Round 1 plays (4pts):
Matt Kuchar to beat Rickie Fowler -108 @ Pinnacle (also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib)
Fowler looks a player to oppose at the moment. He has played in four events this year and has yet to secure a top-40 finish and he has finished well down the leaderboard in each of the last three years here. No such problems for Kuchar who should have won at least once this year already and has a very good record on this course.
Bubba Watson to beat Jason Day -110 @ 5Dimes
Day is another who has struggled on this course: in three previous visits, he has finished 45th, 20th and 33rd. Watson has been a runner-up twice in the last three years and has shown enough form this suggest that the World #2 is likely to be a very strong contender at Doral once again.
Ryan Moore to beat Branden Grace -110 @ 5Dimes
Grace's form cannot be ignored - he has won twice this year already, in Qatar and South Africa, but he has always struggled to transfer that form to North America. In this event, his finishes read 35th, 49th, and 40th, and in 25 events in the U.S., he has yet to record a single top-15 finish. I can't see Moore as a title contender this week, but a top-25 finish does look likely - he has met that mark in three of four events this year and two of three previous visits to Doral.
[unofficial rd1 system plays: Casey tb Koepka -115; Kirk tb Horschel -110]