Outright plays (1.5 units):
Brian Davis to win 18/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
A little cautious about backing a player who played in the U.S. last week, but this has now become such a weak event that this is a stand-out price. His previous post-U.S. performances this year are encouraging: after the U.S. Open he finished 5th in the Open de France and after the PGA Championship he finished 11th in the BMW International Open, though he did have a week's rest in both those cases. His quality relative to this field is evidenced by his nine top-10 finishes from 18 starts in Europe this year (plus two 11th place finishes) so if not too tired, he should be the player to beat this week.
Mathias Gronberg to win 28/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Gronberg has not been anywhere near as consistent this season, but he has won (Italian Open). His form has been a little patchy since that win in May, but last month he did finish in the top-15 in the John Deere Classic on the PGA Tour and recorded a top-10 finish in the German Masters. Generally a good outright selection to have if he is in the hunt at the halfway stage.
Robert Karlsson to win 33/1 e.w. @ BlueSq
Karlsson is rather more unreliable in that situation, though he does get into contention rather a lot. He has four top-10 finishes in his last seven European starts and while on each occasion he was much better placed at the cut, there are very few in this field who can claim that form. He did finish in the top-20 when he last played here in 1997 and will be looking to improve on that this time around.
Brian Davis to win 18/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
A little cautious about backing a player who played in the U.S. last week, but this has now become such a weak event that this is a stand-out price. His previous post-U.S. performances this year are encouraging: after the U.S. Open he finished 5th in the Open de France and after the PGA Championship he finished 11th in the BMW International Open, though he did have a week's rest in both those cases. His quality relative to this field is evidenced by his nine top-10 finishes from 18 starts in Europe this year (plus two 11th place finishes) so if not too tired, he should be the player to beat this week.
Mathias Gronberg to win 28/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Gronberg has not been anywhere near as consistent this season, but he has won (Italian Open). His form has been a little patchy since that win in May, but last month he did finish in the top-15 in the John Deere Classic on the PGA Tour and recorded a top-10 finish in the German Masters. Generally a good outright selection to have if he is in the hunt at the halfway stage.
Robert Karlsson to win 33/1 e.w. @ BlueSq
Karlsson is rather more unreliable in that situation, though he does get into contention rather a lot. He has four top-10 finishes in his last seven European starts and while on each occasion he was much better placed at the cut, there are very few in this field who can claim that form. He did finish in the top-20 when he last played here in 1997 and will be looking to improve on that this time around.
