Dunhill Links Championship

Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5 units):

Adam Scott to win 25/1 e.w. available generally
Tempted to side with Vijay Singh at 10/1 and, a little less so, with Clarke at 14/1, but will instead stick with two of last week's selections who did at least get themselves into contention and showed enough promise to suggest they will win again soon. Scott won twice last month and if the wind stays reasonably calm, he could certainly repeat his performance in the 2002 Scottish PGA Championship at Gleneagles when he humbled the course en route to a 10-shot victory. He can certainly play links golf!

Paul Casey to win 25/1 e.w. @ Bet365, Victor Chandler, BlueSq and UKBetting
Casey won the Gleneagles event the year before Scott and he followed that with a top-5 finish in this event that year, so there can be few questions about Casey's links credentials either. Like Scott, so long as the winds do not rise above the current forecast speeds, their attacking play should reap dividends on these courses and both have a proven record of winning in this company.

Niclas Fasth to finish in the top-six 12/1 @ SkyBet
Fasth's winning credentials are less impressive. His only Tour win was in the weak Madeira Island Open in 2000, but he is still one of Europe's best prospects and should retain his place in the Ryder Cup team. He started relatively slowly last week and this was probably a result of the Monday finish in the John Deere Classic, but a 65-65 weekend ensured a 3rd place finish. He is a streaky, confidence player and should, if not too tired, maintain his form into this week. Plus, having secured a top-5 finish in 19% of the European Tour starts in the last three years, these look good odds for a top-SIX finish.
 

Trampled Underfoot

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Never taken this big of a dog but this price just seems way too big.

Shaun Micheel 150-1 ew 1/4 12345 :D

Also took.....
JLLewis Win only 33-1....will add place wager once I see what 5Dimes has.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):

Padraig Harrington to beat Michael Campbell -111 @ Stan James and Ladbrokes [3 units]
Opposing Campbell who is capable of winning this event, but is far from a consistent player. He turned his season around with a win in the Irish Open and has generally played well in Europe while struggling Stateside, but having missed the cut in this event in the last two years and also in the British Open at St Andrews in 2000, there seems little reason to expect another high finish this week. Taking only links courses into consideration, Campbell has missed the cut in every event in Scotland since 1999 (6 cuts). This is a far cry from Harrington who has finished 5th and 1st in this event and was in the top-20 when the British Open came to St Andrews.

Nick Price to beat Michael Campbell -111 @ Expekt [3 units]
Price did miss the cut at the British Open in 2000, but he still a good links player - he won the event a decade ago and has finished 14th and 28th in the last two seasons. He is no stranger to St Andrews either, having regularly competed in the Dunhill Cup. While he now has a very light schedule and would be an unlikely winner this week, he has finished in the top-5 in four of his last seven starts and should not finish outside the top-30.

Adam Scott to beat Michael Campbell -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds [3 units]
Scott has a much stronger chance of winning this week (though also of missing the cut!), having shown good form recently, on these courses last year and in winning the Scottish PGA Championship around Gleneagles also last year. Find no reason to oppose the outright selection in this widely-available matchup.
(also available at Victor Chandler, BetandWin, SIA, Paddy Power, Intertops, Pinnacle and Olympic)

Vijay Singh to beat Darren Clarke -125 @ Paddy Power and SIA
Did consider Clarke for the outright markets as he has won twice (one a big event, the NEC Invitational, and the other a minor one, a Challenge Tour event) in his last four starts, but he has finished outside the top-20 in each of the two years of this event. He may find the pro-am format a little distracting. Not such a problem for Singh who finished 3rd here last year and has been playing extremely well for much longer. His form at St Andrews is also exemplary: apart from his 3rd place finish last year, he has finished 12th, 6th and 11th in the last three British Opens here.

Eduardo Romero to beat Andrew Coltart -111 @ Stan James [3 units]
No contest here. Romero has finished ahead of the Scot in both years of this event, finishing 2nd after losing a playoff to Harrington last year and has dominated this matchup over the past year: 12-1-0 h2h over the past 12 months and 6-0-0 over the past 3 months. Coltart's brief spurt of form ended at the Trophee Lancome and he should struggle to make the weekend.

Niclas Fasth to beat Robert Karlsson -118 @ Centrebet [3 units]
Fasth also dominates in this matchup. He leads Karlsson 7-2-1 h2h over the past year and 3-1-0 over the past three months. He also finished well ahead of his compatriot last year when Karlsson missed the cut. Good reason to side with the intense Fasth again.

