Door number 1 2 or 3 ???

[Sleasy77]

Heres the deal...

Im in a pool and the winner takes ALL around a grand.

If UNC wins the tournament, I cant lose. So basically I have UNC to win it all at 50/1. ($20 entry fee)

3 options I am looking at:

1.Take Nova straight bet at +7.5 (middle opp)

2. 2 team 4 pt teaser with Nova plus 11.5 and either Uconn PK or Mich plus 8.5

3. Nova on the Moneyline at around +300


Which one would you do and for how much???? :shrug:

Im not interested in hearing "LET IT RIDE!!!!!!!!!!" :nono: Im broke and need to make some sort of profit.

 

[THE_THONG]

MR LET IT SLIDE

 

[marcb1oo5]

wait and see if unc makes it to the championship, then hedge by taking their opponet on the moneyline

 

[gjn23]

this is where one should hedge...not "ive got a three team parlay and i'm 2-0, what should i do with the third game?"

however

you are still TWO games away from winning....option 2 is not a smart option as you're tying up money against your winner WITH another game.

option 1 or option 2 are decent options, but at this point since your 2 games away from winning. i'd advise option one and give yourself a chance to win the hedge AND have your future bet still be alive. I would also suggest NOT wagering more that 25% of your potential winnings on this hedge as you still have another game to hedge.

the best solution would actually be to have a bookie that allows open parlays and wager a two team open parlay with nova + 7.5 as the first and leave it open for monday (this way you could get both hedge bets in on one parlay paying 13/5). IF you did this however. i'd also advise betting the parlay + nova ml for about 15-20% of your parlay amount to cover yourself if nova wins outright (ie: 2000 2 team open parlay + 500 nova ml)

risking 2500 of your possible 10k winnings on this game....now if unc blows nova out and wins by 8+ you've got ot hedge 30%-50% of what's left ($2000-$3500)on msu/uconn ml (better hope it's msu to get some odds)

 

[bleedingpurple]

First, you should figure out the least amount of money you "need" to make from this because UNC really has a good shot to win this.. So figure out the least amount of money you want to make.

 

[Slicer]

I would let it ride vs. Villa.
If Mich State wins you might get decent ML odds as UNC would be favored by 6-8 based on the 30pt ass whopping they already gave them earlier this season @ Ford Field.

If Uconn vs UNC, you will see a very short line and then it's up to you whether you want to guarantee 1/2 profit or more.

 

[LDB]

I THINK NC BEATS NOVA EASILY, PERHAPS HEDGE ON THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME:shrug:

 

[bleedingpurple]

I THINK NC BEATS NOVA EASILY, PERHAPS HEDGE ON THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME:shrug:

Yeah thats what I would do but then it doesn't guarantee him money if Nova wins.. and he said he wanted the guarantee. :shrug: Otherwise I would say just let them ride one more game.. Until the championship

 

[LDB]

Yeah thats what I would do but then it doesn't guarantee him money if Nova wins.. and he said he wanted the guarantee. :shrug: Otherwise I would say just let them ride one more game.. Until the championship

well, if he feels that nova actually has a shot to win, hedge both ways.. :shrug:

 

[LDB]

take nova and the points for a nice middle, nova is peaking at the right time, i feel they keep it close with nc.. but i have been cold so what the hell do i know :mj07:

 

[Sleasy77]

Thanks Guys!!!

Im not a huge UNC fan but I like them WAY more than DUKE. I think they beat nova. Going to wait it out and see what the underdog moneyline is in the Champ game. I hope Mich St wins now so I can get a better number.

Now that we got that out of the way. Anyone want to play golf in Vegas? The weather has been nice if the fucking wind doesnt blow. I got connections at both TPC's since I work at one of em.

Slease

 

[bleedingpurple]

As soon as things settle down my best friend and I are going to head to Vegas and I will try to hook up with you then