Europe
- Thread starter PGS
- Start date
Round 1 plays (1pt):
Lee Westwood to beat Rory McIlroy -111 @ Bet365
Expecting another good performance from Westwood. Not only is he in great form, only losing in a playoff for last week's Open de France, but he is a former winner here who has finished in the top-30 in ten of his twelve visits to Loch Lomond. To add further weight to this as a first round play, he has opened with a sub-70 round in each of the last four years to lie 3rd, 23rd, 1st and 7th after the 1st round. McIlroy will be a good opponent, but Westwood's experience should be key on this course.
Lee Westwood to beat Ross Fisher +105 @ SkyBet [tie loses]
Other than on his home course, it has been nine months since Fisher even tied Westwood in the first round of a European Tour event. He has failed to match Westwood's score in the 1st round any time in this event or finish ahead of him at the end of this event in their previous attempts at this title, so I can't see Fisher denying Westwood the victory tomorrow.
Lee Westwood to beat Soren Kjeldsen -163 @ Paddy Power
Shorter odds and for good reason: Kjeldsen has yet to finish in the top-10 in any of his nine attempts at this title. He approaches this event in decent form, but still short of that of Westwood.
Thomas Levet to beat Alvaro Quiros -105 @ FiveDimes
Backing another former winner in good form. Levet won this title in 2004 and since winning the Open de Espana in May, he has recorded three further top-10 finishes on the European Tour. Quiros has continued to struggle despite changing his caddy, so doesn't warramnt favouritism in this matchup.
Robert Allenby to beat Nick Watney -118 @ Pinnacle
Two players in mediocre form: both players have missed two of their last four cuts, though Allenby did finish 4th in the St. Jude Classic last month. However, it is mainly course form that determines this play: Allenby had a great record in the first four years that this course was used and he did have three good rounds when he returned in 2005. This may be very distant course form, but together with his recent performance at the St. Jude Classic, he looks far more likely to still be playing on Sunday than Watney who is making his course debut.
Lee Westwood to beat Rory McIlroy -111 @ Bet365
Expecting another good performance from Westwood. Not only is he in great form, only losing in a playoff for last week's Open de France, but he is a former winner here who has finished in the top-30 in ten of his twelve visits to Loch Lomond. To add further weight to this as a first round play, he has opened with a sub-70 round in each of the last four years to lie 3rd, 23rd, 1st and 7th after the 1st round. McIlroy will be a good opponent, but Westwood's experience should be key on this course.
Lee Westwood to beat Ross Fisher +105 @ SkyBet [tie loses]
Other than on his home course, it has been nine months since Fisher even tied Westwood in the first round of a European Tour event. He has failed to match Westwood's score in the 1st round any time in this event or finish ahead of him at the end of this event in their previous attempts at this title, so I can't see Fisher denying Westwood the victory tomorrow.
Lee Westwood to beat Soren Kjeldsen -163 @ Paddy Power
Shorter odds and for good reason: Kjeldsen has yet to finish in the top-10 in any of his nine attempts at this title. He approaches this event in decent form, but still short of that of Westwood.
Thomas Levet to beat Alvaro Quiros -105 @ FiveDimes
Backing another former winner in good form. Levet won this title in 2004 and since winning the Open de Espana in May, he has recorded three further top-10 finishes on the European Tour. Quiros has continued to struggle despite changing his caddy, so doesn't warramnt favouritism in this matchup.
Robert Allenby to beat Nick Watney -118 @ Pinnacle
Two players in mediocre form: both players have missed two of their last four cuts, though Allenby did finish 4th in the St. Jude Classic last month. However, it is mainly course form that determines this play: Allenby had a great record in the first four years that this course was used and he did have three good rounds when he returned in 2005. This may be very distant course form, but together with his recent performance at the St. Jude Classic, he looks far more likely to still be playing on Sunday than Watney who is making his course debut.
The Barclays Scottish Open for July 9th to July 12th.
