Divisional Playoffs

BobbyBlueChip

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Belly of the Beast
Philadelphia vs. Chicago

Tampa pulls another playoff lie down and suddenly McNabb is the future of the QB position in the NFL. We've been down this road before, in fact, just last year. After Philly smacked Tampa went on the road against an under-rated Giants team and fell flat on their face. They will do that again today. McNabb was a passing-running option all day because the me-first Tampa Bay defensive line did not attempt to hold their lane integrity and McNabb moved wherever he wanted in the pocket. The Bear defense had a "mush-rush" philosophy when they played mobile quarterbacks this year like Culpepper, Favre, Vick, Plummer and Garcia and they'll be successful again on Saturday. They don't get a huge amount of sacks, but they do lead the league in QB hurries and knockdowns.

The Eagles will not be able to run on the Bears. The Defensive line is too big up the middle and the linebackers are too fast to get to the corner. Staley has not had success running between the tackles and figures to be a non-factor. The fate of the Eagles lies in James Thrash's and Todd Pinkston's hands. If the receivers are able to seperate, they will have success moving the chains. If not, the game turns into a ball control game.

The Bears will flourish in a ball control game. They are built from their offensive line and are much bigger than their Eagles defensive line counter parts and will be a load for the Eagles to handle. The reason that the Bears run so successfully in the fourth quarter is that their opponent's bodies just give out due to physical limitations. Expect the Bears to win the time of possession, lean on the Philly defenders and take control of this game in the second half. This game will be played close to the cuff, but in the crunchtime, the Bears are just too physical for Philly.

Chicago -3 3-stars

Oakland at New England
This is why the Raiders needed to win one of those final three games. They didn't want to have to play in the north in January in 20 degree weather in the snow. And they couldn't get a win against the Broncos, Titans, nor the Jets. The offense did look impressive last week but Gannon had plenty of pocket protection once Abraham went down. New England will provide a greater challenge.
The Oakland defense had plenty of opportunities to win the game last week, but the Jets were able to come back into the game every time they needed to. The Raiders had to outscore them. The Raiders aren't tackling well as the season has progressed and will be even less likely to make sticks once they realize how much they hurt in the cold. While the Patriots have had one game in a month (at home against Carolina), the Raiders have been fighting in close games for the past 4 weeks. At some point, that will take a toll.
New England will control this game on the ground and once that happens, the play action will be wide open as the Raider linebackers are some of the worst in the league at getting back into coverage. Patriots get the W with the running game and defense.

New England -2.5 5-star
 

BobbyBlueChip

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Dec 27, 2000
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Belly of the Beast
Baltimore at Pittsburgh

Don't really like taking the Ravens in this spot as the national media had been talking about how the Ravens can just turn it on now that they're in the playoffs. They're run game will not be there against the Pittsburgh D. Just can't see the Ravens getting dominated again as they were the last two times that they played the Steelers. They were outgained a combined 824 - 390 yards and outpossessioned 76:36 - 43:24 on the clock. Yet, they won a game 13-10 and lost 26-21. Cowher limits his team in the fact that he loves this type of smashmouth game and will shut it down once they get into the redzone and kick field goals.

Another question for the Steelers concerns the use of Bettis. 20 degree weather is no time to test if your injury is game ready and a running back by committee doesn't work with this type of offense. Lastly, while the games meant nothing for the Steelers, Kordell's performance declined in their past two games of the season against the Bengals and the Browns. 6 interceptions in his last 6 quarters of play. Too many questions for the Steelers and too many points to give in a game where both coaches will be looking for a ball control game.

Baltimore +6 3-stars

Green Bay at St. Louis

Much has been discussed about the Packers lack of success on the turf, but the records are too pointing to ignore. The Packers are a team that was built for the grass, the Rams for the turf. While taking double-digit favorites is usually suicide, but going against them in the playoffs is just as dangerous.

Not going to get into what the Rams are able to do on offense as it is well documented, but the fact is that the Packers are limited in what they can do to defend it. The loss of LeRoy Butler killed this defense and they have more defensive backfield problems as questionably talented reserves are also questionable on the injury report. And if that wasn't enough, the Dline might not be able to provide enough of a rush to matter as Brown is hurt and Thierry is out. If the Rams can get a two score lead in this game in the first half the game is over as Favre will try to do it himself and that has been harmful to the Pack in the past. If the Rams can't get that lead in the first half, this game will waiver near the number throughout the second half. The Rams tendency to start fast warrants a strong play on this game.

St Louis -11 5 units I got 3 of the units at 9.5 last Sunday
 
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