar to beat Billy Horschel -188 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Short odds, but one statistic shows the one-sided nature of this matchup: Horschel has yet to finish ahead of Kuchar in any event in 2014. Admittedly, Horschel has played much better this week and sits alongisde Kuchar in 3rd place, but in the nine previous time that he has been inside the top-5 after 36 holes on the PGA Tour, he has broken 70 in rd3 just once, so I don't expect him to stay there.
Bill Haas to beat Russell Henley -175 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Another one-sided matchup: Haas leads Henley 13-3-1 h2h in 2014 and 7-1-0 in rd3 alone. As in the previous matchup, Henley has played much better than expected to sit alongside Haas in 5th place, but he has finished in the top-5 just once in the last 18 months, so I don't expect Henley to stay in contention for much longer either.
Jim Furyk to beat Jordan Spieth -111 @ Bet365 [also available @ Stan James and Paddy Power]
Only McIlroy and Fowler can match Furyk's form at the moment and certainly not Spieth who has finished behind Furyk in each of their last five common events. Both are four shots off the pace, but that should have been a smaller gap forFuryk who was unfortunate to have had a Thursday afternoon tee-times - those players have averaged 1.95 shots higher over the two rounds than the Thursday morning players. With this difference in form and difference in playing conditions up to now, I would make Furyk a clear favourite in this matchup.
[unofficial rd3 system plays: Schwartzel tb Hearn -138; DeLaet tb Bowditch -125]