The Barclays Scottish Open for July 9th to July 12th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
1 Unit : Ross Fisher to Win @ 20 : 1.
1 Unit : Lee Westwood to Win @ 17 : 1.
6th, down 4 after rough first round.
1 Unit : Ian Poulter to Win @ 14 : 1.
1/2 Unit : Peter Hanson to Win @ 50 : 1.
.
The Barclays Scottish Open for July 9th to July 12th.
Outrights to Win the Whole Tournament (Thursday - Sunday) :
1 Unit : Ross Fisher to Win @ 20 : 1.
1 Unit : Lee Westwood to Win @ 17 : 1.
6th, down 4 after rough first round.
1 Unit : Ian Poulter to Win @ 14 : 1.
1/2 Unit : Peter Hanson to Win @ 50 : 1.
.
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The Barclays Scottish Open for July 9th to July 12th.
The Barclays Scottish Open for July 9th to July 12th.
Whole Tournament Matchups for 72 holes for Thursday thru Sunday :
Four Units :
Ross Fisher over Tim Clark @ - 115. Won (by 11) on cut. Clark cut.
Ian Poulter over Geoff Ogilvy @ - 115. Lost by 4.
Three Units :
Lee Westwood over Rory McIlroy @ - 105. Won by 10.
Brian Gay over Nick Watney @ - 115. Lost by 4.
Two Units :
Angel Cabrera over Miguel Angel Jimenez @ - 115. Lost by 2.
Rod Pampling over Stuart Appleby @ - 125. Won by 5.
One Unit :
Nick Dougherty over Francesco Molinari @ - 115. Lost by 10.
Soren Kjeldsen over Anders Hansen @ - 125. Won (by 10) on cut. Hansen cut.
.
The Barclays Scottish Open for July 9th to July 12th.
Whole Tournament Matchups for 72 holes for Thursday thru Sunday :
Four Units :
Ross Fisher over Tim Clark @ - 115. Won (by 11) on cut. Clark cut.
Ian Poulter over Geoff Ogilvy @ - 115. Lost by 4.
Three Units :
Lee Westwood over Rory McIlroy @ - 105. Won by 10.
Brian Gay over Nick Watney @ - 115. Lost by 4.
Two Units :
Angel Cabrera over Miguel Angel Jimenez @ - 115. Lost by 2.
Rod Pampling over Stuart Appleby @ - 125. Won by 5.
One Unit :
Nick Dougherty over Francesco Molinari @ - 115. Lost by 10.
Soren Kjeldsen over Anders Hansen @ - 125. Won (by 10) on cut. Hansen cut.
.
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Outrights:
Adam Scott(45/1) e.w.
- - When it comes, I've expected his return to demonstrate his class, just been waiting. Tis a far, far better spot I see this week than at Turnberry.
David Drysdale(125/1) e.w.
- - Everything about his game these days is operating on an elevated plane, and here the Scotland native gets in on a sponsor's invitation. I'm a sucker for themes coming good and/or hanging around over the arc of a season . . . Hold me back.
Kenneth Ferrie(250/1 to Win; 100/1 Top 5) e.w.
- - Sufficient trends and angles to suggest I should be looking at the top of the market this week, but I've wound up slumming in a much different neighborhood.
Johan Edfors(80/1) e.w.
- - I peg him as well suited for cool and damp conditions when low numbers can be had. The aggressive use of a driver suitable on Weiskopf's signature design, and the never to be discounted bounce in the step from clutching a prior trophy, almost require going to a play here given the other spots in which I've been so inclined.
Peter Lawrie(150/1) e.w.
- - I'm not sure about the micro climate around Loch Lomond, but really sloppy with true greens would suit this play just fine. I think my boy's good enough in this company at least once, if there are other pieces that are up his street.
GL
Adam Scott(45/1) e.w.
- - When it comes, I've expected his return to demonstrate his class, just been waiting. Tis a far, far better spot I see this week than at Turnberry.
David Drysdale(125/1) e.w.