Colin Montgomerie to beat Peter Hedblom -125 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Don't side with Monty too many times at the moment, but it does look as though the Hedblom bubble has burst. His seven-week run of form is longer than most purple patches, but he has missed the cut and finished 64th in his last two starts. Monty, for his part, has finished in the top-5 in this event in the last two years so he can play on links courses when without the intense media interest during British Open weeks and despite the Swede's form, he does lead him 4-2-0 h2h over the past three months.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Sure like your plays Stan. Did this little accumulater on Monday.

Bet Id: 9079153 - Click here for a full breakdown of your bet.

Placing Time: Mon Sep 22 12:53:00 2003

Type: Accumulator

Basic Stake: 10.00 $

This bet
consists of: Sport Selection Backing Bet Type Odds

Golf Miguel Angel Jimenez v Frederic Jacobson Miguel Angel Jimenez Match 10/11

Golf Paul McGinley v Nick Price Nick Price Match 10/11

Golf Adam Scott v Michael Campbell Adam Scott Match 10/11

Golf Colin Montgomerie v Peter Hedblom Colin Montgomerie Match 10/11
 

Trampled Underfoot

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Added..........

JLLewis top5 @5dimes 5-1 for .5 to go alone with my win play

also went mad on a few parlays.......
.2 each
CCampbell & Morgan top 5/4 to win 5 units
CCampbell & Fasth top 5 to win 14.2 units
Morgan & Fasth top 4/5 to win 8.6 units
CCampbell, Fasth & Morgan top 5/5/4 to win 57 units


:D

PS did anyone else notice that SIA now has 1/4 top 5 instead of top 4?
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Sure didn't TU. Nice to have some good news for a change.
Been tough as been a while since Oly offered in running place-WSEX has cut out parlays past 2 weeks on rd by rd 1/2 point spread and Gamebookers has cut out parlay options on matches:cry:
 

Trampled Underfoot

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I quit playing gamebookers. I'm still waiting for the ruling by IBAS about the screwing gamebookers gave me. I hope to have some good news soon. Its been about 3 months so I should find out soon. I thought I had no chance but since you all got your money back for the Quigley incident i'm feeling better about my chances. After all they cancelled my wager AFTER the event was over. I see $$ in my future. I hope. :D
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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I am taking out my vengence on em differently. I got $385 of their money and will sit back and wait for any weak line they put up;)

I notice they had Arnold Palmer at 22/1 to place the other week in the beards. I laid off that one:lol:
 

Stanley

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2nd round plays (1.5 units unless stated):

Raphael Jacquelin to beat Phillip Price -120 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Paul McGinley to beat Ricardo Gonzalez -138 @ Five Dimes
Thomas Levet to beat Andrew Coltart -110 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Nick Price to beat Michael Campbell -107 @ Five Dimes [4.5 units]
Gary Evans to beat Peter Hedblom +100 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Ernie Els to beat Vijay Singh -122 @ Five Dimes
Glen Day to beat Marten Lafeber -133 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
 

Stanley

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2nd round update: 3-3-1; -3.38 units

Jacquelin/Price WON by 3
McGinley/Gonzalez LOST by 2
Levet/Coltart WON by 2
Price/Campbell LOST by 2
Evans/Hedblom TIED (Push)
Els/Singh WON by 1
Day/Lafeber LOST by 4

3rd round play (3 units):

Nick Price to beat Michael Campbell -107 @ Five Dimes
 

Stanley

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4th round update: 1-0-0; +1.50 units

McNulty/Dougherty WON by 3

Final update:

Matchups: 1-6-0; -17.21 units

Harrington/Campbell LOST by 6
Price/Campbell LOST by 5
Scott/Campbell LOST by 8
Singh/Clarke LOST by 4
Romero/Coltart LOST by 5
Fasth/Karlsson LOST by 6
Montgomerie/Hedblom WON by 3

18-holes: 4-4-1; -5.09 units

Outrights: 0-3; -4.50 units

Scott 49th
Casey mc
Fasth mc

No comment!

European Tour ytd
Matchups: 49-52; -23.52 units
18-holes: 57-56; -11.23 units
Outrights: 10-64; -49.91 units
 
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