Early THoughts-- for Wed.....

Innavation

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Here are my first and early thoughts when looking at the lines!!!

Game#1----Boston--Washington---This is a game in which Boston--Features a few guys(pierce--walker)---that really have a great feel for scoring--These guys are improving each year-and i believe that Pierce is a lot better than people think--the guy can fill it up!!! Wizards--we all know what they have---We know Jordan(on 2 days rest)--will come out and play well---The Question is how will the others shoot(laetner--Hamilton--WHitney)---I know if i was BOston and i got the oppurtunity to play MJ--I would be pumped up--My early lean is towards Boston-6--I really think this Boston Team is talented and know how to play together to win!!Bottom Line--IF they win they probaly will cover!!

2nd game---Indiana--Sac--This is a game that Features 2 teams that have been filling the cup up!!! THey are hot!!! However, my early lean is towards the under!!! Sacramento--everyone knows that Sac. is a good offensive team--but many people do not know how good these guys are at the Defensive end---They are all on the same page(on a string)--they are aware of where the other one is and are excellent at help "D"--They play great team Basketball!!! I believe that on most nights Sac. knows they can out-score teams and that is why we see high scores but i think they know tonight(against good scoring team in INdiana)--they are going to have to play "D"---and with (B.Jackson--Bibby--Christie--Barry)--they have they guards to play "D" to make this a little more low-scoring---I still want to check out the local books(lines). Different lines sometimes helps out the final decision!!!! THis is a game that can go O.T.--But if it does not than the under could be a solid play__WHY?? Because if anyone has noticed--in close games--teams tend to play tighter in the 4quarter--not trying to make the mistake to lose the game--How many times do you see it?? A point-guard slowing the ball down--saying let's get a good shot!!! This eats up the clock--and I believe we will see this tonight!!

Game #3---Detroit--Bulls------Detroit--when playing against a team that is talent-wise proball=y not better.. Tends to play a more low-scoring game!!! BUlls--turnover prone--will get less shots in a game--this aids the under.. My early lean is the game under 177.5

Game #4-------Utah--Atlanta---Playing last night-- so what!!! Jazz--do all the little things in games to get double-digit wins... They take care of the ball---they make their free-throws--and they run at times to get fast-break pts. and other times get in the half-court(which they probaly will do tonight)to make the opposition play "D"My early lean in this game is Utah-10.5--and possibly the under 188---

Game #5-----New York--Bulls----Cavs---Cavs "D" this year has been suspect this year---opponents are shooting the ball well against them and they simply do not have they scored to keep up with teams!! ALthough they do have a solid point-guard(miller) and on any give night he can keep them in it!!! BUt Knicks(traditionally a good defensive team)--has not been playing good defense--and i expect Van Gundy and the knicks to try and improve their "D" tonight against a lesser opponent!!!! I look for this game to end up around the total--180.5--but my early lean is the under since--Knicks---not so hot from the field--and although Knicks "D" has been bad--i believe they have good enough guards to give MIller some fits on the offensive end!!!!!!!!

Game#6------Not going to spend much time on this one!!!-----Toronto--will be looking to run and run and run-----Look for Vince to have a big night!!! Early lean TOronto-golden state--game over 202

These are my early looks-- i will visit the locals(books)--see who the public is on and make my decsions On --lines---facts--feel..
 

dr. freeze

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hey Inna.....you got screwed last night as the Houston line was right on the money....

Houston got up big -- bigger than I thought they would, as Denver's perimeter defense was just horrific (just as you thought); then however, Houston became its old self and played garbage ball (for example, i saw about 3-4 attempts at alley's off the backboard) and Denver came back and even took the lead at one point. Houston regrouped and played well down the stretch and Van Exel banked in a runner with .6 seconds left to cover.....

Neither side was the right side last night, but we can learn from this:
Denver has horrible perimeter defense.

Houston is too inexperienced to be able to shut the door on anyone.

later and good luck.....
 

dr. freeze

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also -- Boston/Wash note: Jordan and Pierce got into it during the preseason game between the two.....unsure on how that will affect tonights outcome......
 

dr. freeze

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sorry to litter your thread with these, but in the Atl/Utah game:

Terry, Kukoc and Ratliff are out ....and vaughn has yet to make a fieldgoal (0-22)....

[This message has been edited by dr. freeze (edited 11-07-2001).]

[This message has been edited by dr. freeze (edited 11-07-2001).]
 

Hoops

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Barry isn't playing for Sacramento any longer..is now in Detroit.
 

