Dubai World Championship

Stanley

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Round 1 plays (1pt):

Camilo Villegas to beat Alvaro Quiros +100 @ Stan James [tie loses]
Opposing Quiros despite his top-10 finish in the HSBC Champions event two weeks ago. It was his first top-10 since May, so it should be difficult to repeat that feat against this field and particularly here - he has yet to record a top-10 finish in six previous starts in the United Arab Emirates. And there's also a report from his father that his game is a "bit off at the moment", so I'll back Villegas in his current form and on a wide-open course with big, fast greens and particularly given that it's a Greg Norman-designed course ... he has a very impressive record at the Norman-designed Sugarloaf course.

Robert Allenby to beat Alvaro Quiros -105 @ Bet365
Backing another player in form against Quiros and another who should play well on a course more commonly found in Florida. That is a State in which Allenby, like Villegas, has a particularly good record and the big, fast greens should also suit the Australian.

Geoff Ogilvy to beat Simon Dyson -125 @ Bet365 [also available @ SkyBet]
Continuing a theme here with Ogilvy as a selection ... very good record in Florida, Australian who likes fast greens, and in decent form with a top-10 finish in the HSBC Champions event. Dyson is arguably in the better form, but with just two top-15 finishes in 16 attempts in the Middle East, he would appear to be best-suited to courses other than in deserts.
 

Stanley

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Round 2 plays (1pt):

Ernie Els to beat Peter Hedblom -150 @ William Hill [tie loses] [available generally]

Ernie Els to beat Soren Hansen -120 @ Stan James [tie loses]

Retief Goosen to beat Nick Dougherty -138 @ William Hill [tie loses] [available generally]
 

Stanley

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Round 3 plays (1pt):

Martin Kaymer to beat Henrik Stenson -111 @ Unibet [available generally]

Justin Rose to beat Peter Hedblom -125 @ Stan James [tie loses] [available generally]

Francesco Molinari to beat Scott Strange -130 @ The Greek [available generally]
 

Scooter777

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May 13, 2005
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Stanley - Your writeups for your Round 1 matchups are always much appreciated.

What is your reason for not continuing with them for the other rounds?

Would be eager to read them if you can do it.
 

Stanley

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Two reasons for not posting write-ups for post-rd1 matches: (i) I have much less time during rounds compared to the 24-hours-plus that I have from publication of the rd1 lines to the start times; and (ii) 18-hole handicapping after the 1st round is much less obvious, so I don't really want to alert the bookies to the trends/angles that I use.

Round 4 plays (1pt):

Martin Kaymer to beat Ross Fisher +110 @ Coral [tie loses] [available generally]

Justin Rose to beat Danny Willett -133 @ Unibet [available generally]

Robert Allenby to beat Louis Oosthuizen +100 @ SkyBet [tie loses]
 
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