I have looked things over as best as I am able, and this is what I have come up with:
Indy(-3) @ 1*
Time to get things started for the week, one way or another. While K.C. as a home dog sounds attractive, I am betting that off a very short week Indy will just play ball with some crispness and urgency instead of looking like everyone's whipping boy. I also looked seriously at teasing Indy and Under.
When the lines came out on Sunday I went at them looking for those live dogs, and while I think I found a few, a favorite looks like the Best Bet.
Det(-2.5) @ 2-3*
This team has some talent, and they are showing the marks of a team desperate to put a game in the win column. EVERYTHING seems in place for Detroit to earn their first win and cover a small number.
Note: If not for hitting my Best Bet for two of the last three weeks (N.O. over Minn; S.D. over N.E.; Ariz over K.C.), I might be feeling as desperate as the Lions.
Minn(+2.5) @1*
As a fan I do not like anything about this franchise, and I do not believe this team is a contender for anything. However, I see Minn playing with attitude and confidence this week rather than delivering a clunker. As for Tampa, I see a team that can be had.
S.F.(+2) @ 1-2*
I believe Mariuchi is the man to get the job done here. If not for a recurring vision of Chicago scoring a late TD to steal the headlines, I would not be hesitating on a 2* play. I will wait and see how I am doing after tonight and Saturday.
Pit(-3) @ 1-2*
I do not see a letdown here, and Pitt seems more explosive on both sides of the ball. Even if Tenn gives their best effort of the season, I will like my chances with the Steelers.
I am also leaning to Oak(+1.5), but I already have a larger than usual nmumber of games under serious consideration. Maybe.