Eagles/Giants - Some compelling stats

[johnnyonthespot]

Overall
Eagles 6th ranked Offense (370.8 YPG) vs. NYG 5th ranked Defense (282 YPG)
Eagles 2nd ranked Defense (254.5 YPG) vs. NYG 18th ranked Offense (331.8 YPG)

Rushing
Eagles 6th ranked Rush D (85.5 YPG) vs. NYG 28th ranked Rush O (87.3 YPG)
Eagles 5th ranked Rush O (143.5 YPG) vs. NYG 3rd ranked Rush D (84.8 YPG)

Passing
Eagles 3rd ranked Pass D (169 YPG) vs. NYG 7th ranked Pass O(244.5 YPG)
Eagles 12th ranked Pass O(227.3) vs. NYG 11th ranked Pass D (197.2 YPG)

These statistics certainly don't bode well for the Giants scoring much. The biggest mismatch is obviously Giants rushing the ball vs. the Philly rush D. Doesn't look like there'll be much daylight for the Barber/Dayne combo tonight. Eagles don't figure to get too much done on the ground tonight either, going against the #3 rush D.

I think that the most integral and compelling stat is the Eagles 12th ranked Pass O vs. the Giants 11th ranked pass D. I think that the Eagles will find moderate success with the pass game tonight. That is the only stat where it's really wide open as to who will control that aspect of the game.

Also, I think the Eagles rush O stat is a little misleading. A significant amount of Philly's rush yards come from McNabb scrambling, so even though the Giants are a good run stopping team, if they drop linebackers into coverage to stop the pass McNabb will make them pay on the ground.

I think that this game will come down to field position and special teams. The Giants won't be able to get anything going offensively and I look for Kerry Collins to start forcing things and that will lead to turnovers. I think McNabb will be more composed at home and not force anything, knowing that his D can take care of it.

Tough to lay 6.5-7 with 2 good defenses like this, but I think the Giants get behind early, and make mistakes trying to come back.

Eagles -7

 

[DCPlayer]

Collins Prop

Collins Prop

JohnnyO,

Good post! Taking in to consideration this stat:

Eagles 3rd ranked Pass D (169 YPG) vs. NYG 7th ranked Pass O(244.5 YPG)


What do you think about the following Collins Prop:

Kerry Collins - Total Touchdown+Interceptions Thrown OVER 2.5

Anyone else?
Thanks.

 

[GM]

Remember too that Philly's Rush O stats tend to get inflated because in a number of games this year they've gotten off to a big lead and then gone to the running game to control the clock. For that matter this would decrease their Passing O stats too.

So I'd say if push comes to shove Philly WILL be able to throw the ball vs the Giants. Even in defeat, when the Eagles have had to move the ball quickly thru the air they've been able to do it. Agree with your pick and I am also on Philly.

Good luck.

 

[Coca-Cola Kid]

It works both ways...

Giants have played tough D's all year

Giants comp
SF
Dallas
Atlanta
Seattle
Rams


Philly's Comp - where's the D ???
Houston
Tennessee
Washington

Don't you think Philly's stats might be a little inflated ???