- - Everything about his game these days is operating on an elevated plane, and here the Scotland native gets in on a sponsor's invitation. I'm a sucker for themes coming good and/or hanging around over the arc of a season . . . Hold me back.
Kenneth Ferrie(250/1 to Win; 100/1 Top 5) e.w.
- - Sufficient trends and angles to suggest I should be looking at the top of the market this week, but I've wound up slumming in a much different neighborhood.
Johan Edfors(80/1) e.w.
- - I peg him as well suited for cool and damp conditions when low numbers can be had. The aggressive use of a driver suitable on Weiskopf's signature design, and the never to be discounted bounce in the step from clutching a prior trophy, almost require going to a play here given the other spots in which I've been so inclined.
Peter Lawrie(150/1) e.w.
- - I'm not sure about the micro climate around Loch Lomond, but really sloppy with true greens would suit this play just fine. I think my boy's good enough in this company at least once, if there are other pieces that are up his street.
GL
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Martin Laird, have him at 275/1 but topping up at 40s e/w. Only one off the pace and with some solid US performances this year should be capable of a good finish on home soil.
Also worth noting for next week - still available at 500/1 +
Also worth noting for next week - still available at 500/1 +
Round 2 plays (1pt):
Ernie Els to beat Nick Dougherty -135 @ Pinnacle
Ernie Els to beat Adam Scott -125 @ Paddy Power
Soren Hansen to beat Soren Kjeldsen +105 @ SkyBet [tie loses] [also available @ FiveDimes and William Hill]
Brian Gay to beat Robert Rock -161 @ Unibet
Soren Hansen to beat Graeme McDowell -125 @ Bet365
Ernie Els to beat Nick Dougherty -135 @ Pinnacle
Ernie Els to beat Adam Scott -125 @ Paddy Power
Soren Hansen to beat Soren Kjeldsen +105 @ SkyBet [tie loses] [also available @ FiveDimes and William Hill]
Brian Gay to beat Robert Rock -161 @ Unibet
Soren Hansen to beat Graeme McDowell -125 @ Bet365
LIA where did you get the amazing odds on Ferrie
I only got this on Betfair
Kenneth Ferrie 211.05 $38.00 $7,982.00
and 175-1 was the highest I saw. 100-1 for a top five would been my bet of the year
I only got this on Betfair
Kenneth Ferrie 211.05 $38.00 $7,982.00
and 175-1 was the highest I saw. 100-1 for a top five would been my bet of the year
Round 3 plays (1pt):
Brett Rumford to beat Jason McCreadie -125 @ Stan James, William Hill and Boyle Sports [tie loses] [available generally]
Geoff Ogilvy to beat Oliver Wilson -125 @ Stan James, Bet365 and Boyle Sports [tie loses] [available generally]
Martin Kaymer to beat Marcus Fraser -163 @ SkyBet
Jose Maria Olazabal to beat David Drysdale -110 @ Ladbrokes [tie loses]
Ernie Els to beat Gary Orr -163 @ SkyBet [available generally]
Brett Rumford to beat Jason McCreadie -125 @ Stan James, William Hill and Boyle Sports [tie loses] [available generally]
Geoff Ogilvy to beat Oliver Wilson -125 @ Stan James, Bet365 and Boyle Sports [tie loses] [available generally]
Martin Kaymer to beat Marcus Fraser -163 @ SkyBet
Jose Maria Olazabal to beat David Drysdale -110 @ Ladbrokes [tie loses]
Ernie Els to beat Gary Orr -163 @ SkyBet [available generally]
5dimes. They frequently have exceptional prices in the Win market, and in other instances they frequently slash the Win market without adjusting the Top 5 market. In this case I'm not sure how they went about what they offered, but I liked finding it.
GL
Round 4 plays (1pt):
Retief Goosen to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -156 @ Unibet
Martin Kaymer to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -156 @ Unibet
Retief Goosen to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -156 @ Unibet
Martin Kaymer to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -156 @ Unibet