NJO

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atl-utah: Ratliff and Kukoc are out -- I didn't know about Terry.

bos-wash: interesting about MJ and Pierce -- I did not know that. Thanks, freeze.
 

dr. freeze

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ATLANTA HAWKS - Starting guard Jason Terry (strained left hamstring) is
to miss Wednesday's game against Utah. *Reserve forward Hanno Mottola
(ankle)
is probable for Wednesday's game. Starting center Theo Ratliff
(hip flexor, groin), starting forward Toni Kukoc (strained right quad) and
reserve forward Alan Henderson (knee) are on the injured list.
 

dr. freeze

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utah is gonna really want a win tonight...my only two plays of the night are Detroit and Utah......got the Jazz at -11 and think it is a bargain......
 

Innavation

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Game #1-----Boston--Wizards- I think Jordan will come out hot and keep the wizards close early but, Pierce-Walker have too much offense for these Wizards.. I noticed the public is on the over, I'm not so sure!! Although i am not going to play the under i think that this game will be not as high-scoring(Wizards will slow it down)--Wizards waste precious sec. in the half-court trying to get it to the Man....I have seen this line at 6 most places but one of the books i respect the most has it at 5.5(which scares me a bit)--But i have to stick with Boston..
Final play---Boston -5.5

2nd game---Indiana--Sac---2 good offensive teams with many potential get hot guys<However,--these teams match-up well and i believe that these teams have good enough defenders to counteract the scores!!! Final play---Indiana---Sac game under 201(pod)---i have seen this line at 200 but got it at 201

3rd game----BUlls---Detroit game under 177--THis line is rapidly dropping--I seen it down to 176 and as low as 175.5-----ALthough i like the under, i really just have a bad feeling on this one so i think i will stay away---Final play---No play----(as of right now)--but i might just have to pull the trigger!!!!!!!!

4th game-----Utah--Atlanta---THis line opened at 10.5 and i have seen it as high as 12, many people are on this one!!!! Although i generally do not go with the public, i really can not see any reason why this will be a close game!!! Atlanta a bit banged up, Utah good at free-throws--and taking care of the ball---They can execute their offense. My prediction is that Utah will get up early and stay up 7-13 pts throughout the game!!! The question is will Utah give up late baskets to blow the cover??? I do not think so!! Don Sloan demands that his bench players still run and excecute the offense... Final score--99-86Final play---Utah -11-------Utah--Atlanta game under 188--this total may be like Orlando--San Antonio game--down to the last second.....

Game 4--Knicks---Cavs--I have really been thinking about this one a lot.. the line has come down to 179 and 179.5-----this game has all the makings to go under!! Yeah sure New York gave up a 104 to Minnesota, but they have some guys that can score.. But cleveland does not!!!! Considering this(not too many scores for Clev.)i think that Knicks have good defenders to stop and take advantage of Cleveland's lack of offensive punch!!!! FInal play----Knicks-Cavs game under 179.5

Game 6------Toronto--Warriors--------I have watched Toronto at the end of last year and now this year----They really want to push the ball and let their athletic players play in the open court---It creates easy scoring oppurtunities!!!! Toronto has the guys to Finish the breaks(Mo.Pete--Carter--Williams--it is a long list_===THrow in Hakeem--we all know he is not going to score 20 a game but he does have good moves on the post and can score!!! Final play---Toronto---Warrriors game over 202.5

Recap------Boston-5.5
Utah-11
Utah game under 188
Golden St-Toronto game over 202.5
Knicks--Cavs game under 179.5
Pacers--Kings game under 201--(pod_=====this is my srongest play!!! 6 plays==
 

Innavation

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Correction--Indiana--Sacramento game under 201--------I messed the write-up a bit!!!
 

dr. freeze

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inna -- would agree with you on the Utah total but have one hesitation......Atl. defense is down without Ratliff and leads me to wonder who is gonna stop Utah's interior game?

I see a bunch of fouls. Game in Salt Lake and refs know the record of Utah and that Utah needs a win and I think they will be pretty homerish tonight.....I think the Atl. frontcourt fouls the night away leading to a pretty good chance of the over hitting.

On the other hand, without terry, you gotta wonder who is gonna score besides rahim? think i am gonna stay off it and just play the side......good luck though......
 

dr. freeze

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we gotta take some things with us from tonight......

first, Utah is old and not gonna blow many people out this year.....just way too old and can't get enough easy baskets....

second.....Chi or Cle as a single digit dog are go againsts almost every time

third.....Indy is for real and they have a lot of guys who can run

fourth.....Wiz is gonna be pretty inconsistent this year and I would go against them more often than not on the road

fifth....Cavs are bad and we may be able to make money playing them and the under parlayed together...also a good prop with the bulls....

these are my observations from tonight.....you guys let follow with some more.....
 
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