Dubs & Kings

WildBillPicks7

Move the line!
Forum Member
May 4, 2005
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Atlantic City, NJ
Funny how the oddsmakers keep the home favorite lines opening about the same for each of the 7 games played thus far in this series.

This is elimination time, the Champs either shit or get off the pot here, Sabonis with the mouse under his eye playing aggressive so far and Fox has been silky smooth along with Monk however Dubs have been in this position before, they were in both the first 2 games at Sac City and won the 3rd game at Sac City by 7.

What amazes me is how the lines opened each time. Vegas has to get 50/50 bets to make money so the line with Dubs opening -2 in game 7 steaming to -1 1/2 for Kings yet 52% only on Dubs now makes me feel this one comes down to someone blowing a gasket, perhaps Draymond or Kerr, as the foul calling in this one has been just so-so as the refs have been letting the boys play. Dubs have to have their A game on today or they go home. Kings have not been in this position ever in the first round vs the defending champs so this is new territory for them but it's not new to HC Brown who was an Assistant for the Dubs and he coached Bron Bron at one time too. Looney has been just meh in this round so far except getting rebounds at 14 per clip as has Poole contributing at 9 ppg but the biggest non-performer has been Kuminga, who may just show up and be the X-factor today. Wiggins if he's hot in the 1Q will be the difference!!

I'm taking an alternative line in this one as I have a hunch although I'm not posting a season thread no mo LOL

Dubs -4 +140 I have Dubs winning 125-116 in this one!!

GL on whatever you play!! There are some sharper peeps here but I'm just going with the gut feel here with Vets who've been there and all of the heat on them to repeat and the younger team has been hot of late!! Rebound effect games usually turn out for the small dog and that now happens to be the Dubs after opening as small favs once again.

Later taters!!

:toast:
 
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