Really looking forward to this tourney. And, I'm heading over there next week. Getting in my futures plays and first round games before I take off.
Teams I expect to do worse than expected:
1) Germany
2) France
3) Holland
4) Spain
Teams I expect to possibly suprise:
1) The Swiss
2) Greece
3) Romania
Team to win it: Italy
I originally took Romania and Italy long ago before the groups came out. So, I've got:
Romania +3500 1x
Italy +500 2x
Now, that they are in a tough group, Italy is up to +650 and I like them more. To me, they look stronger now, than in the WC year.
Italy +650 .5x
I think Germany is really overrated. They will be exposed by good counter attacking teams. They will surely get out of this weak group but Croatia is the more complete team even without De Silva and surely have a 50/50 chance of winning the group which makes their odds a value.
Croatia to win Group +240 2x
Spain should cruise through their group.
Spain to win Group -125 1x
Here's my value bet of the tourney:
Top Goal Scorer: Frei of Switzerland +6600 .5x
I'm going to add some fav's to the mix Toni, Klose, etc, but given that a top goal scorer in 3 of the last 4 Euros and inc the WC, 4 of the last 5 major European based tourney's have come from a host nation, I'll take the Swiss go-to guy. Their all time leading scorer at age 28 with 35 goals in 57 games. He ended his season in Germany with 6 goals in his last 8 games coming back strong from injury, scored 3 goals in their 2 tune up games this past week. He's playing all the group games in his home town and on the pitch where he started his career. Hosts almost always do much, much better than expected. Given they made it out of their group in Germany, they have a real chance to make some noise in this tourney. If they do, they will ride on this guys back. Plus, the other strong teams have multiple weapons that might keep more talented strikers goals totals down some as they share the wealth.
And, a bet that I think looks like a sucker bet, but I just can't stay away from something so obvious, hense I might be a sucker:
Croatia -120 vs Austria 6x
Croatia U2.5 -130 1.5x
Croatia Pk -240 2x
1st Round Parlay: Port Pk/Cro Pk/Germ ML/Rom Pk/Italy Pk/Spain ML/Gre Pk Risking .3
Teams I expect to do worse than expected:
1) Germany
2) France
3) Holland
4) Spain
Teams I expect to possibly suprise:
1) The Swiss
2) Greece
3) Romania
Team to win it: Italy
I originally took Romania and Italy long ago before the groups came out. So, I've got:
Romania +3500 1x
Italy +500 2x
Now, that they are in a tough group, Italy is up to +650 and I like them more. To me, they look stronger now, than in the WC year.
Italy +650 .5x
I think Germany is really overrated. They will be exposed by good counter attacking teams. They will surely get out of this weak group but Croatia is the more complete team even without De Silva and surely have a 50/50 chance of winning the group which makes their odds a value.
Croatia to win Group +240 2x
Spain should cruise through their group.
Spain to win Group -125 1x
Here's my value bet of the tourney:
Top Goal Scorer: Frei of Switzerland +6600 .5x
I'm going to add some fav's to the mix Toni, Klose, etc, but given that a top goal scorer in 3 of the last 4 Euros and inc the WC, 4 of the last 5 major European based tourney's have come from a host nation, I'll take the Swiss go-to guy. Their all time leading scorer at age 28 with 35 goals in 57 games. He ended his season in Germany with 6 goals in his last 8 games coming back strong from injury, scored 3 goals in their 2 tune up games this past week. He's playing all the group games in his home town and on the pitch where he started his career. Hosts almost always do much, much better than expected. Given they made it out of their group in Germany, they have a real chance to make some noise in this tourney. If they do, they will ride on this guys back. Plus, the other strong teams have multiple weapons that might keep more talented strikers goals totals down some as they share the wealth.
And, a bet that I think looks like a sucker bet, but I just can't stay away from something so obvious, hense I might be a sucker:
Croatia -120 vs Austria 6x
Croatia U2.5 -130 1.5x
Croatia Pk -240 2x
1st Round Parlay: Port Pk/Cro Pk/Germ ML/Rom Pk/Italy Pk/Spain ML/Gre Pk Risking .3
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